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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 4–5 Final/SO New York IslandersNYI

Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 20200 4 37
New York IslandersNYI 12101 5 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:02 VGK Noah Hanifin (2) Jack Eichel (25), Shea Theodore (15) · snap xG 0.16 1–0 ▶
16:01 VGK Mitch Marner (6) Kaedan Korczak (2), Mark Stone (17) · snap xG 0.22 2–0 ▶
19:33 NYI Bo Horvat (18) Ryan Pulock (15), Matthew Schaefer (14) · slap xG 0.09 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:56 NYI Marc Gatcomb (1) Casey Cizikas (5), Kyle MacLean (2) · snap xG 0.22 2–2 ▶
13:30 NYI Simon Holmstrom (5) Calum Ritchie (3), Anthony Duclair (6) · wrist xG 0.06 2–3 ▶
3rd Period
1:27 VGK Ivan Barbashev (11) Braeden Bowman (5), Jack Eichel (26) · poke xG 0.11 3–3 ▶
10:15 NYI Bo Horvat (19)PP Mathew Barzal (14), Max Shabanov (7) · slap xG 0.09 3–4 ▶
19:46 VGK Pavel Dorofeyev (12) Mitch Marner (23), Mark Stone (18) · wrist xG 0.06 4–4 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
VGK Pavel Dorofeyev vs Ilya Sorokin Missed
NYI Mathew Barzal vs Carter Hart Saved
VGK Mitch Marner vs Ilya Sorokin Missed
NYI Simon Holmstrom vs Carter Hart Missed
VGK Jack Eichel vs Ilya Sorokin Saved
NYI Bo Horvat vs Carter Hart Missed
VGK Shea Theodore vs Ilya Sorokin Missed
NYI Emil Heineman vs Carter Hart Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 67%Deserve to win33% NYI
VGKNYI
3.51Expected goals2.49
4Goals (no shootout)4
1.94Expected goals, 5 on 51.80
62Shot attempts53
51Unblocked attempts41
37Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:51 VGK Deserve to win Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 3:37 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
3rd Period
18:40 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hart, down 4–3
With 1:20 left; VGK scored at 19:46 of the 3rd (4–4)
Overtime
2:00 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.38–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:30 of the 3rd to 2:30 of overtime; goals 1–0

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Adam Pelech: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:24) Emil Heineman: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:09) Maxim Shabanov: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:11) Jack Eichel: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:21) Mathew Barzal: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:15) Ryan Pulock: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:25) Maxim Shabanov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:37) Bo Horvat: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:43) Scott Mayfield: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:47) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:34) Mitch Marner: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:17) Mitch Marner: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:21) Brett Howden: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 5:23) Shea Theodore: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:27) Bo Horvat: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:59) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:22) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:35) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:06) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:12) Brett Howden: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:51) Jack Eichel: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:03) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:28) Jack Eichel: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:00) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:25) Bo Horvat: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:27) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:07) Anders Lee: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:20) Mathew Barzal: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:24) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:59) Bo Horvat: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:50) Adam Pelech: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:48) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:52) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:05) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:07) Jack Eichel: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:16) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:22) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:57) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:06) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:24) Adam Pelech: backhand, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:39) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:59) Ben Hutton: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:22) Ben Hutton: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:28) Colton Sissons: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:58) Braeden Bowman: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:59) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:02) Mitch Marner: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:11) Brett Howden: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 10:21) Marc Gatcomb: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:07) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:29) Noah Hanifin: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:45) Mark Stone: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:15) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:24) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 18:24) Brayden McNabb: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:13) Tony DeAngelo: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:20) Adam Pelech: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:42) Bo Horvat: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:03) Scott Mayfield: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:05) Calum Ritchie: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:39) Brett Howden: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:29) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:01) Bo Horvat: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:09) Tomas Hertl: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:17) Maxim Shabanov: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:18) Matthew Schaefer: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:46) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:47) Braeden Bowman: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:48) Braeden Bowman: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:54) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:56) Anders Lee: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:27) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:15) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:51) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 18:15) Tomas Hertl: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:16) Mark Stone: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:17) Tomas Hertl: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 19:32) Mitch Marner: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:58) Jack Eichel: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 0:25) Jack Eichel: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 0:55) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 1:55) Tomas Hertl: bat, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 1:56) Mark Stone: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 2:00) Brett Howden: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 2:23) Noah Hanifin: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 12:02) Mitch Marner: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 16:01) Bo Horvat: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:33) Marc Gatcomb: GOAL, snap, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 3:56) Simon Holmstrom: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:30) Ivan Barbashev: GOAL, poke, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:27) Bo Horvat: GOAL, slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:15) Pavel Dorofeyev: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 022 +1 70.25 1024:30
61 Mark Stone 022 +2 30.36 0222:32
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 101 +1 90.55 3121:05
93 Mitch Marner 112 +1 90.42 0120:49
48 Tomas Hertl 000 +1 50.63 1019:11
21 Brett Howden 000 0 50.48 2017:21
19 Reilly Smith 000 0 10.00 0016:43
49 Ivan Barbashev 101 +1 20.14 0016:17
42 Braeden Bowman 011 +1 40.14 0112:53
15 Colton Sissons 000 -1 10.03 0009:32
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 -1 20.16 1007:08
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 -1 00.00 2006:29
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 011 +2 10.02 0224:28
15 Noah Hanifin 101 0 50.19 0221:53
3 Brayden McNabb 000 0 30.07 1119:12
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 00.00 2118:28
6 Kaedan Korczak 011 0 30.02 1117:20
17 Ben Hutton 000 0 20.04 0014:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 27423 .852 2.49 -1.51

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 202 -2 90.58 1022:19
49 Maxim Shabanov 011 -1 30.22 0020:00
13 Mathew Barzal 011 +1 50.32 0019:47
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 -2 20.08 1018:58
51 Emil Heineman 000 -1 10.01 2016:24
92 Simon Holmstrom 101 +1 10.06 0015:42
72 Anders Lee 000 0 20.14 0014:41
11 Anthony Duclair 011 +1 20.04 0112:45
53 Casey Cizikas 011 0 00.00 3211:14
64 Calum Ritchie 011 +1 10.08 0110:46
32 Kyle MacLean 011 0 00.00 4010:31
17 Marc Gatcomb 101 0 20.27 9009:47
Defense
6 Ryan Pulock 011 -1 40.08 0129:12
48 Matthew Schaefer 011 -1 90.34 0028:14
3 Adam Pelech 000 -2 40.06 1323:30
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 -1 50.05 0116:40
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +1 30.15 0116:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 37433 .892 3.51 -0.49

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Mitch Marner R +2.02 +1.45 +0.27 +0.39 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:49
61 Mark Stone R +1.79 +1.10 +0.23 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:32
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.20 +0.75 +0.36 +0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:05
9 Jack Eichel C +1.13 +1.25 +0.16 -0.21 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 — 24:30
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.87 +0.75 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:17
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.78 +0.70 +0.01 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:20
21 Brett Howden C +0.77 0.00 +0.31 +0.39 +0.15 -0.05 -0.04 — 17:21
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.75 +0.75 +0.12 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:53
27 Shea Theodore D +0.66 +0.55 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:28
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.62 +0.70 +0.09 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:53
17 Ben Hutton D +0.60 0.00 +0.03 +0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:58
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.49 0.00 +0.41 +0.07 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 19:11
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:28
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.27 0.00 +0.11 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:08
19 Reilly Smith R -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:43
3 Brayden McNabb D -0.19 0.00 +0.04 -0.45 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 19:12
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:29
10 Colton Sissons C -0.43 0.00 +0.02 -0.49 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 9:32
79 Carter Hart G -1.51 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.51 63:48

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
14 Bo Horvat C +2.07 +1.50 +0.37 +0.35 -0.15 +0.03 -0.04 — 22:19
16 Marc Gatcomb C +1.05 +0.75 +0.17 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:47
49 Max Shabanov R +0.98 +0.55 +0.15 +0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:00
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.87 +0.55 +0.22 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 28:14
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.85 +0.70 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 11:14
6 Ryan Pulock D +0.84 +0.70 +0.05 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 29:12
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.64 +0.70 +0.21 -0.21 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 19:47
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.48 +0.75 +0.04 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:42
11 Anthony Duclair L +0.45 +0.55 +0.03 -0.32 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 12:45
51 Emil Heineman L +0.45 0.00 +0.01 +0.32 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:24
64 Calum Ritchie C +0.45 +0.70 +0.05 -0.29 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 10:46
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.41 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:31
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.17 0.00 +0.09 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:18
38 Travis Mitchell D +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:20
27 Anders Lee L -0.07 0.00 +0.09 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:41
3 Adam Pelech D -0.15 0.00 +0.04 -0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 23:30
77 Tony DeAngelo D -0.22 0.00 +0.03 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:40
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C -0.24 0.00 +0.05 -0.34 0.00 +0.09 -0.04 — 18:58
30 Ilya Sorokin G -0.49 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.49 65:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.