Utah MammothUTA 3–4 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Friday, November 28, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Utah MammothUTA	2	1	0	3	30
Dallas StarsDAL	1	3	0	4	28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:57	UTA	Logan Cooley (14) Dylan Guenther (10), Kailer Yamamoto (3) · snap xG 0.19	1–0 ▶
12:17	UTA	Kevin Rooney (1) John Marino (11), Michael Carcone (4) · snap xG 0.11	2–0 ▶
17:38	DAL	Roope Hintz (8)PP Mikko Rantanen (19), Miro Heiskanen (18) · tip-in xG 0.12	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
8:16	DAL	Jamie Benn (2) Alexander Petrovic (6) · snap xG 0.22	2–2 ▶
9:18	DAL	Jason Robertson (15) Kyle Capobianco (3), Justin Hryckowian (5) · backhand xG 0.32	2–3 ▶
16:14	UTA	Jack McBain (2) Lawson Crouse (5), John Marino (12) · backhand xG 0.33	3–3 ▶
18:33	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (13)PP Mikko Rantanen (20), Miro Heiskanen (19) · snap xG 0.22	3–4 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 47%Deserve to win53% DAL

UTA		DAL
3.21	Expected goals	4.00
3	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.85	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.40
48	Shot attempts	48
39	Unblocked attempts	37
30	Shots on goal	28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:18	DAL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DAL takes the lead, 61–39% UTA had led since 8:37 of the 1st, by as much as 68%
3rd Period
6:20	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.43–0.14 In xG over 10 minutes, 17:00 of the 2nd to 7:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
18:15	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 4–3 With 1:45 left
19:18	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 4–3 With 0:42 left

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	1	1	21:06
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	-1	6	0.68	0	0	18:07
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	0	4	0.27	0	1	17:23
11	Dylan Guenther	0	1	1	0	10	0.77	2	0	16:35
67	Lawson Crouse	0	1	1	0	4	0.27	3	3	16:17
92	Logan Cooley	1	0	1	+1	1	0.19	2	1	15:24
22	Jack McBain	1	0	1	0	3	0.41	6	0	14:59
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	13:18
56	Kailer Yamamoto	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	12:33
53	Michael Carcone	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	11:33
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	2	0	09:35
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	0	25:10
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	-1	4	0.04	0	0	22:29
6	John Marino	0	2	2	+3	2	0.02	0	0	20:50
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	+2	2	0.03	1	1	19:37
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	17:37

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Vitek Vanecek	28	4	24	.857	3.39	-0.61

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	0	1	-2	3	0.27	0	0	20:12
21	Jason Robertson	1	0	1	+1	5	0.60	2	0	19:37
24	Roope Hintz	1	0	1	+1	5	0.53	1	1	19:22
96	Mikko Rantanen	0	2	2	-1	8	0.81	0	0	19:14
91	Tyler Seguin	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	18:15
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	13:25
14	Jamie Benn	1	0	1	0	1	0.22	3	0	12:43
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	-1	4	0.55	3	0	12:43
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	12:22
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	0	0	-1	3	0.34	1	0	11:20
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	10:57
12	Radek Faksa	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	09:34
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	2	2	-1	4	0.14	1	1	27:05
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	-1	4	0.35	1	0	25:35
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	20:15
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	1	2	18:44
20	Kyle Capobianco	0	1	1	+1	3	0.01	0	0	12:40
18	Vladislav Kolyachonok	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	0	11:57

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	30	3	27	.900	3.21	+0.21

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
6 John Marino D	+2.43	+1.25	+0.01	+1.21	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	20:50
92 Logan Cooley C	+1.69	+0.75	+0.12	+0.83	0.00	-0.04	+0.03	—	15:24
11 Dylan Guenther R	+1.48	+0.70	+0.50	+0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.08	—	16:35
53 Michael Carcone L	+1.39	+0.55	0.00	+0.84	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:33
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+1.17	+0.55	0.00	+0.76	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	12:33
25 Kevin Rooney C	+0.98	+0.75	+0.11	+0.17	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	9:44
67 Lawson Crouse L	+0.93	+0.70	+0.18	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	+0.13	—	16:17
22 Jack McBain C	+0.90	+0.75	+0.27	-0.13	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:59
88 Nate Schmidt D	+0.81	0.00	+0.02	+0.60	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	19:37
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+0.62	0.00	+0.08	+0.44	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	25:10
9 Clayton Keller R	+0.41	0.00	+0.44	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:07
13 Brandon Tanev L	+0.27	0.00	+0.06	+0.22	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:35
77 JJ Peterka R	+0.07	0.00	+0.18	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:23
8 Nick Schmaltz C	-0.04	0.00	+0.09	-0.21	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	21:06
50 Sean Durzi D	-0.42	0.00	+0.02	-0.13	-0.30	0.00	-0.02	—	22:29
82 Kevin Stenlund C	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	-0.32	-0.15	+0.05	-0.02	—	13:18
26 Dmitri Simashev D	-0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	12:31
41 Vitek Vanecek G	-0.61	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.61	58:25
28 Ian Cole D	-0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.65	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	17:37

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+1.50	+1.10	+0.09	+0.11	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	27:05
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+1.40	+1.40	+0.53	-0.53	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:14
20 Kyle Capobianco D	+1.35	+0.70	0.00	+0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:40
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+1.31	+0.55	+0.36	+0.38	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	12:43
21 Jason Robertson L	+1.06	+0.75	+0.39	+0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.10	—	19:37
14 Jamie Benn L	+0.97	+0.75	+0.15	-0.21	+0.30	-0.02	0.00	—	12:43
24 Roope Hintz C	+0.92	+0.75	+0.34	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	19:22
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+0.88	0.00	+0.22	+0.66	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:20
44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D	+0.52	0.00	+0.01	+0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:57
23 Esa Lindell D	+0.37	0.00	+0.23	+0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	25:35
29 Jake Oettinger G	+0.21	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.21	60:00
10 Oskar Bäck C	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:25
12 Radek Faksa C	-0.01	0.00	+0.06	-0.10	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	9:34
91 Tyler Seguin C	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	18:15
53 Wyatt Johnston C	-0.17	+0.75	+0.17	-1.07	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	20:12
15 Colin Blackwell C	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.38	+0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	10:57
18 Sam Steel C	-0.52	0.00	+0.04	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:22
28 Alexander Petrovic D	-0.61	+0.70	+0.01	-1.38	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	18:44
6 Lian Bichsel D	-1.34	0.00	0.00	-1.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.