| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:18 | Sidney Crosby (17) Bryan Rust (12), Anthony Mantha (7) · snap xG 0.35 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:36 | Tyson Foerster (10)PP Travis Konecny (15), Trevor Zegras (16) · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 8:08 | Sidney Crosby (18)PP Bryan Rust (13), Erik Karlsson (15) · snap xG 0.15 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 15:52 | Bryan Rust (8)PP Evgeni Malkin (19), Erik Karlsson (16) · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:52 | Tommy Novak (3)PP Kris Letang (9), Evgeni Malkin (20) · snap xG 0.17 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 15:33 | Kevin Hayes (2) Parker Wotherspoon (8) · backhand xG 0.14 | 5–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | Expected goals | 2.97 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.11 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.82 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 29 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:10 | PHI | No shift | No shift · Foerster, 23:32 on the bench
No shift after 6:21 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (8:50) before that |
| 15:33 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Vladar −2.4 goals saved
5 goals on 2.58 xG, 26 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 19:05 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.78 | 1 | 0 | 18:13 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 |
| 13 | Kevin Hayes | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 |
| 2 | Rutger McGroarty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | 3 | 0 | 12:31 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 20:47 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 19:33 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 17:55 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | 29 | 1 | 28 | .966 | 2.97 | +1.97 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 20:09 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 19:20 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 3 | 15:22 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 15:15 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 7 | 1 | 10:54 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 08:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 22:08 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 3 | 2 | 19:23 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 17:58 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 16:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 27 | 5 | 22 | .815 | 2.88 | -2.12 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +2.97 | +2.15 | +0.12 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:05 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +2.61 | +1.50 | +0.51 | +0.73 | -0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:13 |
| 35 Tristan Jarry G | +1.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.97 | 60:00 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +1.09 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:47 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +0.84 | +1.10 | +0.07 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:13 |
| 27 Ryan Graves D | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.45 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:48 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +0.80 | +1.25 | +0.13 | -0.57 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 16:09 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.77 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:04 |
| 14 Bokondji Imama L | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:39 |
| 13 Kevin Hayes R | +0.70 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:36 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.69 | -0.15 | +0.06 | +0.02 | — | 12:25 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:12 |
| 2 Rutger McGroarty R | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:31 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.25 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 17:07 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:55 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:33 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.28 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:12 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:59 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.03 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.82 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:40 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.16 | +0.55 | +0.35 | +0.29 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:37 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.15 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.09 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:20 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +0.88 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:50 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:09 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:58 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:08 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:40 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:00 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:19 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 10:54 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:17 |
| 8 Cam York D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:14 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:56 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.43 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:15 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -1.21 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.13 | — | 15:22 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:23 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | -1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.09 | -0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:19 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | -2.12 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.12 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.