hockeystats.io

San Jose SharksSJS 4–1 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
San Jose SharksSJS 121 4 23
Carolina HurricanesCAR 100 1 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:33 SJS Collin Graf (5) Macklin Celebrini (27), Will Smith (16) · tip-in xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
13:18 CAR Jordan Staal (8)PP Shayne Gostisbehere (18), Andrei Svechnikov (8) · tip-in xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
7:54 SJS John Klingberg (4) Macklin Celebrini (28), Philipp Kurashev (9) · snap xG 0.18 2–1 ▶
15:14 SJS Alexander Wennberg (6)PP William Eklund (11), John Klingberg (5) · snap xG 0.30 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
18:40 SJS Macklin Celebrini (15)EN Alexander Wennberg (9) · wrist xG 0.92 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 28%Deserve to win72% CAR
SJSCAR
3.17Expected goals3.56
4Goals (no shootout)1
1.59Expected goals, 5 on 52.23
40Shot attempts84
31Unblocked attempts57
23Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
17:01 SJS Deserve to win Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 62–38%
CAR had led since 18:49 of the 1st, by as much as 67%
17:10 SJS xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CAR 1.34–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:10 to 17:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
10:17 CAR Deserve to win Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 64–36%
SJS had led since 17:01 of the 2nd, by as much as 62%
10:20 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.29–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:20 to 10:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored
15:52 SJS Goalie Goalie · Nedeljkovic +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.03 xG, 27 shots on goal

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Seth Jarvis: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:42) Sebastian Aho: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:09) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:11) Logan Stankoven: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:31) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:41) Taylor Hall: snap, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:06) Adam Gaudette: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:23) Sean Walker: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 5:06) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:08) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:27) John Klingberg: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:19) Will Smith: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 7:33) Will Smith: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:04) Logan Stankoven: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:53) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:51) Jalen Chatfield: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:31) Jackson Blake: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:21) Jackson Blake: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:32) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: snap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:41) Nick Leddy: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:27) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:05) Jordan Staal: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 18:42) Jordan Staal: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:49) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:00) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:37) Collin Graf: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:20) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:06) K'Andre Miller: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:27) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:50) Jeff Skinner: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:22) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:47) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:42) Jeff Skinner: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:29) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:40) Will Smith: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:09) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:02) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:38) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:48) William Eklund: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:12) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:46) Will Smith: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:17) Ty Dellandrea: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 17:01) Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:09) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:22) Mario Ferraro: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:42) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:23) Andrei Svechnikov: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:42) Logan Stankoven: wrap-around, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:47) Mike Reilly: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:59) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:31) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:21) Taylor Hall: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:03) Jackson Blake: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:57) Sebastian Aho: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:44) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:47) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 6:58) Taylor Hall: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:15) Logan Stankoven: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:45) K'Andre Miller: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:48) Jackson Blake: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:30) Mike Reilly: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:40) Zack Ostapchuk: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:56) Jordan Staal: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:10) Sebastian Aho: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 10:17) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:20) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:31) Will Smith: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:49) William Eklund: tip-in, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:01) Taylor Hall: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:24) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:18) Sean Walker: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:26) K'Andre Miller: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:34) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:52) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:04) K'Andre Miller: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:13) William Eklund: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:29) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:39) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:00) Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:55) Logan Stankoven: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:57) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 18:14) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:25) Jordan Martinook: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:36) Collin Graf: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:33) Jordan Staal: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:18) John Klingberg: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 7:54) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 15:14) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.92 (P3 18:40)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 112 +1 10.30 0318:36
71 Macklin Celebrini 123 +3 41.07 1118:12
27 William Eklund 011 0 30.25 1317:03
51 Collin Graf 101 +2 30.15 1116:32
2 Will Smith 011 +1 50.23 0015:50
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 +1 10.28 3115:48
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 0 30.14 0213:23
81 Adam Gaudette 000 0 30.12 3213:03
96 Philipp Kurashev 011 +1 10.11 0012:55
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 20.03 2012:45
53 Jeff Skinner 000 0 50.12 1112:16
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 10.02 6011:02
Defense
38 Mario Ferraro 000 +2 20.01 2421:01
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 +1 20.00 0120:56
27 Timothy Liljegren 000 +2 00.00 0220:30
4 Nick Leddy 000 0 10.12 0119:13
3 John Klingberg 112 +1 20.22 1318:43
6 Sam Dickinson 000 0 10.00 0117:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 29128 .966 3.56 +2.56

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 000 -1 60.50 0019:45
24 Seth Jarvis 000 -1 20.06 1019:10
53 Jackson Blake 000 -1 70.60 1019:02
37 Andrei Svechnikov 011 -1 70.29 2017:49
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 -2 80.40 0015:38
22 Logan Stankoven 000 0 60.38 0115:14
71 Taylor Hall 000 0 40.15 0013:59
11 Jordan Staal 101 -1 70.55 1013:58
48 Jordan Martinook 000 -1 40.07 2012:32
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi 000 -1 10.00 0012:27
50 Eric Robinson 000 -1 10.00 1111:49
28 William Carrier 000 -1 00.00 0011:08
Defense
19 K'Andre Miller 000 -1 90.06 3122:22
26 Sean Walker 000 -1 60.21 1321:47
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 011 -1 40.10 0121:35
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 0 60.09 0019:32
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 -1 20.05 0216:59
6 Mike Reilly 000 -1 40.04 0013:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Pyotr Kochetkov 22319 .864 2.25 -0.75

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C +3.34 +2.15 +0.69 +0.43 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 18:12
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G +2.56 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.56 60:00
3 John Klingberg D +1.94 +1.30 +0.14 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:43
21 Alexander Wennberg C +1.32 +1.45 +0.20 -0.46 0.00 -0.02 +0.15 — 18:36
51 Collin Graf R +1.22 +0.75 +0.10 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:32
72 William Eklund L +0.59 +0.70 +0.16 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:03
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.51 -0.15 0.00 +0.22 — 21:01
96 Philipp Kurashev C +0.51 +0.55 +0.07 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:55
2 Will Smith C +0.47 +0.55 +0.15 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:50
81 Adam Gaudette R +0.25 0.00 +0.07 +0.08 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 13:03
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:02
9 Dmitry Orlov D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.11 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 20:56
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:23
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.05 0.00 +0.02 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:45
10 Ty Dellandrea C -0.18 0.00 +0.18 -0.40 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:48
53 Jeff Skinner L -0.29 0.00 +0.08 -0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 12:16
37 Timothy Liljegren D -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:30
4 Nick Leddy D -0.41 0.00 +0.08 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:13
6 Sam Dickinson D -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:38

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
26 Sean Walker D +1.48 0.00 +0.14 +1.17 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 21:47
11 Jordan Staal C +1.36 +0.75 +0.36 +0.06 +0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 13:58
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.13 0.00 +0.32 +0.63 +0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 19:45
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +1.08 +0.55 +0.19 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:49
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.96 0.00 +0.04 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:22
53 Jackson Blake R +0.70 0.00 +0.39 +0.50 -0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 19:02
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.58 0.00 +0.04 +0.64 0.00 -0.02 -0.08 — 19:10
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.52 0.00 +0.25 +0.25 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 15:14
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +0.44 +0.70 +0.06 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:35
71 Taylor Hall L +0.42 0.00 +0.10 +0.31 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:59
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.23 0.00 +0.26 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:38
48 Jordan Martinook L -0.05 0.00 +0.05 -0.07 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:32
21 Alexander Nikishin D -0.07 0.00 +0.03 -0.33 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 16:59
6 Mike Reilly D -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:33
28 William Carrier L -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:08
5 Jalen Chatfield D -0.42 0.00 +0.06 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:32
50 Eric Robinson L -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:49
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.54 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 12:27
52 Pyotr Kochetkov G -0.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.75 59:03

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.