| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:15 | Cutter Gauthier (15) Troy Terry (21), Leo Carlsson (21) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 0:47 | Olen Zellweger (5) Troy Terry (22), Cutter Gauthier (15) · snap xG 0.10 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 10:25 | Chris Kreider (12) Beckett Sennecke (12), Mason McTavish (13) · deflected xG 0.25 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 17:57 | Tyler Bertuzzi (13)PP Frank Nazar (12), Connor Bedard (20) · tip-in xG 0.18 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:43 | Ryan Greene (4) Connor Bedard (21), Andre Burakovsky (10) · snap xG 0.13 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 12:34 | Colton Dach (3)PP Teuvo Teravainen (11), Artyom Levshunov (12) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:55 | Connor Bedard (15) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.38 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 18:05 | Connor Bedard (16)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.51 | 3–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | Expected goals | 3.71 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.74 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.08 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 18 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:25 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.68 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:09 | ANA | Goalie change | Goalie change · Husso in for Mrazek
9:09 of the 3rd; Mrazek had allowed 3 goals on 16 shots (2.23 xG) |
| 9:49 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 60–40%
ANA had led since 0:47 of the 1st, by as much as 64% |
| 18:00 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 4–3
With 2:00 left; CHI scored at 18:05 of the 3rd (3–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 21:31 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 14 | 0.55 | 1 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 18:01 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 4 | 0 | 12:24 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 2 | 11:31 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 11:12 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 09:48 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 21:38 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 18:48 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.04 | 5 | 1 | 16:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek | 16 | 3 | 13 | .813 | 2.23 | -0.77 |
| Ville Husso | 1 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.49 | -0.51 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 1.11 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.48 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 3 | 1 | 18:33 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 2 | 2 | 16:57 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:53 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 11:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 4 | 19:58 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 6 | 17:23 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:27 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.29 | -0.71 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +1.77 | +1.30 | +0.35 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:33 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +1.60 | +1.40 | +0.12 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:31 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +1.50 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.44 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:49 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +1.35 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.18 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.44 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:06 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +1.07 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 18:01 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.53 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 21:16 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:15 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:33 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:24 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:47 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:12 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 16:24 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:48 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 11:31 |
| 33 Ville Husso G | -0.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.51 | 9:01 |
| 13 Nikita Nesterenko C | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:48 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.71 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 12:21 |
| 34 Petr Mrazek G | -0.77 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.77 | 48:27 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:38 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +4.86 | +2.75 | +0.72 | +1.25 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 20:14 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +2.01 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:33 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +1.53 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.67 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:14 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.36 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:45 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:16 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +0.88 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.21 | -0.30 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:33 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:27 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:58 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.55 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.22 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:21 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.47 | +0.70 | +0.31 | -0.47 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:38 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.08 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:58 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:01 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | — | 17:23 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.53 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.12 | — | 16:57 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:29 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:53 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.71 | 59:37 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.96 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.