| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:30 | Alex Steeves (6) Morgan Geekie (9), Elias Lindholm (10) · snap xG 0.22 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 11:25 | Morgan Geekie (21) Elias Lindholm (11), Alex Steeves (2) · snap xG 0.19 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:59 | Pavel Buchnevich (4) Colton Parayko (8) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 6:04 | Viktor Arvidsson (7) Mason Lohrei (9) · slap xG 0.02 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 12:26 | Pavel Zacha (6) Viktor Arvidsson (5), Mason Lohrei (10) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 19:59 | Pavel Zacha (7)PP Elias Lindholm (12), Morgan Geekie (10) · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:07 | Pius Suter (7) Dylan Holloway (7), Jordan Kyrou (8) · wrist xG 0.27 | 2–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| STL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.67 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.95 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 44 |
| 58 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 39 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:26 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.55 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:55 | STL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · STL takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 6:30 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 16:21 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.68 | 1 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 5 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 13:21 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.14 | 4 | 0 | 12:53 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 12:01 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 21:13 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 3 | 19:51 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 18:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 27 | 5 | 22 | .815 | 2.28 | -2.72 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 16:42 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.28 | 6 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.13 | 5 | 1 | 15:56 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:40 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 14:09 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 13:47 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 12:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 22:38 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 21:57 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:33 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 14:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 39 | 2 | 37 | .949 | 2.88 | +0.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Pius Suter C | +1.73 | +0.75 | +0.44 | +0.59 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:19 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +1.51 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:35 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:46 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:21 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:33 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.81 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:28 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:19 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 13:21 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:53 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | — | 14:28 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 12:01 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:53 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:51 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:34 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:55 |
| 65 Aleksanteri Kaskimaki C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:17 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 21:13 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -2.72 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.72 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +2.66 | +2.00 | +0.21 | +0.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:42 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +1.90 | +1.30 | +0.18 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:06 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.89 | +1.95 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:37 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.81 | +1.50 | +0.23 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 13:44 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.37 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 14:29 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.31 | +1.45 | +0.09 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:47 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | +0.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.88 | 60:00 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.18 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:01 |
| 29 Victor Soderstrom D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:40 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:38 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:28 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:33 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:56 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:54 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:01 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:09 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:54 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:57 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:40 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.