| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 38 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:52 | James van Riemsdyk (4) Albert Johansson (3), Moritz Seider (14) · wrist xG 0.18 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 13:49 | Moritz Seider (4) Patrick Kane (12), Alex DeBrincat (15) · wrist xG 0.03 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:35 | Alex DeBrincat (13) Unassisted · snap xG 0.11 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 11:09 | Jonathan Aspirot (1) Nikita Zadorov (8), Tanner Jeannot (8) · slap xG 0.03 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 15:38 | Alex Steeves (4) Hampus Lindholm (7), Morgan Geekie (7) · snap xG 0.28 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 16:15 | Ben Chiarot (4) Dylan Larkin (16), Lucas Raymond (20) · snap xG 0.25 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:55 | Lucas Raymond (9)PP Moritz Seider (15), Patrick Kane (13) · slap xG 0.15 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 14:57 | Marat Khusnutdinov (4) Hampus Lindholm (8), Morgan Geekie (8) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 19:48 | Alex Steeves (5) Pavel Zacha (13), Hampus Lindholm (9) · slap xG 0.04 | 4–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.71 | Expected goals | 2.99 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.95 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.47 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 38 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:35 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.65 xG, 8 shots on goal |
| 8:07 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 6:43 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 10:50 | BOS | No shift | No shift · Callahan, 31:06 on the bench
No shift after 17:47 of the 1st; 5 shifts (2:51) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:55 | BOS | Goalie change | Goalie change · Korpisalo in for Swayman
3:55 of the 3rd; Swayman had allowed 5 goals on 23 shots (2.14 xG) |
| 16:31 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Korpisalo, down 5–3
With 3:29 left; BOS scored at 19:48 of the 3rd (4–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.45 | 2 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 3 | 0 | 16:52 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 7 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 14:32 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 13:56 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 4 | 1 | 12:53 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 6 | 1 | 12:45 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 24:59 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 4 | 23:10 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:53 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 4 | 21:14 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 20:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 23 | 5 | 18 | .783 | 2.14 | -2.86 |
| Joonas Korpisalo | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1.000 | 0.85 | +0.85 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 19:34 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 13:06 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 09:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 23:08 |
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 4 | 22:55 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 17:15 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 38 | 4 | 34 | .895 | 2.71 | -1.29 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +2.22 | +1.95 | +0.08 | +0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:59 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +1.71 | +1.50 | +0.25 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:52 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +1.39 | +1.10 | +0.29 | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:42 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 21:14 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | +0.85 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.85 | 12:36 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.59 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 14:32 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.48 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:00 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.47 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:53 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.35 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 12:45 |
| 79 Michael Callahan D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 2:51 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:30 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:12 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.33 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 13:51 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.18 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.76 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:42 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.58 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:56 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:36 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:53 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.57 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:20 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | — | 23:10 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -2.86 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.86 | 43:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +3.20 | +2.00 | +0.04 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 22:55 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +1.86 | +1.30 | +0.15 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:57 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.47 | +1.30 | +0.18 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:26 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +1.46 | +1.25 | +0.17 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:04 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +1.15 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:38 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +1.14 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:09 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +1.13 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 19:34 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:37 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.89 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:08 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:15 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:44 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.25 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.07 | — | 13:06 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:03 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:43 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:22 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 15:10 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:49 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.26 | — | 16:20 |
| 36 John Gibson G | -1.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.29 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.