Philadelphia FlyersPHI 5–3 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 131 5 31
New Jersey DevilsNJD 111 3 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:18 PHI Owen Tippett (7) Christian Dvorak (10), Trevor Zegras (15) · backhand xG 0.16 1–0 ▶
12:09 NJD Simon Nemec (6) Jesper Bratt (18), Nico Hischier (14) · slap xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:53 PHI Matvei Michkov (7) Travis Konecny (13), Travis Sanheim (7) · backhand xG 0.32 2–1 ▶
3:16 PHI Matvei Michkov (8) Travis Konecny (14), Cam York (11) · deflected xG 0.14 3–1 ▶
13:03 PHI Trevor Zegras (9) Owen Tippett (9) · slap xG 0.15 4–1 ▶
19:33 NJD Timo Meier (9)PP Dawson Mercer (10), Jesper Bratt (19) · wrist xG 0.07 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:28 NJD Dawson Mercer (10) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.09 4–3 ▶
19:11 PHI Owen Tippett (8)EN Unassisted · xG 0.90 5–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 56%Deserve to win44% NJD
PHINJD
4.02Expected goals2.77
5Goals (no shootout)3
2.72Expected goals, 5 on 51.50
48Shot attempts75
39Unblocked attempts49
31Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:03 NJD Goalie Goalie · Markstrom −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.96 xG, 16 shots on goal

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Nico Hischier: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:15) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:25) Jesper Bratt: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:42) Cam York: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:11) Tyson Foerster: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:48) Bobby Brink: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:44) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:51) Timo Meier: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:33) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:29) Nico Hischier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:09) Travis Konecny: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:39) Dougie Hamilton: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:48) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:58) Dawson Mercer: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:07) Christian Dvorak: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:29) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:32) Jesper Bratt: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:39) Luke Hughes: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:55) Luke Hughes: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:11) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:10) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:19) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:44) Arseny Gritsyuk: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:05) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:11) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:15) Ondrej Palat: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:18) Jonas Siegenthaler: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:44) Sean Couturier: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:57) Matvei Michkov: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 2:59) Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:05) Simon Nemec: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:48) Timo Meier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:06) Nick Seeler: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:41) Owen Tippett: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:33) Christian Dvorak: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:24) Egor Zamula: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:40) Dawson Mercer: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:16) Luke Glendening: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:27) Juho Lammikko: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:38) Juho Lammikko: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:05) Simon Nemec: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:16) Jesper Bratt: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 12:53) Tyson Foerster: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:07) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:28) Emil Andrae: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:38) Bobby Brink: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:02) Dawson Mercer: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:27) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:37) Jesper Bratt: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:27) Luke Hughes: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:37) Timo Meier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:38) Timo Meier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:39) Timo Meier: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:01) Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:32) Ondrej Palat: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:22) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:13) Nick Seeler: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:50) Tyson Foerster: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:57) Cam York: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:28) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:52) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:36) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:39) Simon Nemec: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:37) Nick Seeler: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:11) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:16) Luke Hughes: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:41) Owen Tippett: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:08) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:19) Egor Zamula: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:24) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:09) Nico Hischier: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:26) Dawson Mercer: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:37) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:45) Dawson Mercer: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:46) Luke Hughes: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:25) Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:34) Owen Tippett: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:55) Stefan Noesen: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:38) Cody Glass: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:02) Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:30) Owen Tippett: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 5:18) Simon Nemec: GOAL, slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:09) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 0:53) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:16) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, slap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:03) Timo Meier: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:33) Dawson Mercer: GOAL, backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:28) Owen Tippett: GOAL, shot, 72 ft, xG 0.90 (P3 19:11)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 011 +2 30.15 0019:00
14 Sean Couturier 000 +1 10.14 4317:29
11 Travis Konecny 022 +2 30.10 1217:27
27 Noah Cates 000 +1 10.17 0116:57
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 30.26 3116:15
74 Owen Tippett 213 +2 51.38 2215:34
46 Trevor Zegras 112 +1 50.33 0115:06
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 40.20 1113:12
39 Matvei Michkov 202 +1 70.88 1012:57
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 20.19 3010:45
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.00 0010:08
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 00.00 2009:25
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 011 +1 00.00 0224:52
8 Cam York 011 0 40.13 1323:10
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 +3 20.02 0019:50
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 30.03 2519:12
36 Emil Andrae 000 +1 20.02 0016:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 32329 .906 2.77 -0.23

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Nico Hischier 011 -2 80.32 0023:52
28 Timo Meier 101 -1 70.21 6022:11
63 Jesper Bratt 022 -2 80.46 0020:52
91 Dawson Mercer 112 0 90.63 0018:49
16 Connor Brown 000 -1 00.00 0115:18
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 0 20.05 3013:36
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 30.10 0013:20
47 Paul Cotter 000 -2 10.00 3012:06
12 Cody Glass 000 -1 30.05 0012:04
41 Luke Glendening 000 -1 10.17 2010:20
11 Stefan Noesen 000 -1 30.03 0010:14
83 Juho Lammikko 000 0 20.14 1008:07
Defense
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 +1 80.19 1125:35
43 Luke Hughes 000 -3 100.17 0022:01
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 +1 30.04 2320:37
71 Simon Nemec 101 -4 60.21 0220:16
5 Brenden Dillon 000 0 10.00 2014:24
6 Colton White 000 0 00.00 0012:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 31427 .871 3.12 -0.88

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
74 Owen Tippett R +3.70 +2.20 +0.90 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:34
39 Matvei Michkov R +3.31 +1.50 +0.57 +1.40 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 12:57
11 Travis Konecny R +1.98 +1.40 +0.07 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:27
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.94 +1.30 +0.22 +0.39 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:06
14 Sean Couturier C +1.69 0.00 +0.09 +1.22 +0.15 +0.06 +0.17 — 17:29
6 Travis Sanheim D +1.40 +0.55 0.00 +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 24:52
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.27 +0.70 +0.09 +0.49 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:00
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.20 0.00 +0.02 +1.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:50
8 Cam York D +1.05 +0.55 +0.08 +0.44 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 23:10
10 Bobby Brink R +0.63 0.00 +0.13 +0.46 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:12
24 Nick Seeler D +0.63 0.00 +0.02 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 19:12
36 Emil Andrae D +0.50 0.00 +0.01 +0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:29
18 Rodrigo Abols C +0.24 0.00 +0.12 +0.17 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 10:45
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:25
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.16 0.00 +0.17 -0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:15
5 Egor Zamula D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 14:22
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.07 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 10:08
27 Noah Cates L -0.12 0.00 +0.11 -0.22 0.00 -0.08 +0.07 — 16:57
80 Dan Vladar G -0.23 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.23 60:00

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Dawson Mercer C +2.23 +1.45 +0.41 +0.39 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:49
63 Jesper Bratt L +1.05 +1.25 +0.30 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:52
7 Dougie Hamilton D +0.66 0.00 +0.12 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 25:35
28 Timo Meier R +0.62 +0.75 +0.14 -0.39 +0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 22:11
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.57 0.00 +0.04 +0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:36
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D +0.56 0.00 +0.03 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 20:37
18 Ondrej Palat L +0.25 0.00 +0.06 +0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:20
13 Nico Hischier C +0.06 +0.55 +0.21 -0.73 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 23:52
45 Colton White D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:31
5 Brenden Dillon D -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:24
83 Juho Lammikko C -0.40 0.00 +0.09 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:07
16 Connor Brown R -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:18
12 Cody Glass C -0.63 0.00 +0.03 -0.69 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 12:04
14 Luke Glendening C -0.63 0.00 +0.11 -0.77 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 10:20
11 Stefan Noesen R -0.72 0.00 +0.02 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:14
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.88 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.88 59:47
47 Paul Cotter L -1.04 0.00 0.00 -1.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:06
17 Simon Nemec D -1.11 +0.75 +0.13 -1.93 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 20:16
43 Luke Hughes D -1.61 0.00 +0.11 -1.77 +0.15 0.00 -0.10 — 22:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.