| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:06 | Emmitt Finnie (6)PP Nate Danielson (4), Axel Sandin-Pellikka (6) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 16:16 | Brandon Montour (6) Jordan Eberle (8), Matty Beniers (13) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:10 | Andrew Copp (2) Simon Edvinsson (5), Moritz Seider (18) · poke xG 0.63 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 6:44 | Adam Larsson (2) Vince Dunn (10), Tye Kartye (3) · wrist xG 0.02 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 12:44 | Chandler Stephenson (5) Adam Larsson (5), Eeli Tolvanen (9) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:32 | James van Riemsdyk (6) J.T. Compher (6), Simon Edvinsson (6) · wrist xG 0.13 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:31 | Patrick Kane (5) Alex DeBrincat (16) · wrist xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.34 | Expected goals | 3.01 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.58 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.51 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | DET | No shift | No shift · Larkin, 10:38 on the bench
No shift from 7:12 of the 2nd to the start of the 3rd; 12 shifts (8:28) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:48 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 4–3
With 1:12 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.49 | 1 | 1 | 16:05 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 14:20 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 11:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.18 | 3 | 4 | 24:48 |
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 24:05 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.01 | 4 | 4 | 23:30 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 16:49 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 | 15:38 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 3 | 13:34 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 3.01 | +0.01 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 20:52 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 3 | 19:55 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 13:31 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 12:17 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 3 | 11:24 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 2 | 0 | 10:41 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 4 | 0 | 08:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 24:27 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 23:29 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 21:52 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 19:28 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 3.34 | -0.66 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +3.15 | +1.25 | +0.12 | +1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 24:48 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +2.26 | +0.75 | +0.58 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +2.21 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:20 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +2.13 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +1.68 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:05 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +1.68 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.93 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:00 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +1.63 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 16:23 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.53 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.78 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:50 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:05 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | +0.25 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 9:00 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.01 | 59:58 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | -0.05 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 15:38 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:19 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | -0.39 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -1.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 15:09 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 23:30 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 16:49 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.80 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:26 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:27 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:50 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 13:34 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +2.42 | +1.45 | +0.02 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:52 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +1.77 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.68 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 24:27 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:34 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.42 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 10:41 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:36 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +0.64 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 19:55 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:10 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.13 | — | 11:24 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.33 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 20:52 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:32 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 12:17 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:24 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.01 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 23:29 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:40 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:28 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:30 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.38 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:31 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -0.66 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.66 | 58:48 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -1.22 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:04 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.