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New York IslandersNYI 1–4 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 010 1 21
Florida PanthersFLA 112 4 30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:14 FLA Uvis Balinskis (1) Mackie Samoskevich (11), A.J. Greer (6) · wrist xG 0.01 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
7:05 FLA Carter Verhaeghe (8) Jeff Petry (6) · wrist xG 0.11 0–2 ▶
9:03 NYI Mathew Barzal (9) Matthew Schaefer (13), Ryan Pulock (14) · backhand xG 0.07 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
13:57 FLA Seth Jones (5) Anton Lundell (15), Sam Reinhart (12) · wrist xG 0.13 1–3 ▶
17:06 FLA Sam Reinhart (15)EN Gustav Forsling (13) · wrist xG 0.93 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 40%Deserve to win60% FLA
NYIFLA
1.99Expected goals3.47
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.61Expected goals, 5 on 51.92
55Shot attempts62
36Unblocked attempts44
21Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:53 NYI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Rittich, down 3–1
With 3:07 left; FLA scored at 17:06 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Anders Lee: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:20) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:24) Sam Bennett: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:44) Adam Pelech: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:06) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:13) Emil Heineman: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:24) Uvis Balinskis: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:43) A.J. Greer: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:03) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:35) Uvis Balinskis: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:10) Mackie Samoskevich: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:15) Noah Gregor: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:12) Uvis Balinskis: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:04) Jeff Petry: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:43) Jack Studnicka: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:45) Brad Marchand: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:45) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:57) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:43) Sam Bennett: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:18) Niko Mikkola: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:27) Seth Jones: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:41) Adam Pelech: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:03) Casey Cizikas: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 15:57) Marc Gatcomb: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:58) Maxim Shabanov: snap, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:42) Anders Lee: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:58) Maxim Tsyplakov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:59) Adam Pelech: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:07) Adam Pelech: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:14) Kyle MacLean: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 19:16) Anders Lee: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:35) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:01) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:03) Emil Heineman: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:39) Jeff Petry: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:08) Noah Gregor: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:51) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:05) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:59) Bo Horvat: wrist, 117 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:07) Brad Marchand: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:47) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:19) Emil Heineman: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:06) Bo Horvat: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:26) Bo Horvat: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:51) Anders Lee: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:02) Anders Lee: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:32) Anders Lee: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:36) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:39) Jeff Petry: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:02) Anton Lundell: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:53) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:21) Maxim Tsyplakov: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:09) Anthony Duclair: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:30) Jack Studnicka: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:52) Niko Mikkola: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:28) Anton Lundell: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:25) Matthew Schaefer: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:55) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:39) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 3:42) A.J. Greer: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:07) Aaron Ekblad: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:17) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:34) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:55) Calum Ritchie: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:51) Sam Bennett: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 11:16) Brad Marchand: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:25) Anton Lundell: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:05) A.J. Greer: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:36) Eetu Luostarinen: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:26) Sam Bennett: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:58) Anthony Duclair: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:19) Adam Pelech: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:31) Brad Marchand: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:38) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:58) Casey Cizikas: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:59) Uvis Balinskis: GOAL, wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:14) Carter Verhaeghe: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:05) Mathew Barzal: GOAL, backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:03) Seth Jones: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:57) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.93 (P3 17:06)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 000 -3 30.27 2119:10
13 Mathew Barzal 101 -1 20.07 0017:21
51 Emil Heineman 000 -1 40.09 5116:38
49 Maxim Shabanov 000 -2 40.00 0016:22
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 10.23 2014:26
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 -1 00.00 0014:13
72 Anders Lee 000 0 60.53 0013:40
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 20.24 3113:34
64 Calum Ritchie 000 -1 20.11 0013:33
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 0 30.11 5113:10
11 Anthony Duclair 000 -2 20.03 0112:20
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 +1 30.10 3011:22
Defense
3 Adam Pelech 000 0 70.12 0123:07
48 Matthew Schaefer 011 -1 40.09 0322:38
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 -1 60.02 0422:29
6 Ryan Pulock 011 +1 30.01 0119:55
24 Scott Mayfield 000 -2 20.00 1217:14
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
David Rittich 29326 .897 2.53 -0.47

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Sam Reinhart 112 +2 41.01 0120:00
63 Brad Marchand 000 -1 50.26 0018:33
15 Anton Lundell 011 +2 40.07 1118:28
23 Carter Verhaeghe 101 +1 40.19 0117:34
9 Sam Bennett 000 0 60.38 1017:13
17 Evan Rodrigues 000 +1 20.00 0116:05
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 0 30.15 3014:46
18 A.J. Greer 011 +1 30.21 0112:37
11 Mackie Samoskevich 011 +1 30.13 3011:52
73 Noah Gregor 000 0 20.06 0110:09
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 +1 10.00 2009:21
23 Jack Studnicka 000 0 20.09 1009:05
Defense
77 Niko Mikkola 000 +1 30.12 3221:57
3 Seth Jones 101 +1 30.14 1121:23
42 Gustav Forsling 011 0 20.08 2219:56
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 0 50.43 0519:34
2 Jeff Petry 011 +2 50.05 0017:57
26 Uvis Balinskis 101 +2 50.10 1017:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Daniil Tarasov 21120 .952 1.99 +0.99

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Anders Lee L +1.10 0.00 +0.34 +0.76 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 13:40
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.00 +0.75 +0.04 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:21
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.76 0.00 +0.15 +0.54 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 13:34
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.66 +0.70 +0.06 -0.08 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 22:38
16 Marc Gatcomb C +0.62 0.00 +0.07 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:10
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R +0.59 0.00 +0.06 +0.53 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:22
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.48 0.00 +0.15 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:26
3 Adam Pelech D +0.34 0.00 +0.08 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 23:07
6 Ryan Pulock D +0.33 +0.55 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:55
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.15 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 22:29
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:14
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:20
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.41 0.00 +0.07 -0.42 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 13:33
33 David Rittich G -0.47 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.47 59:22
49 Max Shabanov R -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:22
38 Travis Mitchell D -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:26
14 Bo Horvat C -0.75 0.00 +0.17 -0.94 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 19:10
10 Simon Holmstrom R -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:13
51 Emil Heineman L -1.09 0.00 +0.06 -1.17 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:38

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Sam Reinhart C +1.85 +1.30 +0.65 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:01
26 Uvis Balinskis D +1.66 +0.75 +0.06 +0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:30
2 Jeff Petry D +1.51 +0.70 +0.04 +0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:57
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +1.37 +0.70 +0.08 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:51
10 A.J. Greer L +1.24 +0.55 +0.13 +0.65 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 12:36
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +1.11 +0.75 +0.12 +0.20 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:34
40 Daniil Tarasov G +0.99 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.99 60:00
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.90 +0.70 +0.05 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:56
17 Evan Rodrigues C +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.62 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:05
15 Anton Lundell C +0.57 +0.70 +0.05 -0.25 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 18:28
9 Sam Bennett C +0.54 0.00 +0.25 +0.28 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 17:13
3 Seth Jones D +0.47 +0.75 +0.09 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 21:23
5 Aaron Ekblad D +0.37 0.00 +0.28 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 19:34
63 Brad Marchand L +0.24 0.00 +0.17 -0.09 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:33
70 Jesper Boqvist C +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:21
77 Niko Mikkola D 0.00 0.00 +0.08 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:57
27 Eetu Luostarinen C -0.06 0.00 +0.10 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:47
18 Noah Gregor L -0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.16 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 10:09
53 Jack Studnicka C -0.11 0.00 +0.06 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:05

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.