hockeystats.io

St. Louis BluesSTL 4–3 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 121 4 18
Montréal CanadiensMTL 201 3 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:57 STL Brayden Schenn (5)PP Cam Fowler (11), Dylan Holloway (8) · snap xG 0.04 1–0 ▶
12:20 MTL Lane Hutson (5) Zachary Bolduc (7), Jared Davidson (1) · backhand xG 0.42 1–1 ▶
19:03 MTL Cole Caufield (16) Nick Suzuki (24), Noah Dobson (14) · snap xG 0.17 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
0:26 STL Dylan Holloway (8) Brayden Schenn (7), Colton Parayko (9) · backhand xG 0.24 2–2 ▶
1:05 STL Pavel Buchnevich (5) Robert Thomas (14), Justin Faulk (8) · snap xG 0.19 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
10:24 STL Brayden Schenn (6) Dylan Holloway (9), Mathieu Joseph (6) · snap xG 0.27 4–2 ▶
16:15 MTL Noah Dobson (4) Mike Matheson (12), Ivan Demidov (16) · slap xG 0.03 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 44%Deserve to win56% MTL
STLMTL
2.67Expected goals3.01
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.08Expected goals, 5 on 52.12
37Shot attempts57
28Unblocked attempts37
18Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:05 MTL Goalie Goalie · Dobes −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.65 xG, 6 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:20 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.41–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
14:15 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 4–2
With 5:45 left
14:54 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 4–2
With 5:06 left
18:43 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 4–3
With 1:17 left

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots
Dylan Holloway: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:09) Cole Caufield: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:00) Arber Xhekaj: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:13) Oliver Kapanen: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 2:47) Lane Hutson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:33) Cole Caufield: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:49) Josh Anderson: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:24) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:08) Robert Thomas: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:06) Pius Suter: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:09) Aleksanteri Kaskimaki: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:51) Cole Caufield: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:07) Noah Dobson: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:54) Joseph Veleno: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:57) Josh Anderson: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:27) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:44) Oliver Kapanen: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:28) Ivan Demidov: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:44) Ivan Demidov: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:52) Zachary Bolduc: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:46) Jake Neighbours: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:31) Tyler Tucker: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:09) Lane Hutson: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:40) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:00) Alexandre Texier: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:07) Jake Neighbours: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:39) Lane Hutson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:57) Lane Hutson: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:11) Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:38) Noah Dobson: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:58) Colton Parayko: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:08) Philip Broberg: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:32) Brayden Schenn: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:41) Dylan Holloway: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:47) Oskar Sundqvist: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 0:34) Pius Suter: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 1:13) Brayden Schenn: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:28) Nick Suzuki: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:45) Jake Neighbours: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 2:30) Mathieu Joseph: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 2:53) Tyler Tucker: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:38) Dylan Holloway: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:04) Logan Mailloux: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:08) Dylan Holloway: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:05) Alexandre Carrier: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:48) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:54) Robert Thomas: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:15) Cole Caufield: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:49) Colton Parayko: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:59) Arber Xhekaj: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:38) Nick Suzuki: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:02) Lane Hutson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:33) Noah Dobson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:03) Pius Suter: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:03) Noah Dobson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:13) Cole Caufield: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:29) Noah Dobson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:55) Cole Caufield: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 19:59) Brayden Schenn: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:57) Lane Hutson: GOAL, backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.42 (P1 12:20) Cole Caufield: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 19:03) Dylan Holloway: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 0:26) Pavel Buchnevich: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:05) Brayden Schenn: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 10:24) Noah Dobson: GOAL, slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:15)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Pavel Buchnevich 101 0 30.19 1020:32
18 Robert Thomas 011 0 30.05 0019:43
81 Dylan Holloway 123 +1 50.52 3319:16
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 40.50 4016:37
22 Pius Suter 000 0 30.17 3015:21
10 Brayden Schenn 213 +1 40.46 5014:54
21 Mathieu Joseph 011 +2 10.22 4313:58
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 0 10.12 4113:26
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 -2 10.26 2112:59
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 00.00 0012:12
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 20.02 0123:45
55 Colton Parayko 011 0 20.06 3323:00
72 Justin Faulk 011 +1 20.00 0120:11
17 Cam Fowler 011 -1 10.00 0119:37
23 Logan Mailloux 000 0 20.05 2215:35
75 Tyler Tucker 000 0 20.04 2115:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 26323 .885 3.01 +0.01

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 011 +1 20.07 0021:21
13 Cole Caufield 101 +1 80.80 2021:20
20 Juraj Slafkovský 000 0 20.04 1320:43
93 Ivan Demidov 011 0 30.23 0017:46
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 -1 50.43 0016:07
85 Alexandre Texier 000 -1 40.01 1015:14
76 Zachary Bolduc 011 +1 10.08 0013:21
71 Jake Evans 000 0 10.00 0112:37
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 20.15 1112:22
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 20.04 4011:34
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 0 20.17 0009:08
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 101 0 80.78 0125:16
8 Mike Matheson 011 +1 00.00 1224:39
53 Noah Dobson 112 +1 70.18 0022:56
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 -1 20.02 0016:27
3 Jayden Struble 000 0 20.00 0014:57
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 -1 50.02 2110:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 18414 .778 2.67 -1.33

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Brayden Schenn C +2.78 +2.20 +0.30 +0.27 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:54
81 Dylan Holloway L +2.64 +2.00 +0.34 +0.14 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 — 19:16
71 Mathieu Joseph R +1.64 +0.55 +0.14 +0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:58
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +1.52 +0.75 +0.12 +0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:32
18 Robert Thomas C +1.51 +0.70 +0.03 +0.73 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 19:43
72 Justin Faulk D +1.50 +0.55 0.00 +0.75 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:11
55 Colton Parayko D +1.18 +0.55 +0.04 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 23:00
63 Jake Neighbours L +1.10 0.00 +0.32 +0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:37
6 Philip Broberg D +0.44 0.00 +0.01 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:45
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.11 0.00 +0.08 -0.16 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:26
22 Pius Suter C +0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:21
75 Tyler Tucker D +0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:29
50 Jordan Binnington G +0.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.01 60:00
17 Cam Fowler D -0.12 +0.70 0.00 -0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:37
39 Matt Luff R -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 8:33
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.52 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 12:12
65 Aleksanteri Kaskimaki C -0.70 0.00 +0.01 -0.71 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 8:56
70 Oskar Sundqvist C -0.73 0.00 +0.17 -0.93 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:59
23 Logan Mailloux D -0.80 0.00 +0.04 -0.77 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 15:35

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Lane Hutson D +1.83 +0.75 +0.50 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:16
53 Noah Dobson D +1.34 +1.30 +0.12 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 -0.10 — 22:56
76 Zachary Bolduc R +1.03 +0.70 +0.05 +0.40 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 13:21
8 Mike Matheson D +0.85 +0.70 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:39
13 Cole Caufield R +0.84 +0.75 +0.52 -0.40 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 21:20
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.56 +0.55 +0.15 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:46
14 Nick Suzuki C +0.51 +0.70 +0.05 -0.16 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 21:21
49 Jared Davidson C +0.42 +0.55 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:55
47 Jayden Struble D +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.34 0.00 +0.11 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:08
91 Oliver Kapanen C +0.30 0.00 +0.28 -0.11 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 16:07
17 Josh Anderson R +0.25 0.00 +0.10 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:22
90 Joseph Veleno C +0.16 0.00 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:34
71 Jake Evans C +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 -0.04 +0.07 — 12:37
85 Alexandre Texier L +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:14
20 Juraj Slafkovský L -0.38 0.00 +0.03 -0.52 0.00 +0.01 +0.11 — 20:43
72 Arber Xhekaj D -0.58 0.00 +0.01 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:46
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.68 0.00 +0.02 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:27
75 Jakub Dobes G -1.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.33 57:33

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.