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Colorado AvalancheCOL 3–2 Final/OT New York RangersNYR

Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL 0111 3 42
New York RangersNYR 0020 2 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
7:06 COL Parker Kelly (6) Sam Malinski (13), Martin Necas (22) · tip-in xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
4:23 NYR Conor Sheary (1) Vincent Trocheck (9), J.T. Miller (11) · snap xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
15:26 COL Nathan MacKinnon (23) Martin Necas (23), Josh Manson (4) · bat xG 0.21 2–1 ▶
19:18 NYR Artemi Panarin (10) Mika Zibanejad (12), Alexis Lafrenière (9) · slap xG 0.04 2–2 ▶
Overtime
2:46 COL Nathan MacKinnon (24) Cale Makar (25), Martin Necas (24) · backhand xG 0.14 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 82%Deserve to win18% NYR
COLNYR
3.95Expected goals1.85
3Goals (no shootout)2
3.49Expected goals, 5 on 51.21
73Shot attempts61
52Unblocked attempts44
42Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:41 NYR Deserve to win Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 60–40%
COL had led since 4:58 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
2nd Period
6:44 COL Deserve to win Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 66–34%
NYR had led since 14:41 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
3rd Period
3:50 NYR No shift No shift · Raddysh, 12:23 on the bench
No shift from 13:47 of the 2nd to 8:14 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:13) before that
15:50 COL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.32–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
17:54 NYR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 2–1
With 2:06 left; NYR scored at 19:18 of the 3rd (2–2)

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Braden Schneider: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:20) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:23) Cale Makar: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:43) Martin Necas: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:56) Ross Colton: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:07) Ross Colton: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:14) Brent Burns: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:24) Conor Sheary: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:54) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:55) Gabriel Landeskog: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 4:58) Noah Laba: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:22) Jonny Brodzinski: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:06) Sam Carrick: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:12) Taylor Raddysh: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:13) J.T. Miller: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:02) Artemi Panarin: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:13) Will Cuylle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 8:30) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:46) Conor Sheary: tip-in, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:10) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:17) Matthew Robertson: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:41) Cale Makar: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:08) Cale Makar: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:19) Scott Morrow: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:27) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:02) Martin Necas: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 18:26) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:59) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:57) Ross Colton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:04) Noah Laba: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:24) Matthew Robertson: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:04) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:15) Cale Makar: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:38) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:14) Brock Nelson: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:33) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:07) Zakhar Bardakov: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:37) Parker Kelly: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:41) Parker Kelly: poke, 10 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 6:44) J.T. Miller: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:58) Brent Burns: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:13) Samuel Girard: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:27) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:09) Brent Burns: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:20) Alexis Lafrenière: backhand, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:57) Braden Schneider: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:43) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:46) Braden Schneider: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:52) Scott Morrow: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:19) Matthew Robertson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:41) Will Borgen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:23) Brent Burns: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:52) Braden Schneider: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:11) Cale Makar: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:19) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:44) Artemi Panarin: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:33) Braden Schneider: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:29) J.T. Miller: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:30) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:32) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:04) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 1:16) Josh Manson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:38) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:09) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:18) Parker Kelly: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:45) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:59) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:33) Alexis Lafrenière: tip-in, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:50) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:14) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:37) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:09) Brock Nelson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:34) Ross Colton: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:39) Samuel Girard: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:04) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:13) Martin Necas: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:23) Ross Colton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:45) Gabriel Landeskog: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:48) Gabriel Landeskog: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 15:50) Cale Makar: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:10) Artemi Panarin: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:41) Cale Makar: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:00) Artemi Panarin: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:05) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:13) Devon Toews: wrist, 177 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:16) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:37) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:48) J.T. Miller: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:58) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:04) Cale Makar: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 0:34) Cale Makar: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:26) Parker Kelly: GOAL, tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:06) Conor Sheary: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:23) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, bat, 12 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 15:26) Artemi Panarin: GOAL, slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:18) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 2:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 202 +3 90.81 1024:56
62 Artturi Lehkonen 000 0 30.17 1022:43
88 Martin Necas 033 +2 40.18 0122:12
43 Valeri Nichushkin 000 -1 50.17 1018:09
11 Brock Nelson 000 -1 20.05 1118:02
92 Gabriel Landeskog 000 0 81.14 0015:16
18 Jack Drury 000 0 00.00 0113:14
79 Ross Colton 000 -1 60.16 2012:22
95 Victor Olofsson 000 0 10.00 0111:05
22 Joel Kiviranta 000 -1 00.00 4110:37
17 Parker Kelly 101 +1 40.55 2110:20
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 0 10.04 1006:26
Defense
8 Cale Makar 011 -1 120.51 0227:40
7 Devon Toews 000 -2 30.06 0126:17
84 Brent Burns 000 +1 90.07 1019:33
42 Josh Manson 011 +1 20.02 5217:00
70 Sam Malinski 011 +1 20.00 2214:54
49 Samuel Girard 000 +1 20.02 0013:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Mackenzie Blackwood 27225 .926 1.85 -0.15

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 J.T. Miller 011 +1 40.13 5023:38
16 Vincent Trocheck 011 0 30.21 5123:35
10 Artemi Panarin 101 +1 110.36 1122:12
93 Mika Zibanejad 011 +1 10.10 5021:57
50 Will Cuylle 000 -1 10.19 0421:25
13 Alexis Lafrenière 011 +1 60.25 1117:19
43 Conor Sheary 101 0 40.27 0015:42
42 Noah Laba 000 -2 20.03 1013:28
37 Brett Berard 000 0 10.00 2010:46
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 0 10.00 0108:20
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 10.07 0007:54
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 0 10.01 0006:09
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 -1 70.02 2424:17
4 Braden Schneider 000 -1 60.06 1122:40
17 Will Borgen 000 -1 20.01 3118:54
7 Carson Soucy 000 +1 10.00 2316:05
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 50.08 3115:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 42339 .929 3.89 +0.89

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +3.06 +1.50 +0.53 +1.15 0.00 -0.09 -0.02 — 24:56
88 Martin Necas C +2.87 +1.80 +0.12 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:12
70 Sam Malinski D +2.60 +0.70 0.00 +1.80 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:54
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +2.09 0.00 +0.74 +1.33 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 15:16
42 Josh Manson D +1.89 +0.55 +0.01 +1.24 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:00
17 Parker Kelly C +1.82 +0.75 +0.36 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:20
49 Samuel Girard D +1.68 0.00 +0.01 +1.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:32
11 Brock Nelson C +1.48 0.00 +0.03 +1.42 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 18:02
8 Cale Makar D +1.09 +0.70 +0.33 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 27:40
84 Brent Burns D +1.04 0.00 +0.05 +1.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:33
20 Ross Colton C +1.04 0.00 +0.10 +0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:22
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +0.64 0.00 +0.11 +0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:43
93 Zakhar Bardakov C +0.42 0.00 +0.02 +0.41 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 6:26
94 Joel Kiviranta L +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:37
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.31 0.00 +0.11 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:09
95 Victor Olofsson L +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.09 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 11:05
18 Jack Drury C +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 13:14
39 Mackenzie Blackwood G -0.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.15 62:46
7 Devon Toews D -0.52 0.00 +0.04 -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 26:17

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G +0.89 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.89 61:22
43 Conor Sheary L +0.81 +0.75 +0.18 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:42
8 J.T. Miller C +0.32 +0.55 +0.08 -0.43 +0.15 +0.05 -0.08 — 23:38
16 Vincent Trocheck C +0.20 +0.70 +0.14 -0.71 0.00 +0.05 +0.03 — 23:35
39 Sam Carrick C +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.07 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 7:54
14 Taylor Raddysh R +0.09 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:09
22 Jonny Brodzinski C -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 8:20
65 Brett Berard L -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:46
50 Will Cuylle L -0.27 0.00 +0.12 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 21:25
42 Noah Laba C -0.45 0.00 +0.02 -0.44 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 13:28
24 Carson Soucy D -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 16:05
17 Will Borgen D -0.73 0.00 +0.01 -0.76 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:54
4 Braden Schneider D -0.73 0.00 +0.04 -0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:40
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.77 0.00 +0.01 -0.98 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 24:17
29 Matthew Robertson D -0.80 0.00 +0.05 -0.74 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:56
10 Artemi Panarin L -0.81 +0.75 +0.23 -1.82 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:12
93 Mika Zibanejad C -1.06 +0.70 +0.06 -1.92 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 21:57
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -1.14 +0.55 +0.17 -1.93 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:19
60 Scott Morrow D -1.18 0.00 +0.03 -1.15 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 15:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.