Anaheim DucksANA 4–1 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Monday, December 1, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Anaheim DucksANA	2	0	2	4	26
St. Louis BluesSTL	1	0	0	1	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:33	ANA	Mason McTavish (6) Beckett Sennecke (13) · wrist xG 0.02	1–0 ▶
6:53	STL	Jordan Kyrou (8) Robert Thomas (13), Jake Neighbours (4) · snap xG 0.24	1–1 ▶
10:24	ANA	Pavel Mintyukov (2) Ian Moore (2) · snap xG 0.04	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
5:58	ANA	Leo Carlsson (14) Radko Gudas (3), Pavel Mintyukov (4) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–1 ▶
17:23	ANA	Chris Kreider (13)EN Leo Carlsson (22) · wrist xG 0.80	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 25%Deserve to win75% STL

ANA		STL
2.45	Expected goals	3.01
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.18	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.91
51	Shot attempts	58
40	Unblocked attempts	36
26	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:24	STL	Goalie change	Goalie change · Hofer in for Binnington 10:24 of the 1st; Binnington had allowed 2 goals on 5 shots (0.27 xG)
3rd Period
11:40	STL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.15–0.13 In xG over 10 minutes, 1:40 to 11:40 of the 3rd; goals 0–1
16:16	STL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Hofer, down 3–1 With 3:44 left; ANA scored at 17:23 of the 3rd (4–1)
17:58	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Husso +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.01 xG, 22 shots on goal
19:20	STL	No shift	No shift · Tucker, 21:52 on the bench No shift after 8:59 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (3:22) before that

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
91	Leo Carlsson	1	1	2	+1	2	0.19	0	0	17:39
22	Chris Kreider	1	0	1	+1	3	0.92	0	3	17:34
61	Cutter Gauthier	0	0	0	+2	3	0.18	1	0	17:24
19	Troy Terry	0	0	0	+1	5	0.11	0	0	16:50
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	16:02
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	0	4	15:42
77	Frank Vatrano	0	0	0	0	7	0.29	2	1	15:07
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	1	1	+2	4	0.20	0	0	14:58
83	Mason McTavish	1	0	1	+2	6	0.25	0	2	14:17
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	11:50
49	Ross Johnston	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	08:37
Defense
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	2	20:58
98	Pavel Mintyukov	1	1	2	+2	7	0.06	0	2	20:42
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	19:49
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	2	19:23
6	Radko Gudas	0	1	1	+2	2	0.01	4	3	17:19
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	11:59
3	Ian Moore	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	0	11:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ville Husso	22	1	21	.955	3.01	+2.01

St. Louis Blues

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Robert Thomas	0	1	1	0	7	0.29	0	0	20:36
15	Dalibor Dvorsky	0	0	0	-2	4	0.20	1	0	19:34
89	Pavel Buchnevich	0	0	0	-1	7	0.88	0	0	19:28
10	Brayden Schenn	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	2	0	19:19
25	Jordan Kyrou	1	0	1	0	10	0.94	3	0	18:44
81	Dylan Holloway	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	1	17:39
63	Jake Neighbours	0	1	1	-1	2	0.19	1	1	15:34
70	Oskar Sundqvist	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	14:02
72	Nick Bjugstad	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	2	0	13:41
21	Mathieu Joseph	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	13:23
26	Nathan Walker	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	1	12:21
Defense
72	Justin Faulk	0	0	0	-2	5	0.11	0	0	21:05
17	Cam Fowler	0	0	0	-1	7	0.03	0	0	20:58
55	Colton Parayko	0	0	0	-1	4	0.07	0	1	19:10
6	Philip Broberg	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	0	18:59
23	Logan Mailloux	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	0	2	14:38
4	Matthew Kessel	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	12:47
75	Tyler Tucker	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	03:22

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jordan Binnington	5	2	3	.600	0.27	-1.73
Joel Hofer	20	1	19	.950	1.38	+0.38

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
33 Ville Husso G	+2.01	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.01	60:00
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	+2.00	+1.30	+0.04	+0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:42
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+1.30	+0.70	+0.13	+0.47	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:58
23 Mason McTavish C	+1.25	+0.75	+0.16	+0.47	-0.15	-0.06	+0.08	—	14:17
7 Radko Gudas D	+1.06	+0.70	+0.01	+0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	17:19
74 Ian Moore D	+0.70	+0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:50
20 Chris Kreider L	+0.67	+0.75	+0.60	-0.77	0.00	-0.02	+0.11	—	17:34
91 Leo Carlsson C	+0.46	+1.45	+0.12	-1.10	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	17:39
25 Ryan Poehling C	+0.39	0.00	+0.09	+0.14	0.00	-0.04	+0.20	—	15:42
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+0.39	0.00	+0.11	+0.45	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	17:24
77 Frank Vatrano R	+0.25	0.00	+0.19	+0.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	15:07
65 Jacob Trouba D	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.04	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	19:49
24 Jansen Harkins C	+0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	11:50
17 Alex Killorn L	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.14	-0.15	-0.01	+0.03	—	16:02
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.31	0.00	+0.01	-0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:59
44 Ross Johnston L	-0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:37
14 Drew Helleson D	-0.42	0.00	+0.03	-0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:23
2 Jackson LaCombe D	-0.82	0.00	+0.02	-0.86	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:58
19 Troy Terry R	-0.99	0.00	+0.07	-1.10	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	16:50

St. Louis Blues

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
25 Jordan Kyrou R	+2.84	+0.75	+0.61	+1.49	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:44
18 Robert Thomas C	+1.83	+0.70	+0.19	+0.98	0.00	+0.02	-0.06	—	20:36
63 Jake Neighbours L	+1.49	+0.55	+0.12	+0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:34
6 Philip Broberg D	+1.13	0.00	+0.09	+0.80	+0.30	0.00	-0.06	—	18:59
89 Pavel Buchnevich L	+1.12	0.00	+0.57	+0.42	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	19:28
55 Colton Parayko D	+0.74	0.00	+0.05	+0.69	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:10
30 Joel Hofer G	+0.53	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+0.38	48:16
51 Matthew Kessel D	+0.40	0.00	+0.01	+0.24	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:47
72 Justin Faulk D	+0.20	0.00	+0.07	+0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:05
10 Brayden Schenn C	+0.06	0.00	+0.05	-0.05	0.00	+0.06	0.00	—	19:19
75 Tyler Tucker D	+0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	3:22
77 Nick Bjugstad C	-0.08	0.00	+0.03	-0.16	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	13:41
81 Dylan Holloway L	-0.12	0.00	+0.02	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	17:39
23 Logan Mailloux D	-0.33	0.00	+0.01	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:38
71 Mathieu Joseph R	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	13:23
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R	-0.35	0.00	+0.13	-0.37	-0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	19:34
17 Cam Fowler D	-0.37	0.00	+0.02	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	20:58
70 Oskar Sundqvist C	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.24	-0.30	0.00	0.00	—	14:02
26 Nathan Walker L	-0.64	0.00	0.00	-0.66	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	12:21
50 Jordan Binnington G	-1.73	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.73	10:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.