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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 3–2 Final/OT New York RangersNYR

Sunday, December 7, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1011 3 28
New York RangersNYR 0200 2 24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:36 VGK Brett Howden (5) Mitch Marner (22), Mark Stone (15) · wrist xG 0.21 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
9:08 NYR Mika Zibanejad (11) Alexis Lafrenière (10), Matthew Robertson (2) · backhand xG 0.27 1–1 ▶
13:01 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (7) Mika Zibanejad (13), Artemi Panarin (22) · wrist xG 0.08 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:08 VGK Tomas Hertl (13) Mark Stone (16), Jack Eichel (24) · backhand xG 0.22 2–2 ▶
Overtime
4:52 VGK Jack Eichel (12) Shea Theodore (14), Brett Howden (4) · wrist xG 0.30 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 58%Deserve to win42% NYR
VGKNYR
3.04Expected goals2.57
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.74Expected goals, 5 on 52.09
71Shot attempts46
47Unblocked attempts35
28Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:01 NYR Deserve to win Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 60–40%
VGK had led since 0:36 of the 1st, by as much as 75%
13:40 NYR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VGK 1.38–0.23
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:50 to 14:50 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
16:50 NYR Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Carrick and Chmelar: no shift after 6:52 of the 3rd
18:25 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hart, down 2–1
With 1:35 left; VGK scored at 19:08 of the 3rd (2–2)

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Noah Hanifin: tip-in, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:27) Carson Soucy: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:04) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:12) Brett Berard: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:42) Brayden McNabb: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:22) Brett Howden: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:38) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:07) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:08) Reilly Smith: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:59) Mark Stone: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 10:29) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:10) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:55) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:33) Conor Sheary: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:56) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:02) Conor Sheary: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:18) Shea Theodore: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:48) Reilly Smith: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:32) Kaedan Korczak: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:47) Ben Hutton: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:01) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:03) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:47) Brandon Saad: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:38) Will Borgen: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:51) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:59) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:22) Brett Berard: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:51) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:59) Jaroslav Chmelar: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:53) Ben Hutton: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:20) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:14) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 5:36) Conor Sheary: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:18) Brandon Saad: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:43) Shea Theodore: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:26) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:59) Matthew Robertson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:05) Will Borgen: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:18) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:37) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:04) Conor Sheary: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 10:13) J.T. Miller: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:20) J.T. Miller: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:28) Jaroslav Chmelar: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:10) J.T. Miller: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:38) J.T. Miller: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:39) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:24) Will Borgen: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:46) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:14) Will Cuylle: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:57) Tomas Hertl: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 0:29) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:44) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:50) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:02) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:18) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:38) Ben Hutton: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:36) Sam Carrick: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:57) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:19) Noah Hanifin: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:29) Conor Sheary: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:36) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:49) Brandon Saad: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 10:02) Keegan Kolesar: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:23) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:23) Shea Theodore: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:21) Shea Theodore: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:25) Ben Hutton: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:53) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:55) Jack Eichel: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:05) Mark Stone: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:06) Brayden McNabb: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:30) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:47) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:59) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 2:30) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 4:14) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 4:42) Brett Howden: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 0:36) Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 9:08) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:01) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 19:08) Jack Eichel: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.30 (OT 4:52)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 112 +1 20.35 0023:00
48 Tomas Hertl 101 0 60.58 2120:03
93 Mitch Marner 011 +2 00.00 2019:53
61 Mark Stone 022 +1 30.28 0019:19
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 +1 100.37 0119:12
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 -1 20.17 0016:31
21 Brett Howden 112 +2 20.31 2014:44
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -1 20.05 0013:56
20 Brandon Saad 000 -1 40.24 0013:41
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 10.00 2011:34
19 Reilly Smith 000 0 30.04 0011:22
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 40.01 3110:17
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 011 0 70.09 0025:00
15 Noah Hanifin 000 +1 80.17 0123:52
3 Brayden McNabb 000 -1 50.09 1222:21
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 +1 20.01 2421:30
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 40.11 1117:27
17 Ben Hutton 000 -1 60.17 0012:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 24222 .917 2.57 +0.57

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 J.T. Miller 000 -1 50.25 3023:51
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 -1 40.25 2123:50
93 Mika Zibanejad 112 0 40.44 4118:51
10 Artemi Panarin 011 0 20.00 1018:28
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 50.48 1116:03
13 Alexis Lafrenière 112 +1 30.20 1215:22
50 Will Cuylle 000 0 20.21 3014:15
42 Noah Laba 000 0 00.00 1113:32
37 Brett Berard 000 0 20.15 1112:15
22 Jonny Brodzinski 000 0 30.20 0010:25
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 10.01 1007:53
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 -2 20.05 3227:15
4 Braden Schneider 000 -2 00.00 4224:30
7 Carson Soucy 000 +1 20.01 2423:06
17 Will Borgen 000 +1 40.05 3121:12
29 Matthew Robertson 011 0 40.02 1219:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jonathan Quick 28325 .893 3.04 +0.04

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
21 Brett Howden C +2.36 +1.30 +0.20 +0.81 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 14:44
61 Mark Stone R +1.70 +1.25 +0.18 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:19
93 Mitch Marner R +1.46 +0.70 0.00 +0.79 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 19:53
9 Jack Eichel C +1.17 +1.30 +0.23 -0.29 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 23:00
15 Noah Hanifin D +1.04 0.00 +0.11 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:52
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.78 0.00 +0.01 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 21:30
79 Carter Hart G +0.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.57 64:09
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.50 +0.75 +0.38 -0.68 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 20:03
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.23 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 19:12
27 Shea Theodore D +0.09 +0.70 +0.06 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 25:00
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:17
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.15 0.00 +0.07 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:27
20 Brandon Saad L -0.22 0.00 +0.16 -0.33 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 13:41
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:34
49 Ivan Barbashev L -0.46 0.00 +0.11 -0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:31
17 Ben Hutton D -0.49 0.00 +0.11 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:20
19 Reilly Smith R -0.56 0.00 +0.02 -0.57 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 11:22
42 Braeden Bowman R -0.59 0.00 +0.03 -0.61 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:56
3 Brayden McNabb D -0.66 0.00 +0.06 -0.97 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 22:21

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +1.79 +1.45 +0.13 +0.16 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 15:22
93 Mika Zibanejad C +1.70 +1.45 +0.29 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 18:51
29 Matthew Robertson D +1.50 +0.55 +0.01 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:54
60 Scott Morrow D +1.23 0.00 0.00 +1.10 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 13:35
43 Conor Sheary L +0.86 0.00 +0.31 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:03
16 Vincent Trocheck C +0.69 0.00 +0.16 +0.50 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 23:50
8 J.T. Miller C +0.63 0.00 +0.17 +0.50 0.00 +0.02 -0.06 — 23:51
10 Artemi Panarin L +0.54 +0.55 0.00 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:28
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R +0.47 0.00 +0.16 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:02
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +0.35 0.00 +0.13 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:25
17 Will Borgen D +0.33 0.00 +0.03 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:12
39 Sam Carrick C +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:53
24 Carson Soucy D +0.07 0.00 +0.01 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 23:06
32 Jonathan Quick G +0.04 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.04 64:52
65 Brett Berard L -0.17 0.00 +0.10 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:15
42 Noah Laba C -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:32
50 Will Cuylle L -0.24 0.00 +0.14 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:15
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.31 0.00 +0.03 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 27:15
4 Braden Schneider D -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:30

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.