| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
 |
2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:32 | |
Brock Nelson (7) Artturi Lehkonen (14), Joel Kiviranta (1) · wrist xG 0.14 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 13:25 | |
Gabriel Landeskog (4) Brock Nelson (7), Ross Colton (8) · wrist xG 0.24 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:50 | |
Brent Burns (3) Brock Nelson (8) · snap xG 0.08 | 0–3 ▶ |
| 3:55 | |
Brock Nelson (8) Martin Necas (18), Artturi Lehkonen (15) · snap xG 0.18 | 0–4 ▶ |
| 8:27 | |
Ivan Demidov (6) Juraj Slafkovský (6), Oliver Kapanen (6) · snap xG 0.06 | 1–4 ▶ |
| 19:05 | |
Nathan MacKinnon (20) Gabriel Landeskog (7), Cale Makar (23) · wrist xG 0.23 | 1–5 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:51 | |
Devon Toews (1) Martin Necas (19), Nathan MacKinnon (23) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–6 ▶ |
| 5:10 | |
Lane Hutson (4)PP Cole Caufield (12), Nick Suzuki (21) · slap xG 0.08 | 2–6 ▶ |
| 6:52 | |
Gabriel Landeskog (5)PP Nathan MacKinnon (24), Martin Necas (20) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 2–7 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | Expected goals | 4.00 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 1.52 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.76 |
| 45 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 36 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:55 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Dobes −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.64 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 5:33 | COL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 62–38%
MTL had led since 4:41 of the 1st, by as much as 72% |
| 10:40 | COL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.25–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:40 to 10:40 of the 2nd; goals 2–1 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 18:43 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 15:47 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 15:08 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 13:55 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 13:54 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 11:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 23:10 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 | 22:53 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 22:30 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 21:46 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 9 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 42 | Adam Engstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 13:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 36 | 7 | 29 | .806 | 4.00 | -3.00 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 62 | Artturi Lehkonen | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:14 |
| 88 | Martin Necas | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 18 | Jack Drury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 11 | Brock Nelson | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 |
| 92 | Gabriel Landeskog | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| 79 | Ross Colton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 14:57 |
| 29 | Nathan MacKinnon | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 |
| 17 | Parker Kelly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 22 | Joel Kiviranta | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 13:09 |
| 93 | Zakhar Bardakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 13:02 |
| 95 | Victor Olofsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cale Makar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 |
| 70 | Sam Malinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 20:57 |
| 84 | Brent Burns | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 49 | Samuel Girard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 18:51 |
| 42 | Josh Manson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 |
| 7 | Devon Toews | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 2.04 | +0.04 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:12 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:30 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.73 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:47 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.59 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:32 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.24 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:05 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +0.04 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.54 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 18:43 |
| 42 Adam Engstrom D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:29 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.58 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:54 |
| 63 Florian Xhekaj L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:35 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:46 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 23:10 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.53 | -0.30 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:55 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.61 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:53 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:08 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -1.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:09 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:26 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 22:53 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | -3.00 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.00 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Brock Nelson C | +4.16 | +2.90 | +0.40 | +1.07 | -0.15 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 17:00 |
| 88 Martin Necas C | +3.56 | +1.95 | +0.21 | +1.09 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:06 |
| 29 Nathan MacKinnon C | +3.06 | +2.00 | +0.34 | +0.53 | +0.15 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 14:49 |
| 92 Gabriel Landeskog L | +3.04 | +2.20 | +0.43 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:12 |
| 8 Cale Makar D | +2.28 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:14 |
| 62 Artturi Lehkonen L | +2.25 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 18:14 |
| 20 Ross Colton C | +1.60 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:57 |
| 7 Devon Toews D | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.77 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:36 |
| 84 Brent Burns D | +1.23 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:11 |
| 94 Joel Kiviranta L | +1.17 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:09 |
| 70 Sam Malinski D | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:57 |
| 49 Samuel Girard D | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:51 |
| 18 Jack Drury C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.02 | — | 17:36 |
| 42 Josh Manson D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:10 |
| 82 Ivan Ivan C | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:23 |
| 93 Zakhar Bardakov C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 13:02 |
| 39 Mackenzie Blackwood G | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.04 | 59:58 |
| 17 Parker Kelly C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 14:15 |
| 95 Victor Olofsson L | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:28 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.