| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:20 | Jason Robertson (18)PP Wyatt Johnston (16), Mikko Rantanen (24) · backhand xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:23 | Collin Graf (4) Ty Dellandrea (7), Nick Leddy (3) · wrist xG 0.24 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:56 | Sam Steel (4) Alexander Petrovic (7), Mikko Rantanen (25) · snap xG 0.42 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 16:39 | Mikko Rantanen (13) Wyatt Johnston (17), Vladislav Kolyachonok (2) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 17:41 | Miro Heiskanen (5)EN Roope Hintz (16) · wrist xG 0.48 | 1–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | Expected goals | 3.19 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.01 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 24 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 17 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:08 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 3–1
With 2:52 left |
| 19:00 | DAL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.08–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 3rd; goals 3–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 17:47 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.12 | 6 | 0 | 17:09 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:08 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:03 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 09:12 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 07:54 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 06:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 22:14 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 20:07 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 18:07 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 17:22 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.71 | -0.29 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 19:51 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.85 | 1 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 16:25 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 12:59 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 12:01 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:53 |
| 15 | Colin Blackwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 11:53 |
| 11 | Nathan Bastian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 4 | 1 | 08:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 25:30 |
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.58 | 0 | 2 | 24:48 |
| 46 | Ilya Lyubushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 2 | 2 | 17:24 |
| 36 | Alexander Petrovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 |
| 20 | Kyle Capobianco | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 2 | 16:16 |
| 18 | Vladislav Kolyachonok | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 17 | 1 | 16 | .941 | 1.67 | +0.67 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.50 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:08 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | +0.37 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:29 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 7:54 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 6:06 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.22 | +0.75 | +0.26 | -0.86 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 17:47 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:22 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:12 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 19:09 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:14 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:38 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 20:54 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:27 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:03 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.27 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -1.16 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:09 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -0.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.29 | 59:35 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:07 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:07 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.83 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:48 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | -1.61 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -1.70 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +2.66 | +1.85 | +0.14 | +0.80 | -0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:17 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | +2.59 | +0.75 | +0.55 | +1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:44 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | +1.86 | +1.40 | +0.19 | +0.27 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.13 | — | 16:39 |
| 28 Alexander Petrovic D | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:42 |
| 44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D | +1.44 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:11 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.38 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 24:48 |
| 11 Nathan Bastian R | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 8:10 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | +0.82 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 16:25 |
| 29 Jake Oettinger G | +0.67 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.67 | 60:00 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 12:01 |
| 20 Kyle Capobianco D | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:16 |
| 15 Colin Blackwell C | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.59 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.02 | — | 11:53 |
| 46 Ilya Lyubushkin D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:24 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 12:59 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:22 |
| 21 Jason Robertson L | +0.08 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.98 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:51 |
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:55 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 25:30 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:53 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.