hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 0–1 Final/OT Carolina HurricanesCAR

Sunday, November 30, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 0000 0 16
Carolina HurricanesCAR 0001 1 17

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
2:52 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (5) Taylor Hall (8), Sean Walker (5) · snap xG 0.43 0–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 19%Deserve to win81% CAR
CGYCAR
1.67Expected goals3.52
0Goals (no shootout)1
1.10Expected goals, 5 on 52.42
39Shot attempts69
31Unblocked attempts41
16Shots on goal17

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
19:26 CGY Goalie Goalie · Cooley +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.07 xG, 9 shots on goal

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Jordan Staal: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:30) Sean Walker: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:33) Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:59) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:47) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 6:53) Sean Walker: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:34) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:14) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:40) Yan Kuznetsov: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:00) Blake Coleman: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:03) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:43) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:48) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:19) Blake Coleman: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:22) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:52) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:48) Jordan Staal: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:03) Jordan Martinook: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:05) Shayne Gostisbehere: backhand, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:29) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:56) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:25) Sebastian Aho: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:55) William Carrier: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:15) Jordan Staal: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:22) Jordan Staal: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 1:24) Taylor Hall: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:42) Blake Coleman: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:13) Adam Klapka: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:57) Adam Klapka: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:06) Dryden Hunt: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:07) Morgan Frost: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:44) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:43) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:29) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:46) Matt Coronato: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:40) Matt Coronato: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:05) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:49) Connor Zary: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:50) Nazem Kadri: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:18) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 18:17) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:28) Nazem Kadri: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:29) Sebastian Aho: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:56) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 19:26) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:30) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:37) Morgan Frost: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:07) John Beecher: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:24) Blake Coleman: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 4:23) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:48) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:24) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:43) William Carrier: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:21) Matt Coronato: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:30) Nazem Kadri: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:35) Joel Hanley: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:41) Matt Coronato: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:14) Morgan Frost: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:15) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:19) Connor Zary: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:29) Jackson Blake: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:35) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:43) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:01) Eric Robinson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:34) Jordan Staal: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:32) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:01) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:58) Seth Jarvis: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:19) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 0:40) Sebastian Aho: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 1:23) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:46) Nikolaj Ehlers: GOAL, snap, 5 ft, xG 0.43 (OT 2:52)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Mikael Backlund 000 0 10.00 0219:53
20 Blake Coleman 000 0 50.48 2118:06
91 Nazem Kadri 000 -1 40.21 0118:04
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 000 0 10.08 0117:05
16 Morgan Frost 000 0 30.09 0116:49
27 Matt Coronato 000 -1 50.27 0016:47
86 Joel Farabee 000 0 10.00 0216:31
47 Connor Zary 000 0 20.12 1116:08
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 0 20.03 1016:06
43 Adam Klapka 000 0 20.11 2209:04
17 John Beecher 000 0 10.05 1009:03
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 -1 20.03 0124:29
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 0 60.12 4323:30
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 0 10.01 3322:58
7 Kevin Bahl 000 0 00.00 3220:46
24 Jake Bean 000 0 10.00 0215:08
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 10.01 3114:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 17116 .941 3.52 +2.52

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Seth Jarvis 000 0 40.33 2119:46
20 Sebastian Aho 000 0 30.32 1019:46
53 Jackson Blake 000 0 10.14 0017:59
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 0 60.34 1017:57
22 Logan Stankoven 000 0 10.10 1017:07
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 101 +1 50.75 0015:38
11 Jordan Staal 000 0 60.44 2114:10
28 William Carrier 000 0 40.03 2013:51
48 Jordan Martinook 000 0 50.31 1113:44
71 Taylor Hall 011 +1 10.04 1013:01
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 40.04 2009:56
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 10.00 1109:14
Defense
26 Sean Walker 011 +1 60.04 0023:41
19 K'Andre Miller 000 0 70.01 2223:24
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 000 0 30.13 0022:30
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 0 50.13 0121:24
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 0 50.37 1017:59
64 Joel Nystrom 000 0 20.00 1013:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 16016 1.000 1.67 +1.67

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
1 Devin Cooley G +2.52 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.52 62:39
27 Matt Coronato R +0.22 0.00 +0.18 +0.06 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 16:47
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +0.14 0.00 +0.05 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:05
16 Morgan Frost C +0.14 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 16:49
15 Dryden Hunt L +0.14 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 10:02
44 Joel Hanley D +0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:20
43 Adam Klapka R 0.00 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 9:04
24 Jake Bean D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 15:08
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.10 0.00 +0.08 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 23:30
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:58
20 Blake Coleman L -0.19 0.00 +0.31 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:06
18 John Beecher C -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 9:03
91 Nazem Kadri C -0.47 0.00 +0.14 -0.56 0.00 -0.04 -0.01 — 18:04
86 Joel Farabee L -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:31
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.80 +0.15 +0.01 +0.04 — 19:53
17 Yegor Sharangovich C -0.84 0.00 +0.02 -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:06
47 Connor Zary C -0.94 0.00 +0.08 -1.04 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 16:08
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.95 0.00 +0.02 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:29
7 Kevin Bahl D -1.05 0.00 0.00 -1.15 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:46

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +2.00 +0.75 +0.49 +0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:38
32 Brandon Bussi G +1.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.67 62:52
26 Sean Walker D +1.36 +0.55 +0.03 +0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:41
21 Alexander Nikishin D +1.19 0.00 +0.24 +0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:59
64 Joel Nystrom D +1.07 0.00 0.00 +1.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:29
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.91 0.00 +0.01 +1.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 23:24
11 Jordan Staal C +0.83 0.00 +0.29 +0.50 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:10
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.75 0.00 +0.20 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:44
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.74 0.00 +0.07 +0.58 +0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 17:07
71 Taylor Hall L +0.70 +0.70 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:01
53 Jackson Blake R +0.66 0.00 +0.09 +0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:59
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.61 0.00 +0.21 +0.35 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 19:46
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.57 0.00 +0.21 +0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 19:46
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +0.49 0.00 +0.22 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:57
28 William Carrier L +0.35 0.00 +0.02 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:51
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 9:14
50 Eric Robinson L +0.03 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:56
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D -0.29 0.00 +0.09 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:30
5 Jalen Chatfield D -0.31 0.00 +0.09 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.