Tuesday, December 2, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CHI 67%Deserve to win 33% VGK
CHI VGK
3.69 Expected goals 2.65
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.67 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.83
65 Shot attempts 58
47 Unblocked attempts 41
30 Shots on goal 28
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
15:20
CHI
No shift
No shift · Rinzel, 14:47 on the bench
No shift after 3:09 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (9:30) before that
Shot map
CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → VGK shoots
Teuvo Teravainen: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:42)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:45)
Jason Dickinson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:09)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:01)
Shea Theodore: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:44)
Mark Stone: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:50)
Jason Dickinson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:46)
Oliver Moore: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:07)
Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:13)
Shea Theodore: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:29)
Ryan Donato: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:44)
Connor Bedard: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:56)
Frank Nazar: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 6:18)
Brayden McNabb: wrist, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:30)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:23)
Alex Vlasic: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:51)
Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:08)
Mark Stone: backhand, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:19)
Brandon Saad: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 12:16)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:14)
Connor Bedard: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:31)
Sam Rinzel: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:50)
Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:50)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 0:20)
Mark Stone: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:18)
Mark Stone: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:13)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:33)
Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:34)
Keegan Kolesar: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:03)
Alex Vlasic: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:11)
Tomas Hertl: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:34)
Ilya Mikheyev: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 6:40)
Brayden McNabb: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:01)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:02)
Frank Nazar: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:18)
Alex Vlasic: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:45)
Ryan Donato: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:28)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:30)
Alex Vlasic: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:58)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:33)
Shea Theodore: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:34)
Brayden McNabb: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:36)
Mitch Marner: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:44)
Artyom Levshunov: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:16)
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:24)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:01)
Connor Bedard: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:02)
Wyatt Kaiser: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:25)
Braeden Bowman: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:30)
Alex Vlasic: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:21)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:26)
Mitch Marner: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:14)
Jason Dickinson: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:20)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:43)
Ben Hutton: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:47)
Brandon Saad: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:00)
Pavel Dorofeyev: poke, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:02)
Tomas Hertl: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:03)
Connor Bedard: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 7:30)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:40)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:42)
Frank Nazar: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:01)
Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:08)
Brandon Saad: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:18)
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:28)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:11)
Zach Whitecloud: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:12)
Mitch Marner: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:10)
Frank Nazar: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:11)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 17:30)
Braeden Bowman: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:31)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:43)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 0:39)
Oliver Moore: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 2:06)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 2:33)
Connor Bedard: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 3:00)
Connor Bedard: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 3:18)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 3:27)
Mark Stone: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 3:58)
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 4:16)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:51)
Ryan Donato: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:58)
Ivan Barbashev: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:27)
Oliver Moore: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:23)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 11:22)
Ben Hutton: GOAL, slap, 51 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:19)
Connor Bedard: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:45)
Braeden Bowman: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:32)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Carter Hart
30 3 27
.900
3.69
+0.69
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
11 Oliver Moore C
+1.69
+0.75
+0.16
+0.74
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
12:40
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+1.63
+1.45
+0.23
-0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
20:20
91 Frank Nazar C
+1.36
+0.55
+0.63
+0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:06
98 Connor Bedard C
+1.26
+0.75
+0.49
-0.11
+0.15
-0.05
+0.03
—
24:22
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
+0.76
0.00
+0.29
+0.35
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
15:29
28 Andre Burakovsky L
+0.59
+0.70
0.00
-0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
21:32
20 Ryan Greene C
+0.57
+0.55
+0.19
-0.33
0.00
+0.08
+0.08
—
20:57
48 Matt Grzelcyk D
+0.22
0.00
+0.01
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
15:56
5 Connor Murphy D
+0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
14:21
55 Artyom Levshunov D
+0.18
0.00
+0.05
+0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:50
16 Jason Dickinson C
+0.16
0.00
+0.07
-0.02
0.00
+0.06
+0.05
—
14:18
6 Sam Rinzel D
+0.07
0.00
+0.03
+0.23
-0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
9:30
8 Ryan Donato C
+0.07
0.00
+0.17
-0.29
+0.15
+0.04
0.00
—
13:05
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:21
72 Alex Vlasic D
-0.02
0.00
+0.07
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:44
46 Louis Crevier D
-0.26
0.00
+0.01
-0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
17:26
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
-0.31
0.00
+0.01
-0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.18
—
17:59
30 Spencer Knight G
-0.35
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.35
64:53
34 Colton Dach C
-0.80
0.00
0.00
-0.84
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
14:11
Vegas Golden Knights
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
42 Braeden Bowman R
+2.06
+1.45
+0.16
+0.38
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
15:20
27 Shea Theodore D
+2.02
+1.25
+0.23
+0.53
-0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
25:17
49 Ivan Barbashev L
+1.67
+1.30
+0.02
+0.49
-0.15
-0.02
+0.03
—
17:53
9 Jack Eichel C
+0.86
0.00
+0.16
+0.44
+0.15
-0.02
+0.13
—
24:06
17 Ben Hutton D
+0.78
+0.75
+0.05
+0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
13:10
79 Carter Hart G
+0.54
0.00
—
—
-0.15
—
—
+0.69
65:00
61 Mark Stone R
+0.51
+0.70
+0.28
-0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:54
48 Tomas Hertl C
+0.47
0.00
+0.22
+0.20
0.00
-0.02
+0.07
—
17:25
15 Noah Hanifin D
+0.34
0.00
+0.12
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
25:27
3 Brayden McNabb D
+0.21
0.00
+0.13
-0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
22:12
20 Brandon Saad L
+0.18
0.00
+0.13
+0.03
0.00
+0.01
+0.01
—
14:15
55 Keegan Kolesar R
+0.15
0.00
+0.10
+0.05
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
8:50
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R
+0.12
0.00
+0.02
+0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:20
6 Kaedan Korczak D
+0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:19
10 Colton Sissons C
+0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.06
+0.15
-0.04
+0.05
—
10:37
23 Cole Reinhardt L
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:49
93 Mitch Marner R
-0.19
0.00
+0.07
-0.24
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
17:44
21 Brett Howden C
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.41
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
14:28
2 Zach Whitecloud D
-0.43
0.00
+0.02
-0.30
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
21:54
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.