hockeystats.io

Nashville PredatorsNSH 4–3 Final Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Friday, November 28, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 031 4 29
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 111 3 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:10 CHI Ryan Donato (8) Sam Rinzel (7), Andre Burakovsky (9) · snap xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:46 NSH Matthew Wood (7) Nicolas Hague (3) · wrist xG 0.06 1–1 ▶
7:18 NSH Steven Stamkos (6) Nick Blankenburg (7), Fedor Svechkov (2) · backhand xG 0.43 2–1 ▶
15:14 CHI Ryan Greene (3)PP Oliver Moore (4) · snap xG 0.22 2–2 ▶
16:27 NSH Luke Evangelista (3) Steven Stamkos (3), Ryan O'Reilly (10) · wrist xG 0.07 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
7:15 NSH Ryan O'Reilly (8) Luke Evangelista (12), Nick Perbix (2) · wrist xG 0.20 4–2 ▶
10:28 CHI Teuvo Teravainen (6) Wyatt Kaiser (4), Frank Nazar (11) · wrist xG 0.12 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 44%Deserve to win56% CHI
NSHCHI
3.30Expected goals3.15
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.48Expected goals, 5 on 51.95
60Shot attempts68
45Unblocked attempts47
29Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:10 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.15–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:10 to 11:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
19:10 CHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Soderblom, down 4–3
With 0:50 left

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:22) Frank Nazar: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:45) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:52) Ryan Donato: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:20) Colton Dach: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:31) Oliver Moore: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:41) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:12) Connor Bedard: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 4:22) Ryan Donato: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:01) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:10) Brady Skjei: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:51) Erik Haula: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:07) Michael Bunting: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:09) Michael McCarron: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:15) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:18) Ryan Greene: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:48) Ryan Donato: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:45) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:51) Connor Bedard: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:31) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:15) Nick Blankenburg: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:16) Colton Dach: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:18) Connor Bedard: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 17:32) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:40) Sam Rinzel: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:29) Ilya Mikheyev: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 1:09) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:37) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 2:20) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:21) Brady Skjei: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:19) Nick Perbix: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:29) Reid Schaefer: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:37) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:51) Ryan Greene: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:59) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:23) Connor Murphy: wrist, 149 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:53) Erik Haula: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:14) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:52) Roman Josi: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:46) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:52) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 11:27) Ryan Greene: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:50) Connor Bedard: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:54) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:07) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:23) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:06) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:08) Frank Nazar: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:24) Nicolas Hague: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:48) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:51) Michael Bunting: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:27) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:24) Michael Bunting: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:29) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:36) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:51) Frank Nazar: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:12) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:36) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:49) Michael Bunting: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:22) Oliver Moore: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:45) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:16) Reid Schaefer: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:23) Ryan Greene: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:52) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:04) Ryan Greene: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:24) Ryan Greene: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:33) Connor Murphy: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:06) Ryan Donato: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:11) Nicolas Hague: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:39) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:17) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:52) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:35) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 173 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:40) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:45) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:19) Steven Stamkos: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:17) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:34) Connor Bedard: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:48) Ryan Greene: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:23) Nick Blankenburg: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:05) Brady Skjei: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:48) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:47) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:24) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.54 (P3 19:30) Connor Bedard: wrist, 127 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:51) Ryan Donato: GOAL, snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:10) Matthew Wood: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:46) Steven Stamkos: GOAL, backhand, 3 ft, xG 0.43 (P2 7:18) Ryan Greene: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 15:14) Luke Evangelista: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:27) Ryan O'Reilly: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 7:15) Teuvo Teravainen: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:28)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 112 +2 20.23 0119:04
56 Erik Haula 000 +1 20.23 3118:01
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 10.01 5216:18
77 Luke Evangelista 112 +3 50.81 0015:36
91 Steven Stamkos 112 +3 60.72 0015:24
9 Filip Forsberg 000 -1 80.13 0015:15
58 Michael Bunting 000 +1 60.24 1114:42
17 Tyson Jost 000 -1 00.00 0012:07
71 Matthew Wood 101 +1 10.06 1212:00
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 0 40.33 1011:09
9 Fedor Svechkov 011 -1 10.04 1110:34
49 Reid Schaefer 000 -1 20.19 3210:22
Defense
48 Nick Perbix 011 +1 10.01 0124:31
76 Brady Skjei 000 +1 40.13 2324:07
59 Roman Josi 000 0 30.01 1122:42
41 Nicolas Hague 011 +1 40.04 2121:21
3 Nick Blankenburg 011 0 70.11 0316:19
24 Spencer Stastney 000 0 30.01 1112:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 27324 .889 3.15 +0.15

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 000 0 70.46 0023:23
86 Teuvo Teravainen 101 0 20.14 1020:47
91 Frank Nazar 011 -1 50.40 1019:32
20 Ryan Greene 101 +1 90.71 0219:28
95 Andre Burakovsky 011 -1 40.38 0018:51
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 -1 20.07 0018:46
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 -1 30.11 0015:37
8 Ryan Donato 101 -1 70.34 3015:08
16 Jason Dickinson 000 -2 20.10 1214:01
34 Colton Dach 000 0 20.10 3110:06
11 Oliver Moore 011 0 30.10 1108:59
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 30.00 1121:01
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 0 20.02 0020:33
44 Wyatt Kaiser 011 -1 20.10 0215:52
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 0 40.00 1114:49
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 40.07 0112:27
46 Louis Crevier 000 -2 10.00 3110:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arvid Soderblom 29425 .862 2.77 -1.23

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
77 Luke Evangelista R +3.33 +1.45 +0.53 +1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:36
91 Steven Stamkos C +3.26 +1.45 +0.47 +1.40 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 15:24
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +2.19 +1.30 +0.15 +0.61 0.00 +0.06 +0.07 — 19:04
37 Nick Blankenburg D +1.54 +0.70 +0.07 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 16:19
71 Matthew Wood R +1.04 +0.75 +0.04 +0.01 +0.15 -0.01 +0.10 — 12:00
24 Spencer Stastney D +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:52
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.60 +0.55 +0.03 -0.05 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 10:34
58 Michael Bunting L +0.58 0.00 +0.15 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:42
41 Nicolas Hague D +0.50 +0.70 +0.03 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:21
48 Nick Perbix D +0.45 +0.55 +0.01 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 24:31
76 Brady Skjei D +0.44 0.00 +0.09 +0.55 -0.30 0.00 +0.11 — 24:07
47 Michael McCarron C +0.33 0.00 +0.01 +0.27 -0.08 +0.03 +0.10 — 16:18
56 Erik Haula L +0.32 0.00 +0.15 +0.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 18:01
74 Juuse Saros G +0.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.15 59:47
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C +0.15 0.00 +0.21 +0.01 -0.08 0.00 0.00 — 11:09
9 Filip Forsberg L +0.14 0.00 +0.08 -0.11 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 15:15
59 Roman Josi D -0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 22:42
49 Reid Schaefer L -0.40 0.00 +0.12 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:22
17 Tyson Jost C -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:07

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Ryan Greene C +2.11 +0.75 +0.46 +0.67 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 19:28
8 Ryan Donato C +1.07 +0.75 +0.22 -0.16 +0.30 0.00 -0.04 — 15:08
98 Connor Bedard C +0.63 0.00 +0.30 +0.38 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 23:23
11 Oliver Moore C +0.60 +0.70 +0.06 -0.25 +0.08 0.00 +0.01 — 8:59
6 Sam Rinzel D +0.49 +0.70 +0.04 -0.13 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:03
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.48 +0.75 +0.09 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 20:47
28 Andre Burakovsky L +0.47 +0.55 +0.25 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:51
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +0.39 +0.70 +0.07 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 15:52
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:49
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:33
91 Frank Nazar C -0.08 +0.55 +0.26 -0.84 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 19:32
5 Connor Murphy D -0.13 0.00 +0.04 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:27
95 Ilya Mikheyev R -0.13 0.00 +0.07 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:37
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.19 0.00 +0.07 -0.31 0.00 -0.05 +0.10 — 14:01
34 Colton Dach C -0.22 0.00 +0.07 -0.39 +0.08 -0.02 +0.05 — 10:06
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:01
46 Louis Crevier D -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:52
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L -0.76 0.00 +0.05 -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:46
40 Arvid Soderblom G -1.23 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.23 58:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.