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Montréal CanadiensMTL 2–1 Final/SO Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Saturday, December 6, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 01002 2 34
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 00101 1 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
8:25 MTL Cole Caufield (15)PP Juraj Slafkovský (7), Ivan Demidov (15) · wrist xG 0.36 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
10:28 TOR Scott Laughton (3)SH Nicolas Roy (8) · slap xG 0.18 1–1 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
TOR William Nylander vs Jakub Dobes Saved
MTL Cole Caufield vs Dennis Hildeby Goal
TOR Auston Matthews vs Jakub Dobes Goal
MTL Alexandre Texier vs Dennis Hildeby Goal
TOR John Tavares vs Jakub Dobes Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 77%Deserve to win23% TOR
MTLTOR
3.48Expected goals1.87
1Goals (no shootout)1
1.97Expected goals, 5 on 51.11
61Shot attempts51
53Unblocked attempts38
34Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
7:31 MTL Deserve to win Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 60–40%
TOR had led since 1:48 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
8:30 MTL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced TOR 1.22–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:30 of the 1st to 8:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
9:32 TOR Goalie Goalie · Hildeby +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 28 shots on goal

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TOR shoots
Jake McCabe: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 0:51) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:48) Jake McCabe: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:00) William Nylander: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:53) Noah Dobson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:09) Auston Matthews: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 6:20) Easton Cowan: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:34) William Nylander: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:36) Cole Caufield: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:54) Nick Suzuki: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:02) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:07) Cole Caufield: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:08) Scott Laughton: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:54) Noah Dobson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:46) Noah Dobson: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:51) Josh Anderson: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:31) Bobby McMann: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:38) Steven Lorentz: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:21) Max Domi: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:42) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:46) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:51) Jake McCabe: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:04) Cole Caufield: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:59) Lane Hutson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:03) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:05) Mike Matheson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:58) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:25) Joseph Veleno: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:22) Jake McCabe: wrist, 170 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:36) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:24) Matthew Knies: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:26) Arber Xhekaj: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:37) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:43) Alexandre Carrier: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:59) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:10) Noah Dobson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:33) Noah Dobson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:42) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:01) Mike Matheson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:18) Jared Davidson: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 7:31) Noah Dobson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:53) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:53) Alexandre Texier: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:58) Steven Lorentz: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:27) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:20) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:53) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:09) Bobby McMann: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:34) Josh Anderson: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:46) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:03) Josh Anderson: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:53) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:10) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:23) Mike Matheson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:33) Nick Suzuki: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:34) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:43) Cole Caufield: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:45) Lane Hutson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:59) Max Domi: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:25) Josh Anderson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:49) Arber Xhekaj: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:55) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:10) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:33) Simon Benoit: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:11) Max Domi: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:17) Max Domi: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:04) Alexandre Texier: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 6:38) Jake McCabe: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:29) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:10) Cole Caufield: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:30) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 9:32) Oliver Kapanen: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:35) Dakota Joshua: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:36) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:09) Arber Xhekaj: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:49) Morgan Rielly: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:26) Max Domi: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:33) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:38) Bobby McMann: backhand, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:31) Jake McCabe: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:40) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:47) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:55) William Nylander: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:08) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 2:17) William Nylander: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 2:24) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 2:38) Cole Caufield: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 2:57) Mike Matheson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:06) William Nylander: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 4:44) Cole Caufield: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.36 (P2 8:25) Scott Laughton: GOAL, slap, 24 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 10:28)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 000 0 70.44 0023:12
20 Juraj Slafkovský 011 0 50.23 2021:36
13 Cole Caufield 101 0 70.71 3021:20
71 Jake Evans 000 0 10.00 1116:45
93 Ivan Demidov 011 0 30.36 1016:37
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 -1 40.11 0216:06
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 40.21 4115:36
85 Alexandre Texier 000 -1 20.23 1014:47
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 -1 40.12 0012:59
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 10.10 1111:12
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 -1 20.14 1010:31
Defense
8 Mike Matheson 000 0 60.21 0026:56
48 Lane Hutson 000 0 20.06 0124:46
53 Noah Dobson 000 -1 60.23 1122:39
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 0 10.02 0318:16
3 Jayden Struble 000 0 10.00 2015:53
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 40.06 2111:49
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 23122 .957 1.87 +0.87

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
34 Auston Matthews 000 0 20.15 1022:52
88 William Nylander 000 0 50.39 1120:48
91 John Tavares 000 0 00.00 0020:47
89 Matthew Knies 000 0 20.13 2018:11
53 Easton Cowan 000 0 20.09 1017:10
81 Dakota Joshua 000 0 10.12 6015:12
10 Nicolas Roy 011 0 10.00 0015:06
21 Scott Laughton 101 +1 20.19 4014:44
11 Max Domi 000 0 70.14 0014:33
74 Bobby McMann 000 0 40.05 5013:40
18 Steven Lorentz 000 0 30.03 2109:21
14 Nick Robertson 000 0 00.00 0006:58
Defense
22 Jake McCabe 000 +1 60.22 0325:30
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 000 0 50.01 1023:58
28 Troy Stecher 000 +1 00.00 2023:24
44 Morgan Rielly 000 +1 90.35 0119:30
44 Simon Benoit 000 0 10.00 1015:04
51 Philippe Myers 000 0 10.00 2212:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dennis Hildeby 34133 .971 3.48 +2.48

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Cole Caufield R +1.79 +0.75 +0.46 +0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:20
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +1.25 +0.70 +0.15 +0.58 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:36
75 Jakub Dobes G +0.87 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.87 64:29
90 Joseph Veleno C +0.80 0.00 +0.06 +0.54 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:12
8 Mike Matheson D +0.76 0.00 +0.14 +0.53 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 26:56
48 Lane Hutson D +0.69 0.00 +0.04 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:46
53 Noah Dobson D +0.69 0.00 +0.15 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:39
14 Nick Suzuki C +0.68 0.00 +0.29 +0.46 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 23:12
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.64 +0.55 +0.24 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:37
17 Josh Anderson R +0.48 0.00 +0.14 +0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 15:36
76 Zachary Bolduc R +0.46 0.00 +0.09 +0.38 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:31
71 Jake Evans C +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.20 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:45
47 Jayden Struble D +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:53
49 Jared Davidson C +0.23 0.00 +0.17 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:31
45 Alexandre Carrier D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:16
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.15 0.00 +0.07 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:59
85 Alexandre Texier L +0.13 0.00 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:47
91 Oliver Kapanen C -0.02 0.00 +0.07 -0.14 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 16:06
72 Arber Xhekaj D -0.13 0.00 +0.04 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 11:49

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Dennis Hildeby G +2.48 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.48 64:43
55 Nicolas Roy C +0.72 +0.70 0.00 -0.01 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 15:06
24 Scott Laughton C +0.71 +0.75 +0.12 -0.12 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 14:44
44 Morgan Rielly D +0.37 0.00 +0.23 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:30
18 Steven Lorentz C +0.13 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 9:21
89 Nick Robertson L +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 6:58
23 Matthew Knies L +0.08 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:11
11 Max Domi C +0.04 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 14:33
81 Dakota Joshua C +0.02 0.00 +0.08 -0.20 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 15:12
34 Auston Matthews C -0.02 0.00 +0.10 -0.31 +0.15 +0.08 -0.04 — 22:52
53 Easton Cowan R -0.12 0.00 +0.06 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:10
22 Jake McCabe D -0.14 0.00 +0.14 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 25:30
51 Philippe Myers D -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:02
74 Bobby McMann C -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.32 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 13:40
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:58
2 Simon Benoit D -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:04
88 William Nylander R -0.53 0.00 +0.26 -0.98 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:48
28 Troy Stecher D -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.56 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 23:24
91 John Tavares C -1.08 0.00 0.00 -0.80 -0.30 +0.04 -0.02 — 20:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.