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Vancouver CanucksVAN 1–3 Final Colorado AvalancheCOL

Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 100 1 21
Colorado AvalancheCOL 120 3 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:55 VAN Linus Karlsson (5) Arshdeep Bains (4), Aatu Räty (6) · backhand xG 0.19 1–0 ▶
19:23 COL Nathan MacKinnon (21) Devon Toews (8), Sam Malinski (11) · snap xG 0.39 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
13:52 COL Brock Nelson (9) Gabriel Landeskog (8), Ross Colton (9) · snap xG 0.19 1–2 ▶
19:26 COL Nathan MacKinnon (22) Gabriel Landeskog (9), Josh Manson (3) · slap xG 0.13 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 36%Deserve to win64% COL
VANCOL
2.49Expected goals3.77
1Goals (no shootout)3
1.79Expected goals, 5 on 53.12
58Shot attempts63
39Unblocked attempts51
21Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:45 COL Deserve to win Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 60–40%
VAN had led since 3:25 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
12:28 COL Goalie change Goalie change · Blackwood in for Wedgewood
12:28 of the 2nd; Wedgewood had allowed 1 goal on 11 shots (1.41 xG)
16:30 COL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.22–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:40 to 17:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
16:12 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 3–1
With 3:48 left

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots
Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:47) Brent Burns: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:08) Sam Malinski: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:20) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:32) Joel Kiviranta: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:37) Brock Boeser: slap, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:25) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:42) Tom Willander: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:07) Valeri Nichushkin: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:30) Pierre-Olivier Joseph: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:53) Ross Colton: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:20) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:34) Martin Necas: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:48) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:09) Cale Makar: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:32) Devon Toews: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:14) Ross Colton: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:15) Brent Burns: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:22) Sam Malinski: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:10) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:31) Sam Malinski: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:40) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:15) Pierre-Olivier Joseph: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:00) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 12:33) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:34) Cale Makar: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:59) Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:07) Jonathan Lekkerimäki: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:33) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:23) Devon Toews: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:20) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:38) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:55) Brock Boeser: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:43) Kiefer Sherwood: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:48) Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:58) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:07) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:43) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:58) Zakhar Bardakov: tip-in, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:55) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:33) Brock Boeser: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:18) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:47) Martin Necas: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:50) Ross Colton: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:08) Ross Colton: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:45) Josh Manson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:40) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:45) Victor Olofsson: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:10) Ross Colton: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:36) Jack Drury: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:00) Max Sasson: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 12:13) Martin Necas: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:46) Brent Burns: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:26) Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:56) Ross Colton: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:06) Brock Nelson: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:11) Ross Colton: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 16:29) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:36) Sam Malinski: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:49) Jake DeBrusk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:16) Drew O'Connor: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:37) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:55) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:09) Zakhar Bardakov: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:50) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:45) Marcus Pettersson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:52) Max Sasson: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 5:10) Tyler Myers: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:14) Brock Boeser: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:12) Brock Boeser: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:25) Ross Colton: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 7:53) Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:57) Cale Makar: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:04) Cale Makar: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:24) Brent Burns: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:32) Victor Olofsson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:00) Devon Toews: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:08) Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:14) Zakhar Bardakov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:15) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:16) Filip Hronek: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:25) Ross Colton: snap, 153 ft, xG 0.43 (P3 18:10) Linus Karlsson: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 18:18) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:35) Filip Hronek: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:35) Brock Boeser: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:37) Linus Karlsson: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 2:55) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.39 (P1 19:23) Brock Nelson: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 13:52) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, slap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:26)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
40 Elias Pettersson 000 0 50.27 2122:06
6 Brock Boeser 000 -1 60.32 0020:54
94 Linus Karlsson 101 +1 30.35 2016:49
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 -2 30.18 0015:59
44 Kiefer Sherwood 000 -1 80.43 4015:48
64 David Kampf 000 -1 10.00 0114:42
91 Evander Kane 000 0 10.00 0013:29
18 Drew O'Connor 000 -2 20.06 1013:16
63 Max Sasson 000 -2 20.50 0111:45
13 Arshdeep Bains 011 +1 10.00 2111:44
54 Aatu Räty 011 +1 10.00 2009:42
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 000 0 120.24 0129:33
17 Filip Hronek 000 -1 20.04 2225:12
57 Tyler Myers 000 -1 20.01 1120:28
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 -1 40.03 1019:55
5 Tom Willander 000 0 20.00 0213:49
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph 000 -1 20.03 0010:42
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Kevin Lankinen 31328 .903 3.34 +0.34

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 202 +2 90.89 1022:15
88 Martin Necas 000 +1 30.09 0021:31
62 Artturi Lehkonen 000 0 20.16 1120:39
11 Brock Nelson 101 +1 20.23 1317:08
92 Gabriel Landeskog 022 +2 00.00 1116:47
79 Ross Colton 011 +2 91.27 2215:41
18 Jack Drury 000 0 10.13 0012:54
43 Valeri Nichushkin 000 +1 40.15 0112:50
17 Parker Kelly 000 -1 20.00 2012:04
22 Joel Kiviranta 000 -1 30.09 3010:00
95 Victor Olofsson 000 0 20.11 0009:16
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 -1 50.17 2008:37
Defense
8 Cale Makar 000 0 50.12 0424:05
7 Devon Toews 011 +1 30.21 1021:39
84 Brent Burns 000 +2 40.08 0219:57
42 Josh Manson 011 +2 20.02 4118:50
49 Samuel Girard 000 -1 20.00 0117:11
70 Sam Malinski 011 0 50.06 0016:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Scott Wedgewood 11110 .909 1.41 +0.41
Mackenzie Blackwood 10010 1.000 1.08 +1.08

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
94 Linus Karlsson C +0.55 +0.75 +0.23 -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:49
13 Arshdeep Bains L +0.35 +0.70 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:44
32 Kevin Lankinen G +0.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.34 56:36
54 Aatu Räty C +0.28 +0.55 0.00 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 9:42
91 Evander Kane L +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:29
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.20 0.00 +0.17 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 22:06
23 Jonathan Lekkerimäki R +0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:31
44 Kiefer Sherwood L -0.09 0.00 +0.28 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:48
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D -0.26 0.00 +0.02 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:42
43 Quinn Hughes D -0.35 0.00 +0.15 -0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 29:33
5 Tom Willander D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 13:49
63 Max Sasson C -0.38 0.00 +0.32 -0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:45
57 Tyler Myers D -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:28
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.66 0.00 +0.11 -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:59
64 David Kampf C -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.76 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 14:42
6 Brock Boeser R -0.73 0.00 +0.21 -0.90 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 20:54
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.86 0.00 +0.04 -0.86 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 13:16
17 Filip Hronek D -0.90 0.00 +0.03 -1.03 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 25:12
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.93 0.00 +0.02 -0.80 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:55

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +3.28 +1.50 +0.58 +1.32 0.00 -0.06 -0.06 — 22:15
20 Ross Colton C +3.27 +0.55 +0.82 +1.79 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:41
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +2.92 +1.40 0.00 +1.50 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:47
11 Brock Nelson C +2.10 +0.75 +0.15 +0.85 +0.15 +0.05 +0.15 — 17:08
7 Devon Toews D +1.80 +0.70 +0.13 +0.98 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:39
42 Josh Manson D +1.49 +0.55 +0.01 +0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:50
70 Sam Malinski D +1.11 +0.55 +0.04 +0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:36
39 Mackenzie Blackwood G +1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.08 27:32
8 Cale Makar D +0.69 0.00 +0.08 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.22 — 24:05
84 Brent Burns D +0.53 0.00 +0.05 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:57
88 Martin Necas C +0.49 0.00 +0.06 +0.48 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 — 21:31
41 Scott Wedgewood G +0.41 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.41 32:28
49 Samuel Girard D +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:11
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.21 0.00 +0.10 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:50
94 Joel Kiviranta L +0.09 0.00 +0.06 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:00
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +0.04 0.00 +0.10 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:39
18 Jack Drury C 0.00 0.00 +0.08 -0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 12:54
93 Zakhar Bardakov C -0.01 0.00 +0.11 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:37
95 Victor Olofsson L -0.16 0.00 +0.07 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:16
17 Parker Kelly C -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 12:04

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.