Calgary FlamesCGY 5–3 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Friday, November 28, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY	2	2	1	5	34
Florida PanthersFLA	2	0	1	3	41

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:54	FLA	Evan Rodrigues (7) Sam Reinhart (9), Jesper Boqvist (3) · snap xG 0.21	0–1 ▶
2:58	FLA	Sam Bennett (6) A.J. Greer (4), Carter Verhaeghe (12) · snap xG 0.19	0–2 ▶
5:35	CGY	Yan Kuznetsov (1) Blake Coleman (3) · wrist xG 0.02	1–2 ▶
10:41	CGY	MacKenzie Weegar (1) Mikael Backlund (10), Connor Zary (2) · slap xG 0.06	2–2 ▶
2nd Period
0:55	CGY	Morgan Frost (6)PP Rasmus Andersson (12), Nazem Kadri (15) · backhand xG 0.25	3–2 ▶
18:44	CGY	Nazem Kadri (5) Rasmus Andersson (13), Joel Farabee (6) · tip-in xG 0.07	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
11:54	FLA	Brad Marchand (15) Sam Reinhart (10), Anton Lundell (13) · wrist xG 0.10	4–3 ▶
18:57	CGY	Joel Farabee (7)EN Nazem Kadri (16) · snap xG 0.52	5–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 17%Deserve to win83% FLA

CGY		FLA
3.84	Expected goals	5.58
5	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.55	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.40
62	Shot attempts	96
50	Unblocked attempts	65
34	Shots on goal	41

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
16:30	FLA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.76–0.13 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:00 to 19:00 of the 1st; goals 0–1
3rd Period
11:25	CGY	Goalie	Goalie · Cooley +2.0 goals saved 2 goals on 4.00 xG, 34 shots on goal
17:18	FLA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 4–3 With 2:42 left; CGY scored at 18:57 of the 3rd (5–3)
19:00	FLA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 5–3 With 1:00 left

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
11	Mikael Backlund	0	1	1	+2	3	0.09	0	0	19:49
20	Blake Coleman	0	1	1	+2	3	0.34	5	3	19:24
91	Nazem Kadri	1	2	3	+2	11	0.85	0	2	18:59
86	Joel Farabee	1	1	2	+2	3	0.56	0	0	18:00
47	Connor Zary	0	1	1	+1	1	0.40	2	0	16:35
17	Yegor Sharangovich	0	0	0	+2	6	0.21	0	0	15:53
10	Jonathan Huberdeau	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	0	2	15:27
27	Matt Coronato	0	0	0	-2	4	0.13	0	1	14:07
16	Morgan Frost	1	0	1	-2	2	0.29	0	2	13:04
17	John Beecher	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	3	10:38
94	Ryan Lomberg	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	1	08:22
43	Adam Klapka	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	5	0	07:10
Defense
4	Rasmus Andersson	0	2	2	+1	8	0.20	1	3	22:59
37	Yan Kuznetsov	1	0	1	0	2	0.02	2	4	22:36
7	Kevin Bahl	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	2	21:45
52	MacKenzie Weegar	1	0	1	0	9	0.17	2	4	20:53
94	Brayden Pachal	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	15:39
44	Joel Hanley	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	14:40

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Devin Cooley	41	3	38	.927	5.58	+2.58

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
15	Anton Lundell	0	1	1	-2	7	0.36	1	2	21:58
13	Sam Reinhart	0	2	2	0	5	0.82	1	1	21:20
23	Carter Verhaeghe	0	1	1	0	7	0.30	3	1	20:50
9	Sam Bennett	1	0	1	0	11	0.45	2	0	19:19
63	Brad Marchand	1	0	1	-2	6	0.63	0	1	19:04
18	A.J. Greer	0	1	1	+1	5	0.65	2	1	16:51
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	0	0	-1	8	0.76	5	1	16:10
17	Evan Rodrigues	1	0	1	0	9	0.43	0	0	13:47
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	1	1	0	5	0.55	3	1	13:08
71	Luke Kunin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	07:18
73	Noah Gregor	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	07:08
Defense
3	Seth Jones	0	0	0	-1	5	0.08	0	2	26:19
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	+1	4	0.09	0	1	21:35
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	0	0	+1	6	0.15	2	0	21:16
77	Niko Mikkola	0	0	0	0	6	0.13	3	0	20:37
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	-1	4	0.04	4	0	12:30
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	1	0	12:13

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Daniil Tarasov	33	4	29	.879	3.04	-0.96

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
91 Nazem Kadri C	+2.90	+2.00	+0.55	+0.23	0.00	+0.04	+0.08	—	18:59
1 Devin Cooley G	+2.58	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.58	60:00
20 Blake Coleman L	+2.03	+0.70	+0.22	+0.94	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	19:24
86 Joel Farabee L	+2.01	+1.30	+0.36	+0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:00
11 Mikael Backlund C	+1.68	+0.70	+0.06	+0.93	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	19:49
4 Rasmus Andersson D	+1.59	+1.40	+0.13	+0.04	-0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	22:59
47 Connor Zary C	+1.42	+0.55	+0.26	+0.62	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:35
44 Joel Hanley D	+0.76	0.00	+0.01	+0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:40
94 Brayden Pachal D	+0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.71	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:39
17 Yegor Sharangovich C	+0.55	0.00	+0.14	+0.40	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:53
7 Kevin Bahl D	+0.54	0.00	+0.02	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	21:45
16 Morgan Frost C	-0.08	+0.75	+0.19	-1.12	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	13:04
27 Matt Coronato R	-0.70	0.00	+0.08	-0.80	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	14:07
70 Ryan Lomberg L	-0.74	0.00	+0.06	-0.98	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	8:22
18 John Beecher C	-0.74	0.00	+0.06	-1.11	+0.15	+0.01	+0.15	—	10:38
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L	-0.94	0.00	+0.22	-1.22	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	15:27
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	-0.99	+0.75	+0.11	-1.88	-0.15	0.00	+0.18	—	20:53
43 Adam Klapka R	-1.02	0.00	0.00	-1.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:10
37 Yan Kuznetsov D	-1.03	+0.75	+0.02	-1.98	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	22:36

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Sam Reinhart C	+2.71	+1.40	+0.53	+0.75	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	21:20
17 Evan Rodrigues C	+1.89	+0.75	+0.28	+0.89	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	13:47
70 Jesper Boqvist C	+1.85	+0.55	+0.36	+0.78	+0.15	-0.01	+0.03	—	13:08
63 Brad Marchand L	+1.42	+0.75	+0.41	+0.22	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	19:04
10 A.J. Greer L	+1.25	+0.70	+0.42	+0.25	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	16:51
77 Niko Mikkola D	+1.19	0.00	+0.08	+1.17	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	20:37
3 Seth Jones D	+1.05	0.00	+0.05	+0.90	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	26:19
15 Anton Lundell C	+1.02	+0.55	+0.23	+0.13	0.00	+0.03	+0.08	—	21:58
9 Sam Bennett C	+0.92	+0.75	+0.29	-0.13	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	19:19
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	+0.78	0.00	+0.49	+0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:10
42 Gustav Forsling D	+0.49	0.00	+0.06	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	21:35
5 Aaron Ekblad D	+0.33	0.00	+0.10	+0.38	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	21:16
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	+0.24	+0.55	+0.19	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	20:50
38 Jack Devine R	+0.22	0.00	+0.10	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	7:38
71 Luke Kunin C	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.03	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	7:18
18 Noah Gregor L	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.10	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	7:08
2 Jeff Petry D	-0.19	0.00	+0.03	-0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:30
26 Uvis Balinskis D	-0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.68	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:13
40 Daniil Tarasov G	-0.96	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.96	57:21

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.