Ottawa SenatorsOTT 1–6 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Sunday, November 30, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	1	0	1	16
Dallas StarsDAL	0	3	3	6	26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:58	DAL	Mavrik Bourque (4) Ilya Lyubushkin (5), Oskar Bäck (3) · tip-in xG 0.09	0–1 ▶
8:36	OTT	Jake Sanderson (5) David Perron (9), Nick Cousins (3) · wrist xG 0.10	1–1 ▶
9:20	DAL	Jason Robertson (16) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.19	1–2 ▶
15:33	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (14) Mikko Rantanen (21), Jason Robertson (18) · snap xG 0.16	1–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:52	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (15)PP Mikko Rantanen (22), Roope Hintz (13) · snap xG 0.34	1–4 ▶
7:24	DAL	Jamie Benn (3) Mikko Rantanen (23), Wyatt Johnston (14) · snap xG 0.28	1–5 ▶
15:41	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (16)PP Roope Hintz (14), Jason Robertson (19) · snap xG 0.21	1–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 33%Deserve to win67% DAL

OTT		DAL
2.11	Expected goals	3.07
1	Goals (no shootout)	6
1.92	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.86
47	Shot attempts	36
36	Unblocked attempts	27
16	Shots on goal	26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
2:52	OTT	Goalie	Goalie · Ullmark −2.3 goals saved 4 goals on 1.73 xG, 13 shots on goal
8:00	DAL	No shift	No shift · Bichsel, 18:06 on the bench No shift after 15:36 of the 2nd; 13 shifts (9:31) before that
8:17	DAL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DAL takes the lead, 61–39% OTT had led since 3:57 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
15:50	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.27–0.14 In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	3	1	18:51
18	Tim Stützle	0	0	0	-3	4	0.54	1	1	18:15
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	0	2	17:27
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	1	0	15:48
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	-2	5	0.28	0	0	15:44
8	Brady Tkachuk	0	0	0	-2	4	0.33	5	0	15:00
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	-2	2	0.19	2	0	14:28
16	David Perron	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	1	0	13:43
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	0	13:31
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	12:26
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	12:24
21	Nick Cousins	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	3	1	11:55
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	0	1	0	4	0.13	1	1	22:37
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	1	0	19:04
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	1	0	18:53
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	2	18:29
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	-3	3	0.03	2	1	18:23
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	0	17:08

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	26	6	20	.769	3.07	-2.93

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Jason Robertson	1	2	3	+2	2	0.31	0	0	18:20
53	Wyatt Johnston	3	1	4	+1	4	0.77	0	0	17:56
96	Mikko Rantanen	0	3	3	+1	3	0.36	0	0	17:41
91	Tyler Seguin	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	0	15:54
14	Jamie Benn	1	0	1	0	2	0.29	3	0	14:36
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	14:24
12	Radek Faksa	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	14:10
22	Mavrik Bourque	1	0	1	+2	2	0.15	3	0	13:33
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	2	1	13:10
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	3	0	12:44
24	Roope Hintz	0	2	2	0	3	0.29	1	0	12:22
10	Oskar Bäck	0	1	1	+1	2	0.18	0	1	12:14
Defense
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	+3	2	0.02	2	3	26:01
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	0	0	+3	4	0.04	0	1	24:44
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	3	1	20:07
46	Ilya Lyubushkin	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	2	19:08
20	Kyle Capobianco	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	1	17:25
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	09:31

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Casey DeSmith	16	1	15	.938	2.11	+1.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Nick Cousins C	+1.35	+0.55	+0.02	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	11:56
57 David Perron L	+1.33	+0.70	+0.07	+0.55	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	13:43
85 Jake Sanderson D	+1.16	+0.75	+0.09	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:37
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.86	0.00	+0.07	+0.56	+0.15	-0.01	+0.10	—	17:27
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.69	0.00	+0.03	+0.43	+0.15	+0.04	+0.05	—	18:51
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.53	0.00	+0.01	+0.55	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:08
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:29
2 Artem Zub D	+0.47	0.00	+0.04	+0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:04
18 Tim Stützle C	-0.01	0.00	+0.35	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:15
24 Dylan Cozens C	-0.13	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	13:31
7 Brady Tkachuk L	-0.22	0.00	+0.22	-0.40	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	15:00
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:24
22 Michael Amadio R	-0.44	0.00	+0.10	-0.20	-0.30	0.00	-0.04	—	15:49
71 Ridly Greig C	-0.45	0.00	+0.18	-0.77	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	15:44
19 Drake Batherson R	-0.61	0.00	+0.13	-0.70	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	14:27
89 Lars Eller C	-0.71	0.00	0.00	-0.69	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	12:25
43 Tyler Kleven D	-0.86	0.00	+0.05	-0.93	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	18:53
10 Jordan Spence D	-1.68	0.00	+0.02	-1.49	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	—	18:23
35 Linus Ullmark G	-2.93	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.93	60:00

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+3.59	+2.80	+0.50	+0.33	0.00	-0.04	0.00	—	17:56
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+2.87	+2.10	+0.23	+0.44	+0.15	-0.01	-0.04	—	17:41
21 Jason Robertson L	+2.72	+1.85	+0.20	+0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:20
24 Roope Hintz C	+1.59	+1.25	+0.19	-0.06	+0.15	+0.07	0.00	—	12:22
23 Esa Lindell D	+1.48	0.00	+0.02	+1.34	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	26:01
1 Casey DeSmith G	+1.11	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.11	60:00
14 Jamie Benn L	+1.07	+0.75	+0.19	+0.12	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:36
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+0.89	+0.75	+0.10	+0.08	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	13:33
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+0.87	0.00	+0.02	+0.97	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	24:44
10 Oskar Bäck C	+0.42	+0.55	+0.12	-0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:14
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+0.27	0.00	+0.02	+0.24	0.00	-0.04	+0.05	—	13:10
91 Tyler Seguin C	+0.17	0.00	+0.11	+0.10	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	15:54
18 Sam Steel C	+0.12	0.00	+0.04	-0.13	+0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	14:24
20 Kyle Capobianco D	+0.04	0.00	+0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:25
12 Radek Faksa C	-0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.13	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	14:10
28 Alexander Petrovic D	-0.10	0.00	+0.08	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	20:07
15 Colin Blackwell C	-0.15	0.00	+0.09	-0.22	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	12:44
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D	-0.16	+0.70	0.00	-0.96	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:08
6 Lian Bichsel D	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.