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Utah MammothUTA 0–1 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 000 0 18
St. Louis BluesSTL 010 1 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
18:10 STL Dylan Holloway (7) Philip Broberg (8), Robert Thomas (12) · wrist xG 0.04 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 33%Deserve to win67% STL
UTASTL
2.11Expected goals3.06
0Goals (no shootout)1
1.39Expected goals, 5 on 51.90
64Shot attempts47
39Unblocked attempts33
18Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
0:50 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.34–0.22
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:50 of the 2nd to 0:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
7:49 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.01 xG, 19 shots on goal
18:31 UTA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 1–0
With 1:29 left
19:14 STL Goalie Goalie · Hofer +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 15 shots on goal

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:00) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:00) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:01) Mathieu Joseph: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:34) Colton Parayko: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:13) Alexey Toropchenko: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 4:11) Sean Durzi: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:14) Justin Faulk: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:40) Justin Faulk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:53) Brayden Schenn: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:55) Justin Faulk: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:42) John Marino: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:08) Nate Schmidt: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:11) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:17) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:40) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:30) Nick DeSimone: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:30) Nick DeSimone: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 12:32) Clayton Keller: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:40) Logan Cooley: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:27) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:46) Philip Broberg: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:54) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:01) Kailer Yamamoto: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:48) Sean Durzi: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:38) Logan Cooley: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:26) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:22) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:25) Michael Carcone: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:09) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:33) Lawson Crouse: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:10) Lawson Crouse: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:18) Robert Thomas: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:31) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:25) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:43) Pavel Buchnevich: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:20) Kailer Yamamoto: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:57) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:48) Jimmy Snuggerud: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:10) Michael Carcone: snap, 3 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:22) Nick DeSimone: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:25) JJ Peterka: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:59) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 18:42) Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 19:08) Cam Fowler: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:25) Jimmy Snuggerud: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:57) Dylan Holloway: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:47) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 0:49) Ian Cole: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:34) Clayton Keller: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:22) Clayton Keller: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:23) Sean Durzi: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:04) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:17) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:36) Ian Cole: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:24) Clayton Keller: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:22) Nick Schmaltz: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:11) Nick Bjugstad: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:49) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:58) Clayton Keller: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:18) Clayton Keller: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:24) Michael Carcone: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:30) John Marino: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:42) John Marino: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:30) Dylan Guenther: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:33) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:49) JJ Peterka: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:32) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:14) Clayton Keller: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:26) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:42) Sean Durzi: slap, 117 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:59) Dylan Holloway: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:10)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 000 0 80.51 0020:33
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 0 40.25 0120:00
11 Dylan Guenther 000 -1 50.27 2019:51
10 JJ Peterka 000 0 30.03 0118:32
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 0 10.00 2115:26
67 Lawson Crouse 000 0 30.27 2215:21
53 Michael Carcone 000 0 60.15 2014:52
27 Barrett Hayton 000 0 10.00 0014:51
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 -1 30.19 1013:40
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 40.00 6112:29
92 Logan Cooley 000 0 30.04 0011:01
13 Brandon Tanev 000 0 10.00 1007:42
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 0 30.03 0122:40
88 Nate Schmidt 000 0 20.01 2418:58
5 Sean Durzi 000 0 70.06 0118:35
28 Ian Cole 000 -1 30.02 1118:21
6 John Marino 000 0 40.06 1018:05
57 Nick DeSimone 000 -1 30.23 0016:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 19118 .947 3.06 +2.06

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 011 +1 10.08 0121:27
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 70.77 1018:22
81 Dylan Holloway 101 +1 40.18 2116:44
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 +1 40.28 1015:02
10 Brayden Schenn 000 0 40.21 2014:57
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 20.06 2214:40
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 0 10.00 1114:22
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 0 30.16 0013:20
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 20.03 2013:20
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 20.11 2112:47
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 0 30.28 2012:00
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 20.53 1108:58
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 011 +1 20.09 1423:40
55 Colton Parayko 000 +1 20.11 2522:52
17 Cam Fowler 000 0 40.06 0022:12
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 30.09 5421:32
4 Matthew Kessel 000 0 00.00 0113:26
23 Logan Mailloux 000 0 10.00 2213:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 18018 1.000 2.11 +2.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
70 Karel Vejmelka G +2.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.06 58:31
92 Logan Cooley C +0.89 0.00 +0.02 +0.53 +0.38 -0.02 -0.02 — 11:01
11 Dylan Guenther R +0.68 0.00 +0.17 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:51
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +0.56 0.00 +0.12 +0.43 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:40
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.51 0.00 +0.15 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:32
28 Ian Cole D +0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:21
27 Barrett Hayton C +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 14:51
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.04 0.00 +0.18 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:21
13 Brandon Tanev L -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:42
53 Michael Carcone L -0.11 0.00 +0.10 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:52
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:26
22 Jack McBain C -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:29
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 18:58
98 Mikhail Sergachev D -0.45 0.00 +0.02 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:40
9 Clayton Keller R -0.46 0.00 +0.33 -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:33
50 Sean Durzi D -0.49 0.00 +0.04 -0.41 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 18:35
8 Nick Schmaltz C -0.59 0.00 +0.16 -0.83 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 20:00
6 John Marino D -0.62 0.00 +0.04 -0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:05
77 JJ Peterka R -0.78 0.00 +0.02 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:32

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Philip Broberg D +2.17 +0.70 +0.06 +1.04 +0.15 0.00 +0.22 — 23:40
30 Joel Hofer G +2.11 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.11 60:00
18 Robert Thomas C +1.15 +0.55 +0.05 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:27
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.12 +0.75 +0.12 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:44
55 Colton Parayko D +1.05 0.00 +0.07 +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 22:52
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.55 0.00 +0.50 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:22
51 Matthew Kessel D +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:26
63 Jake Neighbours L +0.44 0.00 +0.02 +0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:20
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.43 0.00 +0.04 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:40
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.38 0.00 +0.11 +0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:20
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.30 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 14:22
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.30 0.00 +0.35 +0.27 -0.38 0.00 +0.05 — 8:58
72 Justin Faulk D +0.25 0.00 +0.06 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 +0.20 — 21:32
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.25 0.00 +0.19 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:02
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.02 0.00 -0.04 +0.01 — 12:47
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.02 0.00 +0.18 -0.17 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:00
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.02 0.00 +0.14 -0.14 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:57
23 Logan Mailloux D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:02
17 Cam Fowler D -0.57 0.00 +0.04 -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 22:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.