Winnipeg JetsWPG 5–2 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG	2	1	2	5	27
Nashville PredatorsNSH	0	1	1	2	23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:47	WPG	Gabriel Vilardi (11) Mark Scheifele (18), Dylan Samberg (1) · snap xG 0.40	1–0 ▶
19:06	WPG	Nino Niederreiter (5) Luke Schenn (3), Dylan Samberg (2) · snap xG 0.05	2–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:18	WPG	Cole Perfetti (2) Vladislav Namestnikov (2), Jonathan Toews (6) · wrist xG 0.19	3–0 ▶
17:02	NSH	Nick Blankenburg (4)PP Luke Evangelista (13), Erik Haula (10) · slap xG 0.05	3–1 ▶
3rd Period
2:45	NSH	Luke Evangelista (4) Erik Haula (11), Roman Josi (6) · backhand xG 0.04	3–2 ▶
9:37	WPG	Kyle Connor (12) Luke Schenn (4), Gabriel Vilardi (10) · tip-in xG 0.05	4–2 ▶
19:39	WPG	Nino Niederreiter (6)EN Alex Iafallo (5), Dylan Samberg (3) · backhand xG 0.84	5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 68%Deserve to win32% NSH

WPG		NSH
5.19	Expected goals	2.10
5	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.42	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.58
50	Shot attempts	55
42	Unblocked attempts	39
27	Shots on goal	23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:10	WPG	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NSH 1.12–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 0:10 to 10:10 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
2:40	NSH	No shift	No shift · McCarron, 18:22 on the bench No shift after 12:02 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (8:32) before that
15:30	NSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Annunen, down 4–2 With 4:30 left
17:06	NSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Annunen, down 4–2 With 2:54 left
19:00	NSH	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Annunen, down 4–2 With 1:00 left; WPG scored at 19:39 of the 3rd (5–2)

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
81	Kyle Connor	1	0	1	+2	5	0.09	0	0	18:42
19	Jonathan Toews	0	1	1	+1	5	0.50	1	0	17:41
55	Mark Scheifele	0	1	1	+2	4	0.23	0	0	16:56
62	Nino Niederreiter	2	0	2	+1	6	1.33	2	0	16:30
13	Gabriel Vilardi	1	1	2	+2	3	0.93	0	0	16:01
91	Cole Perfetti	1	0	1	+1	3	0.34	1	0	15:50
17	Adam Lowry	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	14:59
7	Vladislav Namestnikov	0	1	1	+1	3	0.30	4	1	14:22
14	Gustav Nyquist	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	14:20
9	Alex Iafallo	0	1	1	+1	6	0.54	1	2	13:49
36	Morgan Barron	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	0	10:35
70	Tanner Pearson	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	10:29
Defense
44	Josh Morrissey	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	0	1	22:55
54	Dylan Samberg	0	3	3	+1	2	0.07	1	1	21:51
2	Dylan DeMelo	0	0	0	+3	1	0.01	3	3	19:46
2	Luke Schenn	0	2	2	+1	4	0.47	4	2	19:04
6	Colin Miller	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	16:40
8	Logan Stanley	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	1	13:20

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Eric Comrie	23	2	21	.913	2.10	+0.10

Nashville Predators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
90	Ryan O'Reilly	0	0	0	-3	3	0.19	0	1	21:26
9	Filip Forsberg	0	0	0	0	5	0.16	1	0	19:33
56	Erik Haula	0	2	2	0	1	0.03	1	0	18:51
91	Steven Stamkos	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	2	0	18:12
77	Luke Evangelista	1	1	2	-2	4	0.17	0	0	17:01
58	Michael Bunting	0	0	0	0	4	0.03	2	0	15:29
71	Matthew Wood	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	13:45
89	Ozzy Wiesblatt	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	7	0	12:22
9	Fedor Svechkov	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	0	0	11:25
49	Reid Schaefer	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	0	0	08:46
17	Tyson Jost	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	1	08:40
47	Michael McCarron	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	08:32
Defense
59	Roman Josi	0	1	1	-2	6	0.19	0	2	27:12
3	Nick Blankenburg	1	0	1	-1	6	0.11	0	1	22:11
41	Nicolas Hague	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	3	1	21:18
76	Brady Skjei	0	0	0	-2	4	0.03	2	2	19:51
48	Nick Perbix	0	0	0	-3	1	0.08	1	0	17:08
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	13:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Justus Annunen	26	4	22	.846	3.07	-0.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
62 Nino Niederreiter R	+2.66	+1.50	+0.86	+0.30	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:30
13 Gabriel Vilardi C	+2.19	+1.30	+0.60	+0.43	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	16:01
19 Jonathan Toews C	+1.64	+0.55	+0.33	+0.77	0.00	+0.05	-0.06	—	17:41
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C	+1.63	+0.70	+0.20	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:22
2 Dylan DeMelo D	+1.59	0.00	+0.01	+1.43	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	19:46
5 Luke Schenn D	+1.58	+1.40	+0.30	-0.35	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	19:04
9 Alex Iafallo L	+1.49	+0.70	+0.35	+0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	13:49
54 Dylan Samberg D	+1.40	+1.65	+0.04	-0.21	-0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	21:51
91 Cole Perfetti C	+1.35	+0.75	+0.22	+0.57	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	15:50
44 Josh Morrissey D	+1.24	0.00	0.00	+1.23	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:55
55 Mark Scheifele C	+1.24	+0.70	+0.15	+0.46	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	—	16:56
81 Kyle Connor L	+1.17	+0.75	+0.06	+0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:42
6 Colin Miller D	+0.39	0.00	+0.03	+0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:40
17 Adam Lowry C	+0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.26	0.00	+0.02	+0.10	—	14:59
36 Morgan Barron C	+0.33	0.00	+0.14	-0.13	+0.30	+0.02	0.00	—	10:35
64 Logan Stanley D	+0.25	0.00	+0.02	+0.33	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:20
1 Eric Comrie G	+0.25	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+0.10	59:40
70 Tanner Pearson L	+0.08	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	10:29
14 Gustav Nyquist R	0.00	0.00	+0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	14:20

Nashville Predators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
56 Erik Haula L	+1.74	+1.25	+0.02	+0.46	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	18:51
59 Roman Josi D	+1.02	+0.55	+0.12	+0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	27:12
77 Luke Evangelista R	+0.80	+1.45	+0.11	-0.87	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	17:01
37 Nick Blankenburg D	+0.66	+0.75	+0.07	-0.34	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	22:11
9 Filip Forsberg L	+0.54	0.00	+0.11	+0.46	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	19:33
49 Reid Schaefer L	+0.31	0.00	+0.21	+0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:46
41 Nicolas Hague D	+0.17	0.00	+0.13	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:18
40 Fedor Svechkov C	-0.01	0.00	+0.15	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:25
17 Tyson Jost C	-0.17	0.00	+0.05	-0.11	-0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	8:40
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C	-0.20	0.00	+0.07	-0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:22
47 Michael McCarron C	-0.23	0.00	+0.08	-0.24	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	—	8:32
71 Matthew Wood R	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:45
76 Brady Skjei D	-0.54	0.00	+0.02	-0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:51
24 Spencer Stastney D	-0.57	0.00	+0.01	-0.74	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	13:50
58 Michael Bunting L	-0.71	0.00	+0.02	-0.70	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:29
29 Justus Annunen G	-0.93	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.93	56:28
48 Nick Perbix D	-1.21	0.00	+0.05	-1.21	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	17:08
91 Steven Stamkos C	-1.28	0.00	+0.03	-1.29	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	18:12
90 Ryan O'Reilly C	-1.29	0.00	+0.12	-1.34	-0.15	+0.03	+0.05	—	21:26

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.