Detroit Red WingsDET 5–6 Final/SO Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 03200 5 33
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 13102 6 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:55 CBJ Ivan Provorov (4) Brendan Gaunce (2) · snap xG 0.02 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:09 DET Dylan Larkin (15)PP Moritz Seider (16), Lucas Raymond (21) · tip-in xG 0.07 1–1 ▶
5:18 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (9)PP Zach Werenski (18), Sean Monahan (9) · snap xG 0.08 1–2 ▶
7:11 CBJ Kent Johnson (3) Cole Sillinger (9), Denton Mateychuk (5) · snap xG 0.44 1–3 ▶
9:08 DET Lucas Raymond (10)PP Axel Sandin-Pellikka (5), Patrick Kane (14) · wrist xG 0.06 2–3 ▶
10:20 DET James van Riemsdyk (5)PP Andrew Copp (9), Emmitt Finnie (8) · poke xG 0.48 3–3 ▶
13:50 CBJ Adam Fantilli (10)PP Zach Werenski (19), Sean Monahan (10) · slap xG 0.10 3–4 ▶
3rd Period
9:35 DET Patrick Kane (4) Moritz Seider (17), Andrew Copp (10) · wrist xG 0.05 4–4 ▶
11:38 DET Alex DeBrincat (14) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 5–4 ▶
18:29 CBJ Adam Fantilli (11) Zach Werenski (20), Sean Monahan (11) · wrist xG 0.06 5–5 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
CBJ Kent Johnson vs Cam Talbot Goal
DET James van Riemsdyk vs Elvis Merzlikins Saved
CBJ Adam Fantilli vs Cam Talbot Saved
DET Lucas Raymond vs Elvis Merzlikins Saved
CBJ Kirill Marchenko vs Cam Talbot Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 70%Deserve to win30% CBJ
DETCBJ
4.85Expected goals3.45
5Goals (no shootout)5
2.80Expected goals, 5 on 52.36
59Shot attempts73
47Unblocked attempts51
33Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
7:11 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
DET had led since 0:41 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
10:20 DET Deserve to win Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 7:11 of the 2nd, by as much as 61%
13:50 DET Goalie Goalie · Talbot −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.83 xG, 15 shots on goal
3rd Period
17:32 CBJ Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Merzlikins, down 5–4
With 2:28 left; CBJ scored at 18:29 of the 3rd (5–5)

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:24) Andrew Copp: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.34 (P1 0:41) Brendan Gaunce: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:15) Dante Fabbro: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:21) Patrick Kane: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:46) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:43) Damon Severson: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:56) Ivan Provorov: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:03) Lucas Raymond: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 7:59) Damon Severson: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:57) Kent Johnson: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:10) Elmer Soderblom: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:05) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:49) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:45) Cole Sillinger: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:06) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:40) Egor Chinakhov: backhand, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:33) Miles Wood: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:11) Albert Johansson: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:46) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 17:00) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:14) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:31) Luca Del Bel Belluz: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:40) Zach Werenski: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:32) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:11) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:36) Kent Johnson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:37) Egor Chinakhov: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:05) J.T. Compher: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:46) Cole Sillinger: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:08) Andrew Copp: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 8:51) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:30) Andrew Copp: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:17) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:54) Miles Wood: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:22) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:04) Andrew Copp: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.38 (P2 12:08) James van Riemsdyk: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 12:53) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:44) Moritz Seider: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:05) Miles Wood: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:37) Miles Wood: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:03) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:12) Egor Chinakhov: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:56) Nate Danielson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:30) Elmer Soderblom: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:48) Nate Danielson: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:49) Dylan Larkin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:48) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:49) Patrick Kane: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 19:51) J.T. Compher: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 1:29) James van Riemsdyk: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:30) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:01) James van Riemsdyk: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 2:14) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:19) Dylan Larkin: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 3:18) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:34) Zach Werenski: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:55) Damon Severson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:00) Ben Chiarot: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:05) Patrick Kane: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:16) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:20) Elmer Soderblom: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:07) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:01) Adam Fantilli: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:23) Lucas Raymond: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:13) Brendan Gaunce: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:37) Ivan Provorov: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:41) Adam Fantilli: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 12:51) Ivan Provorov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:57) Ivan Provorov: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:58) Dylan Larkin: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 13:51) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:02) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:52) Damon Severson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:15) Cole Sillinger: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:28) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:20) Dmitri Voronkov: bat, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:17) Charlie Coyle: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:02) Zach Werenski: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:07) Zach Werenski: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:11) Dylan Larkin: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:19) Cole Sillinger: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:36) Lucas Raymond: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 0:28) Patrick Kane: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:52) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:29) Cole Sillinger: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 2:51) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:57) Ivan Provorov: GOAL, snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:55) Dylan Larkin: GOAL, tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:09) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:18) Kent Johnson: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.44 (P2 7:11) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:08) James van Riemsdyk: GOAL, poke, 8 ft, xG 0.48 (P2 10:20) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:50) Patrick Kane: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:35) Alex DeBrincat: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:38) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:29)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 101 0 100.84 0022:47
88 Patrick Kane 112 +2 70.37 2120:49
93 Alex DeBrincat 101 +2 50.29 0020:49
23 Lucas Raymond 112 0 50.57 1220:47
18 Andrew Copp 022 +1 41.07 0118:25
58 Emmitt Finnie 011 -1 30.17 2215:40
21 James van Riemsdyk 101 -1 50.97 0114:02
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 -2 10.07 0114:00
37 J.T. Compher 000 -2 20.22 0013:46
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 40.10 1012:03
92 Marco Kasper 000 -1 00.00 3110:06
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 022 +2 20.01 0428:34
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 +2 30.00 1026:42
8 Ben Chiarot 000 -3 10.02 2420:58
20 Albert Johansson 000 -1 10.01 1116:13
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 011 -2 20.04 0213:40
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 0 20.00 1112:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Cam Talbot 32527 .844 3.45 -1.55

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
19 Adam Fantilli 202 +1 70.39 1022:38
23 Sean Monahan 033 +1 00.00 1119:54
86 Kirill Marchenko 101 +1 100.67 0019:43
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 +1 20.08 3018:30
4 Cole Sillinger 011 0 60.34 1118:07
3 Charlie Coyle 000 0 40.11 2018:05
91 Kent Johnson 101 0 40.54 0014:32
18 Miles Wood 000 -1 40.21 0014:01
21 Isac Lundeström 000 -1 20.00 0013:35
50 Brendan Gaunce 011 +1 30.04 10011:19
59 Egor Chinakhov 000 +1 40.23 0107:44
Defense
9 Ivan Provorov 101 +1 90.23 0229:27
8 Zach Werenski 033 +2 70.16 1128:29
5 Denton Mateychuk 011 0 30.08 0021:50
78 Damon Severson 000 0 40.31 1321:30
15 Dante Fabbro 000 -1 20.02 2114:09
7 Brendan Smith 000 -1 10.00 2008:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins 33528 .848 4.85 -0.15

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Moritz Seider D +3.07 +1.40 +0.01 +1.62 -0.15 0.00 +0.20 — 28:34
18 Andrew Copp C +3.05 +1.25 +0.69 +0.76 +0.30 -0.02 +0.07 — 18:25
88 Patrick Kane R +2.52 +1.30 +0.24 +0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:49
23 Lucas Raymond L +2.30 +1.30 +0.37 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:47
93 Alex DeBrincat R +2.12 +0.75 +0.19 +1.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:49
71 Dylan Larkin C +1.78 +0.75 +0.54 +0.51 0.00 -0.04 +0.02 — 22:47
77 Simon Edvinsson D +1.66 0.00 0.00 +1.53 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 26:42
21 James van Riemsdyk L +1.59 +0.75 +0.63 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:02
20 Albert Johansson D +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:13
58 Emmitt Finnie C +0.27 +0.55 +0.11 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:40
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.23 0.00 +0.04 +0.16 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:00
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:26
37 J.T. Compher L +0.15 0.00 +0.14 -0.02 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 13:46
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D -0.41 +0.70 +0.03 -1.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 13:40
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.48 0.00 +0.07 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:03
29 Nate Danielson C -0.80 0.00 +0.07 -0.81 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 10:36
92 Marco Kasper C -1.02 0.00 0.00 -1.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 10:06
8 Ben Chiarot D -1.28 0.00 +0.01 -1.49 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:58
39 Cam Talbot G -1.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.55 65:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Sean Monahan C +2.34 +1.65 0.00 +0.64 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 19:54
8 Zach Werenski D +1.81 +2.10 +0.10 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 28:29
91 Kent Johnson C +1.56 +0.75 +0.35 +0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:32
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.21 +1.50 +0.25 -0.53 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 22:38
4 Cole Sillinger C +1.13 +0.70 +0.22 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:07
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.90 +0.75 +0.43 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 19:43
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.77 +0.55 +0.05 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:50
16 Brendan Gaunce C +0.70 +0.70 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:19
78 Damon Severson D +0.47 0.00 +0.20 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:30
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.43 +0.75 +0.15 -0.40 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 29:27
59 Egor Chinakhov R +0.35 0.00 +0.15 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 7:44
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:09
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.06 0.00 +0.07 -0.33 +0.15 +0.02 +0.02 — 18:05
90 Elvis Merzlikins G -0.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.15 63:36
65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C -0.22 0.00 +0.04 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 7:04
11 Miles Wood L -0.22 0.00 +0.13 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:01
7 Brendan Smith D -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:48
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:35
10 Dmitri Voronkov L -0.96 0.00 +0.05 -0.54 -0.45 0.00 -0.02 — 18:30

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.