hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 1–5 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 001 1 28
Nashville PredatorsNSH 131 5 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:24 NSH Reid Schaefer (1) Fedor Svechkov (3), Nicolas Hague (4) · wrist xG 0.19 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:04 NSH Steven Stamkos (7) Luke Evangelista (14), Ryan O'Reilly (11) · wrist xG 0.17 0–2 ▶
14:25 NSH Jonathan Marchessault (5) Roman Josi (7), Nicolas Hague (5) · wrist xG 0.09 0–3 ▶
15:32 NSH Ozzy Wiesblatt (1) Michael Bunting (9), Spencer Stastney (7) · wrist xG 0.22 0–4 ▶
3rd Period
2:59 NSH Michael Bunting (6) Adam Wilsby (3), Tyson Jost (3) · backhand xG 0.19 0–5 ▶
13:39 CGY Morgan Frost (7)PP Nazem Kadri (17), Jonathan Huberdeau (9) · snap xG 0.23 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 37%Deserve to win63% NSH
CGYNSH
2.08Expected goals2.81
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.39Expected goals, 5 on 52.34
50Shot attempts53
41Unblocked attempts42
28Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:32 CGY Goalie Goalie · Cooley −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.28 xG, 14 shots on goal
20:00 CGY Goalie change Goalie change · Wolf in for Cooley
The start of the 3rd; Cooley had allowed 4 goals on 16 shots (1.68 xG)
3rd Period
3:50 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.19–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:50 of the 2nd to 3:50 of the 3rd; goals 3–0

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots
Erik Haula: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:26) Ozzy Wiesblatt: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 1:17) Blake Coleman: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:28) Morgan Frost: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:35) Brayden Pachal: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:53) Michael Bunting: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:01) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:15) Connor Zary: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 5:17) Fedor Svechkov: backhand, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:14) Roman Josi: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:46) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:34) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:22) Nazem Kadri: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:42) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 12:32) Filip Forsberg: backhand, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:45) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:10) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 16:15) Rasmus Andersson: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:55) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 169 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:17) Adam Klapka: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:44) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:33) Blake Coleman: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:43) Joel Farabee: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:54) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:26) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:46) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:57) Erik Haula: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:57) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:02) Yegor Sharangovich: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:18) Dryden Hunt: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:11) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:15) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:17) Roman Josi: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:18) Nazem Kadri: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:21) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:40) Erik Haula: wrist, 155 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:38) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:43) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:06) Matthew Wood: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 16:22) Matthew Wood: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:27) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:52) Joel Farabee: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:07) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:19) Filip Forsberg: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:45) Erik Haula: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:56) Blake Coleman: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:43) Blake Coleman: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:15) Nazem Kadri: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:17) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:53) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:26) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 1:02) Luke Evangelista: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:14) Brayden Pachal: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:43) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:49) Dryden Hunt: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:07) Matt Coronato: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:10) Filip Forsberg: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:26) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:32) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:39) Matthew Wood: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:52) Jonathan Huberdeau: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:05) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:30) Matt Coronato: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:00) Filip Forsberg: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:16) Matt Coronato: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:35) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:45) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:14) Roman Josi: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:53) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:15) Nazem Kadri: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:29) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:58) Filip Forsberg: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:04) Brady Skjei: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:09) Brady Skjei: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:47) Tyson Jost: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:13) Michael Bunting: snap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:13) Brady Skjei: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:20) Reid Schaefer: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 6:24) Steven Stamkos: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 5:04) Jonathan Marchessault: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:25) Ozzy Wiesblatt: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 15:32) Michael Bunting: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 2:59) Morgan Frost: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 13:39)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Mikael Backlund 000 0 40.01 0317:48
16 Morgan Frost 101 -1 30.31 0017:47
91 Nazem Kadri 011 -1 60.44 0017:22
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 011 0 50.28 0017:01
86 Joel Farabee 000 -3 20.08 0016:58
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 -1 40.13 0016:17
20 Blake Coleman 000 0 60.17 4015:47
27 Matt Coronato 000 0 30.05 0014:36
47 Connor Zary 000 -2 10.25 1013:03
43 Adam Klapka 000 -2 20.03 6009:32
17 John Beecher 000 -3 10.00 0109:14
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 -3 40.11 1223:41
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -2 20.00 4022:41
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -2 10.03 1020:28
7 Kevin Bahl 000 -3 20.02 0020:07
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 00.00 3115:09
94 Brayden Pachal 000 0 20.01 1113:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 16412 .750 1.68 -2.32
Dustin Wolf 12111 .917 1.13 +0.13

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 011 +1 20.11 0019:07
56 Erik Haula 000 0 40.09 0016:32
91 Steven Stamkos 101 +1 20.26 0015:47
77 Luke Evangelista 011 +1 30.22 1015:26
9 Filip Forsberg 000 +1 90.25 0014:48
81 Jonathan Marchessault 101 +1 30.11 1014:42
9 Fedor Svechkov 011 +2 30.02 1014:10
58 Michael Bunting 112 +2 60.47 0012:54
71 Matthew Wood 000 +1 30.28 2012:40
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 101 +2 20.38 2312:36
17 Tyson Jost 011 +2 10.12 2012:26
49 Reid Schaefer 101 +1 20.19 3209:43
Defense
59 Roman Josi 011 +3 50.06 0124:12
41 Nicolas Hague 022 +3 10.00 2221:44
76 Brady Skjei 000 +1 30.22 0121:34
2 Adam Wilsby 011 +1 10.00 3020:07
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 +1 10.00 0017:20
24 Spencer Stastney 011 +1 20.02 1015:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 28127 .964 2.08 +1.08

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +0.87 +0.55 +0.19 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:01
16 Morgan Frost C +0.75 +0.75 +0.20 -0.44 +0.15 +0.07 +0.02 — 17:47
91 Nazem Kadri C +0.73 +0.70 +0.29 -0.39 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:22
11 Mikael Backlund C +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 — 17:48
27 Matt Coronato R +0.26 0.00 +0.03 +0.09 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:36
32 Dustin Wolf G +0.13 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.13 20:00
44 Joel Hanley D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:09
94 Brayden Pachal D -0.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:18
20 Blake Coleman L -0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.03 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:47
15 Dryden Hunt L -0.25 0.00 +0.10 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:11
17 Yegor Sharangovich C -0.39 0.00 +0.08 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:17
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.72 0.00 +0.02 -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:28
86 Joel Farabee L -0.75 0.00 +0.05 -0.77 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 16:58
47 Connor Zary C -0.76 0.00 +0.16 -0.93 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:03
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.92 0.00 0.00 -0.67 -0.15 0.00 -0.10 — 22:41
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.96 0.00 +0.07 -1.08 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 23:41
43 Adam Klapka R -1.07 0.00 +0.02 -1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:32
7 Kevin Bahl D -1.07 0.00 +0.01 -1.12 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:07
18 John Beecher C -1.08 0.00 0.00 -1.07 0.00 -0.02 +0.01 — 9:14
1 Devin Cooley G -2.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.32 40:00

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
58 Michael Bunting L +2.55 +1.45 +0.31 +0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:54
41 Nicolas Hague D +1.96 +1.10 0.00 +1.06 -0.30 0.00 +0.10 — 21:44
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C +1.77 +0.75 +0.24 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 12:36
59 Roman Josi D +1.63 +0.70 +0.04 +1.01 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 24:12
40 Fedor Svechkov C +1.47 +0.70 +0.01 +0.65 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 14:10
91 Steven Stamkos C +1.29 +0.75 +0.17 +0.38 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:47
77 Luke Evangelista R +1.28 +0.70 +0.14 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:26
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +1.25 +0.75 +0.07 +0.43 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 14:42
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +1.22 +0.55 +0.07 +0.59 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 19:07
49 Reid Schaefer L +1.20 +0.75 +0.13 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:43
83 Adam Wilsby D +1.14 +0.70 0.00 +0.59 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:07
17 Tyson Jost C +1.13 +0.55 +0.08 +0.54 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 12:26
74 Juuse Saros G +1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.08 60:00
24 Spencer Stastney D +0.98 +0.55 +0.01 +0.26 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:03
76 Brady Skjei D +0.71 0.00 +0.14 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:34
9 Filip Forsberg L +0.59 0.00 +0.16 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:48
71 Matthew Wood R +0.48 0.00 +0.18 +0.35 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 12:40
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 17:20
56 Erik Haula L -0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:32

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.