| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31 |
 |
1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 40 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:40 | |
Damon Severson (2)PP Ivan Provorov (6), Cole Sillinger (10) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 9:47 | |
Evan Rodrigues (8) Mackie Samoskevich (10) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:26 | |
Dmitri Voronkov (10) Ivan Provorov (7), Zach Werenski (21) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 5:57 | |
Miles Wood (8) Charlie Coyle (15), Isac Lundeström (4) · backhand xG 0.15 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 10:24 | |
Kirill Marchenko (10) Adam Fantilli (9), Dmitri Voronkov (10) · backhand xG 0.05 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 11:15 | |
Carter Verhaeghe (6) Seth Jones (11), Brad Marchand (13) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 13:11 | |
Carter Verhaeghe (7)PP Brad Marchand (14), Sam Bennett (8) · wrist xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ |
| 16:12 | |
Seth Jones (4)PP Sam Reinhart (11), Sam Bennett (9) · snap xG 0.05 | 4–4 ▶ |
| 18:26 | |
Cole Sillinger (3) Denton Mateychuk (6) · wrist xG 0.16 | 5–4 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:27 | |
Isac Lundeström (1) Miles Wood (4), Brendan Smith (2) · snap xG 0.19 | 6–4 ▶ |
| 4:21 | |
Brad Marchand (16) Sam Bennett (10), Carter Verhaeghe (13) · wrist xG 0.21 | 6–5 ▶ |
| 14:18 | |
Anton Lundell (7) Eetu Luostarinen (8) · wrist xG 0.14 | 6–6 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 4:56 | |
Sam Bennett (7) Brad Marchand (15), Gustav Forsling (12) · wrist xG 0.26 | 6–7 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.98 | Expected goals | 3.71 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 2.01 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.39 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 50 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 40 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:57 | FLA | Goalie | Goalie · Bobrovsky −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.92 xG, 11 shots on goal |
| 13:11 | FLA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · FLA takes the lead, 60–40%
CBJ had led since 5:39 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 18:10 | FLA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.22–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:10 to 18:10 of the 2nd; goals 3–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:27 | FLA | Goalie | Goalie · Bobrovsky −4.2 goals saved
6 goals on 1.78 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 4:21 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Merzlikins −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.75 xG, 27 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.39 | 0 | 2 | 22:18 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 20:42 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 20:16 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 0.66 | 2 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 16:18 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 13:28 |
| 50 | Brendan Gaunce | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 11:57 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 08:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 3 | 30:09 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 29:01 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 19:23 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 14:59 |
| 7 | Brendan Smith | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 40 | 7 | 33 | .825 | 3.71 | -3.29 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 0.67 | 3 | 0 | 23:46 |
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 23:42 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 14 | 0.88 | 2 | 2 | 23:16 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.48 | 2 | 1 | 19:34 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.31 | 3 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:31 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 05:09 |
| 23 | Jack Studnicka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 04:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 28:01 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 24:32 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 | 22:19 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 13:04 |
| 73 | Donovan Sebrango | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 11:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 31 | 6 | 25 | .806 | 2.98 | -3.02 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +1.88 | +1.30 | +0.18 | +0.29 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:18 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +1.64 | +1.30 | +0.43 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:34 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.24 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:16 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +1.38 | +1.40 | +0.06 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 30:09 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +1.28 | +1.30 | +0.19 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:08 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +1.28 | +1.45 | +0.10 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:28 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.06 | +0.70 | +0.25 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.06 | — | 22:18 |
| 7 Brendan Smith D | +1.02 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:09 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 29:01 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.55 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:23 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.15 | — | 21:44 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:59 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.21 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.55 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 20:42 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 7:23 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:35 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:22 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | -0.15 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 18:10 |
| 16 Brendan Gaunce C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:57 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | -3.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.29 | 64:31 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +3.67 | +2.70 | +0.57 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 23:16 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +3.31 | +2.55 | +0.43 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 23:46 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +2.62 | +2.05 | +0.20 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.04 | — | 20:36 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +2.30 | +1.45 | +0.18 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 28:01 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.03 | -0.30 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 19:34 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:03 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +0.80 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.15 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 23:42 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.79 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +0.77 | +0.70 | +0.20 | -0.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:36 |
| 6 Donovan Sebrango D | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:29 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:04 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:19 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.08 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 5:09 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:31 |
| 53 Jack Studnicka C | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 4:51 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | -0.01 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:32 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:53 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:54 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | -3.02 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.02 | 64:56 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.