| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | |
| 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:55 | Ivan Provorov (4) Brendan Gaunce (2) · snap xG 0.02 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:09 | Dylan Larkin (15)PP Moritz Seider (16), Lucas Raymond (21) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 5:18 | Kirill Marchenko (9)PP Zach Werenski (18), Sean Monahan (9) · snap xG 0.08 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 7:11 | Kent Johnson (3) Cole Sillinger (9), Denton Mateychuk (5) · snap xG 0.44 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 9:08 | Lucas Raymond (10)PP Axel Sandin-Pellikka (5), Patrick Kane (14) · wrist xG 0.06 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 10:20 | James van Riemsdyk (5)PP Andrew Copp (9), Emmitt Finnie (8) · poke xG 0.48 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 13:50 | Adam Fantilli (10)PP Zach Werenski (19), Sean Monahan (10) · slap xG 0.10 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:35 | Patrick Kane (4) Moritz Seider (17), Andrew Copp (10) · wrist xG 0.05 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| 11:38 | Alex DeBrincat (14) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 | 5–4 ▶ | |
| 18:29 | Adam Fantilli (11) Zach Werenski (20), Sean Monahan (11) · wrist xG 0.06 | 5–5 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Kent Johnson vs Cam Talbot | Goal | ||
| James van Riemsdyk vs Elvis Merzlikins | Saved | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Cam Talbot | Saved | ||
| Lucas Raymond vs Elvis Merzlikins | Saved | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Cam Talbot | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.85 | Expected goals | 3.45 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.80 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.36 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 73 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 51 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:11 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
DET had led since 0:41 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 10:20 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 7:11 of the 2nd, by as much as 61% |
| 13:50 | DET | Goalie | Goalie · Talbot −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.83 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:32 | CBJ | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Merzlikins, down 5–4
With 2:28 left; CBJ scored at 18:29 of the 3rd (5–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 22:47 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.37 | 2 | 1 | 20:49 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 20:49 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.57 | 1 | 2 | 20:47 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1.07 | 0 | 1 | 18:25 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 2 | 2 | 15:40 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.97 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 12:03 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 10:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 28:34 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 26:42 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 4 | 20:58 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:13 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 32 | 5 | 27 | .844 | 3.45 | -1.55 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 22:38 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 18:30 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 18:07 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 18:05 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 50 | Brendan Gaunce | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 10 | 0 | 11:19 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 07:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 29:27 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 28:29 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 3 | 21:30 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 14:09 |
| 7 | Brendan Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 08:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 33 | 5 | 28 | .848 | 4.85 | -0.15 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +3.07 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +1.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 28:34 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +3.05 | +1.25 | +0.69 | +0.76 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 18:25 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +2.52 | +1.30 | +0.24 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:49 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +2.30 | +1.30 | +0.37 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:47 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +2.12 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:49 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.54 | +0.51 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 22:47 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.53 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 26:42 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +1.59 | +0.75 | +0.63 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:02 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:13 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.27 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:40 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 14:00 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:26 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | -0.41 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -1.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:40 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:03 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.81 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 10:36 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:06 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | -1.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 20:58 |
| 39 Cam Talbot G | -1.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.55 | 65:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +2.34 | +1.65 | 0.00 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:54 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.81 | +2.10 | +0.10 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 28:29 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +1.56 | +0.75 | +0.35 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:32 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.21 | +1.50 | +0.25 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 22:38 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +1.13 | +0.70 | +0.22 | +0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:07 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.43 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:43 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.77 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:50 |
| 16 Brendan Gaunce C | +0.70 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:19 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:30 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.43 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.40 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 29:27 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 7:44 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:09 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.33 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 18:05 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | -0.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | 63:36 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 7:04 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:01 |
| 7 Brendan Smith D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:48 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:35 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.54 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:30 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.