| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:29 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (6)PP Evan Bouchard (18), Connor McDavid (25) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:30 | Leon Draisaitl (15) Andrew Mangiapane (5), Ty Emberson (4) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 18:51 | Zach Hyman (1)PP Leon Draisaitl (16), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (12) · deflected xG 0.13 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:25 | Connor McDavid (11) Zach Hyman (3), Mattias Ekholm (9) · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.39 | Expected goals | 2.74 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 2.09 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.31 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:55 | SEA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 62–38%
EDM had led since 3:47 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:19 | EDM | Goalie | Goalie · Skinner +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 19 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 21:15 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 17:39 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 14:44 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 13:20 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | 1 | 0 | 13:15 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 09:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 23:38 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 3 | 19:29 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 17:59 |
| 75 | Alec Regula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 26 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 2.74 | +2.74 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.33 | 4 | 1 | 15:59 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 12:33 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 11:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22:52 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 21:36 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 18:39 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 17:54 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:48 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 14:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 2.39 | -1.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | +2.89 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | +2.74 | 59:40 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +2.33 | +1.45 | +0.19 | +0.85 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:15 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +2.06 | +1.45 | +0.21 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:27 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +1.65 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:38 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +1.58 | +1.30 | +0.07 | +0.31 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 17:39 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.56 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:00 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +1.47 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 13:20 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +1.19 | +1.30 | +0.07 | -0.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:41 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:44 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:15 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.77 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:59 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 16:27 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.13 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:29 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:29 |
| 75 Alec Regula D | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:25 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:25 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 10:04 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:25 |
| 64 Connor Clattenburg C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 6:38 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:40 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:39 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 19:17 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.14 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:59 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:11 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:03 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:43 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:36 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:35 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:51 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.42 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 17:23 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:33 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:48 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:54 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:48 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:52 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -1.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:24 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -1.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.61 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.