Tuesday, December 9, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SJS 32%Deserve to win 68% PHI
SJS PHI
2.03 Expected goals 3.52
1 Goals (no shootout) 4
1.50 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.66
38 Shot attempts 62
26 Unblocked attempts 42
18 Shots on goal 30
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
16:06
SJS
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 3–1
With 3:54 left
Shot map
SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → PHI shoots
Travis Sanheim: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:19)
Christian Dvorak: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.31 (P1 0:22)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:24)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:39)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:30)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:30)
Tyler Toffoli: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 3:52)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:15)
Adam Gaudette: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:49)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:04)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:12)
Jamie Drysdale: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 7:14)
Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:01)
Christian Dvorak: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:02)
Bobby Brink: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:39)
Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:54)
Mario Ferraro: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:25)
Noah Juulsen: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:06)
Sam Dickinson: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:37)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:50)
Noah Cates: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:55)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:00)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:02)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 112 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:17)
Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:26)
Will Smith: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:06)
Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:58)
Collin Graf: wrist, 151 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:25)
Travis Sanheim: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:37)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:15)
Sean Couturier: tip-in, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:28)
Sean Couturier: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:47)
Jamie Drysdale: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:55)
Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:13)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:56)
Bobby Brink: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 3:51)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:54)
Nick Leddy: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:44)
Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:48)
Alexander Wennberg: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 10:01)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:08)
Jamie Drysdale: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:10)
Mario Ferraro: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:23)
Bobby Brink: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:14)
Nick Seeler: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:25)
John Klingberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:39)
Travis Sanheim: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:22)
Collin Graf: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:30)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:52)
Sam Dickinson: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:50)
William Eklund: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:25)
Nick Leddy: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:32)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:09)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:20)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:22)
Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:11)
Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:37)
Sam Dickinson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:25)
Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:54)
Macklin Celebrini: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:08)
Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:59)
Nick Seeler: snap, 131 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:23)
Jamie Drysdale: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:34)
Collin Graf: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:33)
Christian Dvorak: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 18:39)
Carl Grundstrom: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:20)
Noah Cates: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:48)
Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.51 (P3 18:17)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
San Jose Sharks
Philadelphia Flyers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dan Vladar
18 1 17
.944
2.03
+1.03
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
San Jose Sharks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
38 Mario Ferraro D
+0.55
0.00
+0.08
+0.12
+0.15
0.00
+0.20
—
21:46
10 Ty Dellandrea C
+0.45
0.00
+0.25
0.00
+0.15
-0.01
+0.06
—
16:29
96 Philipp Kurashev C
+0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
16:57
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G
+0.01
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.01
58:06
75 Ryan Reaves R
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
8:45
23 Barclay Goodrow C
-0.15
0.00
0.00
-0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
10:44
4 Nick Leddy D
-0.17
0.00
+0.09
-0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
18:26
51 Collin Graf R
-0.18
+0.75
+0.17
-1.08
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:04
63 Zack Ostapchuk C
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.19
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
8:48
3 John Klingberg D
-0.19
+0.70
+0.01
-0.96
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
22:19
81 Adam Gaudette R
-0.24
0.00
+0.01
-0.11
-0.15
-0.01
+0.02
—
15:26
21 Alexander Wennberg C
-0.26
0.00
+0.23
-0.46
0.00
-0.08
+0.05
—
18:52
2 Will Smith C
-0.27
+0.55
+0.09
-0.91
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:35
73 Tyler Toffoli C
-0.31
0.00
+0.21
-0.50
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:59
9 Dmitry Orlov D
-0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.44
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
15:55
37 Timothy Liljegren D
-0.44
0.00
0.00
-0.52
-0.15
0.00
+0.23
—
18:30
72 William Eklund L
-0.54
0.00
+0.01
-0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
19:22
6 Sam Dickinson D
-0.89
0.00
+0.10
-1.07
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
17:12
71 Macklin Celebrini C
-0.89
0.00
+0.07
-0.95
0.00
-0.08
+0.07
—
19:45
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C
+2.87
+1.45
+0.51
+0.75
0.00
+0.11
+0.05
—
19:01
11 Travis Konecny R
+2.37
+1.30
+0.35
+0.92
-0.15
-0.01
-0.04
—
17:26
6 Travis Sanheim D
+2.14
+0.55
+0.18
+1.29
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
23:02
24 Nick Seeler D
+1.68
+0.70
+0.03
+0.95
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
20:34
46 Trevor Zegras C
+1.60
+0.70
+0.27
+0.63
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:51
10 Bobby Brink R
+1.43
+0.70
+0.29
+0.46
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:17
27 Noah Cates L
+1.39
+0.75
+0.08
+0.46
0.00
+0.03
+0.07
—
15:25
9 Jamie Drysdale D
+1.21
+0.55
+0.21
+0.47
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
23:15
91 Carl Grundstrom R
+1.15
+0.75
+0.06
+0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:37
80 Dan Vladar G
+1.03
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.03
60:00
29 Nikita Grebenkin R
+0.69
0.00
+0.02
+0.54
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
10:46
18 Rodrigo Abols C
+0.55
0.00
+0.01
+0.35
+0.15
-0.01
+0.05
—
12:40
36 Emil Andrae D
+0.44
0.00
+0.03
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
22:19
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.35
0.00
+0.02
+0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:52
47 Noah Juulsen D
+0.31
0.00
+0.02
+0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
13:53
14 Sean Couturier C
+0.10
0.00
+0.02
+0.04
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
17:36
74 Owen Tippett R
0.00
0.00
+0.08
-0.08
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
13:43
39 Matvei Michkov R
-0.03
0.00
+0.11
+0.03
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
12:47
96 Ty Murchison D
-0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
14:56
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.