Ottawa SenatorsOTT 5–2 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	2	2	1	5	29
Montréal CanadiensMTL	1	1	0	2	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:37	MTL	Juraj Slafkovský (8)PP Cole Caufield (13), Nick Suzuki (22) · snap xG 0.20	0–1 ▶
4:01	OTT	Fabian Zetterlund (5) Tyler Kleven (3), Jordan Spence (8) · slap xG 0.06	1–1 ▶
16:53	OTT	Artem Zub (3) Brady Tkachuk (5), Fabian Zetterlund (4) · snap xG 0.21	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:48	OTT	Jake Sanderson (6) Michael Amadio (5) · backhand xG 0.16	3–1 ▶
6:58	OTT	Drake Batherson (9) Tyler Kleven (4), Jordan Spence (9) · snap xG 0.50	4–1 ▶
8:50	MTL	Nick Suzuki (8)PP Cole Caufield (14), Lane Hutson (17) · snap xG 0.15	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
12:43	OTT	Brady Tkachuk (1) Tim Stützle (13), David Perron (10) · snap xG 0.21	5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 87%Deserve to win13% MTL

OTT		MTL
4.39	Expected goals	1.84
5	Goals (no shootout)	2
3.75	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.22
63	Shot attempts	48
44	Unblocked attempts	32
29	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
16:32	OTT	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 61–39% MTL had led since 3:37 of the 1st, by as much as 64%
2nd Period
7:00	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.45–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, 17:00 of the 1st to 7:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
19:30	OTT	No shift	No shift · MacDermid, 13:06 on the bench No shift from 6:12 of the 2nd to 2:30 of the 3rd; 4 shifts (2:13) before that
3rd Period
15:10	MTL	No shift	No shift · Xhekaj, 14:52 on the bench No shift after 3:00 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:43) before that
18:20	MTL	No shift	No shift · Evans, 11:38 on the bench No shift after 8:17 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:22) before that
18:30	OTT	No shift	No shift · Eller, 10:49 on the bench No shift from 8:28 to 19:17 of the 3rd; 15 shifts (10:06) before that

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	1	1	+3	2	0.24	0	1	18:55
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	+1	4	0.48	1	1	18:54
19	Drake Batherson	1	0	1	+1	10	1.25	1	1	18:45
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	17:02
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	+1	7	0.29	6	0	16:15
22	Michael Amadio	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	1	2	15:32
8	Brady Tkachuk	1	1	2	+3	10	0.50	2	0	15:31
20	Fabian Zetterlund	1	1	2	+3	6	0.57	1	0	14:20
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	0	5	0.13	1	0	14:06
16	David Perron	0	1	1	+1	5	0.39	3	2	13:30
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	2	1	10:49
23	Kurtis MacDermid	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	02:58
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	0	1	+1	4	0.20	0	2	24:56
2	Artem Zub	1	0	1	+2	1	0.21	1	1	24:02
10	Jordan Spence	0	2	2	+3	1	0.02	1	1	21:01
43	Tyler Kleven	0	2	2	+3	0	0.00	0	2	20:52
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	1	13:25
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	12:04

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	22	2	20	.909	1.84	-0.16

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
20	Juraj Slafkovský	1	0	1	-1	3	0.26	1	0	22:34
14	Nick Suzuki	1	1	2	-1	6	0.23	3	0	20:10
13	Cole Caufield	0	2	2	-2	2	0.01	0	0	18:41
93	Ivan Demidov	0	0	0	-1	3	0.00	2	0	17:15
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	0	0	0	5	0.28	2	2	16:29
90	Joseph Veleno	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	4	0	14:46
7	Brendan Gallagher	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	3	0	12:57
85	Alexandre Texier	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	0	0	12:42
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	1	0	12:25
17	Josh Anderson	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	10:04
71	Jake Evans	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	1	0	09:22
Defense
48	Lane Hutson	0	1	1	-3	2	0.05	3	3	26:03
8	Mike Matheson	0	0	0	-2	6	0.18	2	2	23:19
53	Noah Dobson	0	0	0	-2	5	0.33	0	4	18:51
45	Alexandre Carrier	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	3	18:14
3	Jayden Struble	0	0	0	-3	2	0.00	2	2	17:41
72	Arber Xhekaj	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	12:48

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Samuel Montembeault	29	5	24	.828	4.39	-0.61

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
43 Tyler Kleven D	+4.30	+1.40	0.00	+2.78	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	20:52
10 Jordan Spence D	+4.01	+1.10	+0.01	+2.83	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	21:01
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+3.44	+1.30	+0.37	+1.79	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:20
19 Drake Batherson R	+3.44	+0.75	+0.81	+1.79	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	—	18:45
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+3.27	+1.45	+0.33	+1.32	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	15:31
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.59	+0.70	+0.16	+1.71	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	18:55
24 Dylan Cozens C	+2.23	0.00	+0.19	+1.87	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	16:15
57 David Perron L	+1.72	+0.55	+0.25	+0.85	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	13:30
2 Artem Zub D	+1.64	+0.75	+0.14	+0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:02
85 Jake Sanderson D	+1.23	+0.75	+0.13	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	24:56
22 Michael Amadio R	+0.98	+0.70	+0.06	+0.29	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	15:32
71 Ridly Greig C	+0.64	0.00	+0.08	+0.54	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:06
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.57	0.00	-0.02	+0.02	—	17:02
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:25
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.37	0.00	+0.31	+0.18	-0.15	-0.01	+0.03	—	18:54
23 Kurtis MacDermid L	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	2:58
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	12:04
35 Linus Ullmark G	-0.16	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.16	59:21
89 Lars Eller C	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.29	-0.15	+0.05	+0.05	—	10:49

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
14 Nick Suzuki C	+1.14	+1.30	+0.15	-0.32	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	20:10
13 Cole Caufield R	+0.35	+1.40	+0.01	-1.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:41
11 Brendan Gallagher R	+0.25	0.00	+0.06	+0.22	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	12:57
72 Arber Xhekaj D	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.28	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:48
90 Joseph Veleno C	-0.02	0.00	+0.12	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:46
53 Noah Dobson D	-0.12	0.00	+0.21	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	18:51
45 Alexandre Carrier D	-0.14	0.00	+0.01	-0.45	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	18:14
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	-0.19	+0.75	+0.17	-1.08	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	22:34
85 Alexandre Texier L	-0.28	0.00	+0.05	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:42
8 Mike Matheson D	-0.58	0.00	+0.12	-0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	23:19
35 Samuel Montembeault G	-0.61	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.61	59:56
91 Oliver Kapanen C	-0.78	0.00	+0.19	-1.16	+0.15	+0.01	+0.04	—	16:29
76 Zachary Bolduc R	-0.86	0.00	+0.08	-0.94	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:25
63 Florian Xhekaj L	-1.13	0.00	0.00	-1.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:43
93 Ivan Demidov R	-1.32	0.00	0.00	-1.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:15
17 Josh Anderson R	-1.43	0.00	0.00	-1.44	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:04
48 Lane Hutson D	-1.85	+0.55	+0.03	-2.75	+0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	26:03
71 Jake Evans C	-2.10	0.00	0.00	-1.89	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	—	9:22
47 Jayden Struble D	-2.80	0.00	0.00	-2.88	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:41

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.