| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 32 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 38 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:36 | Drake Batherson (11)PP Brady Tkachuk (7), Jake Sanderson (18) · wrist xG 0.56 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 5:09 | Simon Nemec (7) Connor Brown (4), Arseny Gritsyuk (8) · slap xG 0.06 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 12:59 | Tim Stützle (12)PP Brady Tkachuk (8), Dylan Cozens (9) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 17:59 | Arseny Gritsyuk (7) Connor Brown (5), Cody Glass (1) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:21 | Paul Cotter (3) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.35 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 10:35 | Drake Batherson (12)PP Dylan Cozens (10), Tim Stützle (14) · wrist xG 0.21 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:24 | Cody Glass (5) Arseny Gritsyuk (9), Connor Brown (6) · wrist xG 0.21 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | Expected goals | 3.97 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.42 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.68 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 58 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 38 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:20 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Halliday, 17:35 on the bench
No shift after 18:07 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:01) before that |
| 17:52 | OTT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Ullmark, down 4–3
With 2:08 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 | 21:57 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 19:57 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 13:02 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 10:48 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 07:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 8 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 22:27 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 5 | 21:04 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 20:23 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 20:14 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:05 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 38 | 3 | 35 | .921 | 3.97 | +0.97 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 5 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 23:40 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 20:14 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 8 | Brady Tkachuk | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 10 | 0.43 | 3 | 0 | 19:19 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 1.01 | 2 | 1 | 19:15 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.31 | 3 | 0 | 12:37 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 10:13 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 08:32 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 07:13 |
| 34 | Stephen Halliday | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 05:01 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.22 | 0 | 3 | 28:55 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 4 | 21:02 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 16:31 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 32 | 4 | 28 | .875 | 2.81 | -1.19 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +3.18 | +2.00 | +0.20 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:33 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +2.76 | +1.95 | 0.00 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:36 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +2.60 | +1.30 | +0.32 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:34 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +1.39 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:35 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | +1.12 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | +0.97 | 59:22 |
| 45 Colton White D | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:05 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.43 | +0.75 | +0.27 | -0.60 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 7:41 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:23 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.02 | — | 20:22 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.15 | — | 10:48 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 21:04 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:44 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:23 |
| 36 Angus Crookshank C | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:42 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:27 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.74 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 13:02 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:14 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:57 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | -1.48 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -1.62 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 21:57 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +2.40 | +1.50 | +0.66 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:15 |
| 7 Brady Tkachuk L | +1.97 | +1.40 | +0.28 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:19 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +1.84 | +1.25 | +0.21 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:06 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +1.79 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 28:55 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +1.27 | +1.30 | +0.12 | -0.25 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 23:40 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +1.21 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:37 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 20:14 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:15 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:44 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:33 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:13 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:37 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 21:02 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:32 |
| 57 David Perron L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 8:32 |
| 83 Stephen Halliday C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:01 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 7:13 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:31 |
| 35 Linus Ullmark G | -1.19 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.19 | 57:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.