Saturday, November 29, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
PHI 56%Deserve to win 44% NJD
PHI NJD
4.02 Expected goals 2.77
5 Goals (no shootout) 3
2.72 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.50
48 Shot attempts 75
39 Unblocked attempts 49
31 Shots on goal 32
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
13:03
NJD
Goalie
Goalie · Markstrom −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.96 xG, 16 shots on goal
Shot map
PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NJD shoots
Nico Hischier: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:15)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:25)
Jesper Bratt: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:42)
Cam York: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:11)
Tyson Foerster: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:48)
Bobby Brink: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:44)
Jamie Drysdale: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:51)
Timo Meier: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:33)
Matvei Michkov: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:29)
Nico Hischier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:09)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:39)
Dougie Hamilton: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:48)
Dougie Hamilton: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:58)
Dawson Mercer: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:07)
Christian Dvorak: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:29)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:32)
Jesper Bratt: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:39)
Luke Hughes: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:55)
Luke Hughes: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:11)
Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:10)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:19)
Nico Hischier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:44)
Arseny Gritsyuk: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:05)
Dawson Mercer: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:11)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:15)
Ondrej Palat: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:18)
Jonas Siegenthaler: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:44)
Sean Couturier: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:57)
Matvei Michkov: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 2:59)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:05)
Simon Nemec: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:48)
Timo Meier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:06)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:41)
Owen Tippett: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:33)
Christian Dvorak: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:24)
Egor Zamula: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:40)
Dawson Mercer: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:16)
Luke Glendening: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:27)
Juho Lammikko: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:38)
Juho Lammikko: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:05)
Simon Nemec: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:16)
Jesper Bratt: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 12:53)
Tyson Foerster: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:07)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:28)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:38)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:02)
Dawson Mercer: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:27)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:37)
Jesper Bratt: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:27)
Luke Hughes: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:37)
Timo Meier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:38)
Timo Meier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:39)
Timo Meier: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:01)
Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:32)
Ondrej Palat: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:22)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:13)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:50)
Tyson Foerster: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:57)
Cam York: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:28)
Bobby Brink: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:52)
Dougie Hamilton: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:36)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:39)
Simon Nemec: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:37)
Nick Seeler: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:11)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:16)
Luke Hughes: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:41)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:08)
Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:19)
Egor Zamula: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:24)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:09)
Nico Hischier: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:26)
Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:37)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:45)
Dawson Mercer: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:46)
Luke Hughes: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:25)
Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:34)
Owen Tippett: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:55)
Stefan Noesen: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:38)
Cody Glass: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:02)
Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:30)
Owen Tippett: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 5:18)
Simon Nemec: GOAL, slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:09)
Matvei Michkov: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 0:53)
Matvei Michkov: GOAL, deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:16)
Trevor Zegras: GOAL, slap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:03)
Timo Meier: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:33)
Dawson Mercer: GOAL, backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:28)
Owen Tippett: GOAL, shot, 72 ft, xG 0.90 (P3 19:11)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Philadelphia Flyers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dan Vladar
32 3 29
.906
2.77
-0.23
New Jersey Devils
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
74 Owen Tippett R
+3.70
+2.20
+0.90
+0.52
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
15:34
39 Matvei Michkov R
+3.31
+1.50
+0.57
+1.40
-0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
12:57
11 Travis Konecny R
+1.98
+1.40
+0.07
+0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
17:27
46 Trevor Zegras C
+1.94
+1.30
+0.22
+0.39
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
15:06
14 Sean Couturier C
+1.69
0.00
+0.09
+1.22
+0.15
+0.06
+0.17
—
17:29
6 Travis Sanheim D
+1.40
+0.55
0.00
+0.73
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
24:52
22 Christian Dvorak C
+1.27
+0.70
+0.09
+0.49
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
19:00
9 Jamie Drysdale D
+1.20
0.00
+0.02
+1.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:50
8 Cam York D
+1.05
+0.55
+0.08
+0.44
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
23:10
10 Bobby Brink R
+0.63
0.00
+0.13
+0.46
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
13:12
24 Nick Seeler D
+0.63
0.00
+0.02
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.25
—
19:12
36 Emil Andrae D
+0.50
0.00
+0.01
+0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:29
18 Rodrigo Abols C
+0.24
0.00
+0.12
+0.17
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
10:45
29 Nikita Grebenkin R
+0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.21
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
9:25
71 Tyson Foerster R
+0.16
0.00
+0.17
-0.19
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
16:15
5 Egor Zamula D
+0.11
0.00
+0.02
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
14:22
19 Garnet Hathaway R
-0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.07
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
10:08
27 Noah Cates L
-0.12
0.00
+0.11
-0.22
0.00
-0.08
+0.07
—
16:57
80 Dan Vladar G
-0.23
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.23
60:00
New Jersey Devils
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
91 Dawson Mercer C
+2.23
+1.45
+0.41
+0.39
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
18:49
63 Jesper Bratt L
+1.05
+1.25
+0.30
-0.53
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
20:52
7 Dougie Hamilton D
+0.66
0.00
+0.12
+0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
25:35
28 Timo Meier R
+0.62
+0.75
+0.14
-0.39
+0.15
+0.01
-0.04
—
22:11
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R
+0.57
0.00
+0.04
+0.54
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:36
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D
+0.56
0.00
+0.03
+0.40
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
20:37
18 Ondrej Palat L
+0.25
0.00
+0.06
+0.21
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:20
13 Nico Hischier C
+0.06
+0.55
+0.21
-0.73
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
23:52
45 Colton White D
-0.32
0.00
0.00
-0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
12:31
5 Brenden Dillon D
-0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.25
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
14:24
83 Juho Lammikko C
-0.40
0.00
+0.09
-0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:07
16 Connor Brown R
-0.62
0.00
0.00
-0.67
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:18
12 Cody Glass C
-0.63
0.00
+0.03
-0.69
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
12:04
14 Luke Glendening C
-0.63
0.00
+0.11
-0.77
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
10:20
11 Stefan Noesen R
-0.72
0.00
+0.02
-0.74
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:14
25 Jacob Markstrom G
-0.88
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.88
59:47
47 Paul Cotter L
-1.04
0.00
0.00
-1.02
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:06
17 Simon Nemec D
-1.11
+0.75
+0.13
-1.93
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
20:16
43 Luke Hughes D
-1.61
0.00
+0.11
-1.77
+0.15
0.00
-0.10
—
22:01
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.