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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2–3 Final/SO Dallas StarsDAL

Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 11000 2 29
Dallas StarsDAL 01101 3 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:18 PIT Connor Dewar (6) Blake Lizotte (2), Noel Acciari (4) · slap xG 0.17 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:27 DAL Jamie Benn (4) Roope Hintz (17), Jason Robertson (20) · snap xG 0.14 1–1 ▶
5:56 PIT Tommy Novak (4) Kris Letang (11), Sidney Crosby (12) · tip-in xG 0.09 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
18:11 DAL Miro Heiskanen (6) Wyatt Johnston (18), Mikko Rantanen (26) · slap xG 0.07 2–2 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
DAL Jason Robertson vs Tristan Jarry Missed
PIT Bryan Rust vs Jake Oettinger Saved
DAL Matt Duchene vs Tristan Jarry Saved
PIT Sidney Crosby vs Jake Oettinger Saved
DAL Mikko Rantanen vs Tristan Jarry Goal
PIT Kris Letang vs Jake Oettinger Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 40%Deserve to win60% DAL
PITDAL
2.67Expected goals3.27
2Goals (no shootout)2
1.70Expected goals, 5 on 51.88
69Shot attempts55
48Unblocked attempts35
29Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:57 DAL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 2–1
With 3:03 left; DAL scored at 18:11 of the 3rd (2–2)

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots
Jason Robertson: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:55) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:04) Justin Brazeau: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:31) Anthony Mantha: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:32) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:46) Nils Lundkvist: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:00) Ville Koivunen: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:24) Rutger McGroarty: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:27) Rutger McGroarty: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:28) Roope Hintz: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:40) Esa Lindell: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:43) Sidney Crosby: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:58) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:11) Ryan Graves: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:18) Oskar Bäck: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 9:15) Alexander Petrovic: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:20) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:24) Anthony Mantha: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:09) Anthony Mantha: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:29) Ben Kindel: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:08) Jamie Benn: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:23) Jamie Benn: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:24) Jamie Benn: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 0:18) Ryan Shea: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:37) Jason Robertson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:16) Sidney Crosby: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:52) Tommy Novak: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:25) Mathew Dumba: wrist, 126 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:12) Ville Koivunen: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:08) Noel Acciari: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:39) Bryan Rust: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:45) Erik Karlsson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:33) Anthony Mantha: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:52) Ben Kindel: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:47) Erik Karlsson: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:11) Kevin Hayes: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:26) Noel Acciari: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:10) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:24) Erik Karlsson: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:02) Anthony Mantha: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:11) Radek Faksa: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:31) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:02) Jamie Benn: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:42) Jamie Benn: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:46) Matt Duchene: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:50) Erik Karlsson: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:23) Kevin Hayes: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 1:03) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:27) Sam Steel: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:36) Alexander Petrovic: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:28) Roope Hintz: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:44) Ryan Graves: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:14) Rutger McGroarty: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:59) Erik Karlsson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:24) Kris Letang: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:27) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:34) Mavrik Bourque: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:23) Erik Karlsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:37) Ben Kindel: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:48) Ville Koivunen: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:52) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:59) Jamie Benn: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:40) Kevin Hayes: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:50) Jason Robertson: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 17:47) Kris Letang: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:15) Kevin Hayes: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:16) Wyatt Johnston: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 19:39) Wyatt Johnston: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:48) Esa Lindell: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:57) Jason Robertson: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 0:31) Mikko Rantanen: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:05) Ben Kindel: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:25) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 2:28) Ben Kindel: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 3:16) Jason Robertson: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.36 (OT 4:00) Sidney Crosby: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 4:17) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 4:31) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 4:41) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 4:54) Connor Dewar: GOAL, slap, 33 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 18:18) Jamie Benn: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 1:27) Tommy Novak: GOAL, tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:56) Miro Heiskanen: GOAL, slap, 55 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:11)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
87 Sidney Crosby 011 +1 50.16 1022:20
17 Bryan Rust 000 +1 40.39 0519:09
39 Anthony Mantha 000 -1 90.33 0018:57
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 60.37 0217:30
18 Tommy Novak 101 +1 30.13 0217:15
16 Justin Brazeau 000 -1 10.05 4014:51
13 Kevin Hayes 000 -1 60.27 2114:12
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 40.10 0114:11
46 Blake Lizotte 011 0 00.00 2213:59
52 Noel Acciari 011 0 30.09 3013:51
19 Connor Dewar 101 0 30.17 5113:39
2 Rutger McGroarty 000 0 30.15 2012:04
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +1 70.36 0026:36
58 Kris Letang 011 +1 60.04 1122:36
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 +1 10.00 1121:09
6 Ryan Shea 000 +1 30.02 0018:42
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 23221 .913 3.27 +1.27

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
53 Wyatt Johnston 011 0 70.32 0022:39
96 Mikko Rantanen 011 0 60.57 0122:20
21 Jason Robertson 011 +2 90.85 0022:00
24 Roope Hintz 011 +2 40.15 1018:11
14 Jamie Benn 101 +2 80.61 1117:02
95 Matt Duchene 000 -1 20.08 0215:55
18 Sam Steel 000 0 10.04 2113:11
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 -1 20.03 1012:40
49 Justin Hryckowian 000 -1 00.00 3112:25
12 Radek Faksa 000 0 10.02 2011:33
10 Oskar Bäck 000 -1 10.24 1011:12
15 Colin Blackwell 000 0 00.00 3110:47
Defense
23 Esa Lindell 000 0 60.03 0428:53
4 Miro Heiskanen 101 0 30.18 0327:57
36 Alexander Petrovic 000 -1 30.12 1319:00
5 Nils Lundkvist 000 +1 10.04 2016:15
18 Vladislav Kolyachonok 000 0 00.00 0115:54
20 Kyle Capobianco 000 -1 10.00 0214:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Oettinger 29227 .931 2.67 +0.67

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Tristan Jarry G +1.27 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.27 64:50
58 Kris Letang D +1.04 +0.70 +0.03 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:36
18 Tommy Novak C +1.02 +0.75 +0.09 +0.08 0.00 -0.02 +0.12 — 17:15
19 Connor Dewar C +0.98 +0.75 +0.11 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:39
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.83 +0.70 0.00 +0.02 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 13:59
81 Ben Kindel C +0.70 0.00 +0.24 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 17:30
55 Noel Acciari C +0.69 +0.55 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 13:51
2 Rutger McGroarty R +0.61 0.00 +0.10 +0.36 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:04
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.58 +0.55 +0.11 -0.22 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:20
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.57 0.00 +0.23 +0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.10 — 26:36
17 Bryan Rust R +0.32 0.00 +0.25 -0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.25 — 19:09
41 Ville Koivunen R +0.24 0.00 +0.07 +0.27 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:11
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 21:09
13 Kevin Hayes R +0.02 0.00 +0.17 -0.26 0.00 +0.03 +0.07 — 14:12
5 Ryan Shea D -0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:42
16 Justin Brazeau R -0.18 0.00 +0.03 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:51
24 Mathew Dumba D -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:22
39 Anthony Mantha R -0.30 0.00 +0.22 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:57
27 Ryan Graves D -0.32 0.00 +0.01 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:47

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
14 Jamie Benn L +1.64 +0.75 +0.40 +0.61 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:02
21 Jason Robertson L +1.60 +0.55 +0.55 +0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:00
24 Roope Hintz C +1.46 +0.70 +0.10 +0.69 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 18:11
53 Wyatt Johnston C +0.71 +0.70 +0.21 -0.15 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 22:39
96 Mikko Rantanen R +0.70 +0.55 +0.37 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:20
29 Jake Oettinger G +0.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.67 63:36
4 Miro Heiskanen D +0.54 +0.75 +0.12 -0.27 -0.15 0.00 +0.09 — 27:57
5 Nils Lundkvist D +0.46 0.00 +0.02 +0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:15
23 Esa Lindell D +0.40 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 +0.16 — 28:53
10 Oskar Bäck C +0.15 0.00 +0.16 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:12
44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:54
49 Justin Hryckowian C +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:25
22 Mavrik Bourque C +0.07 0.00 +0.02 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:40
20 Kyle Capobianco D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:30
28 Alexander Petrovic D +0.02 0.00 +0.08 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 19:00
18 Sam Steel C -0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:11
12 Radek Faksa C -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:33
15 Colin Blackwell C -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:47
95 Matt Duchene C -0.53 0.00 +0.05 -0.65 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 15:55

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.