| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 47 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:49 | Noel Acciari (1) Connor Dewar (4) · wrist xG 0.06 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:19 | Jackson LaCombe (4) Beckett Sennecke (16), Cutter Gauthier (18) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 14:10 | Troy Terry (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 19:41 | Tommy Novak (5) Erik Karlsson (18), Ryan Shea (9) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:05 | Anthony Mantha (9)PP Sidney Crosby (13), Erik Karlsson (19) · wrist xG 0.08 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:59 | Beckett Sennecke (10)SH Unassisted · xG 0.73 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Tommy Novak vs Ville Husso | Saved | ||
| Leo Carlsson vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Sidney Crosby vs Ville Husso | Saved | ||
| Troy Terry vs Arturs Silovs | Missed | ||
| Ville Koivunen vs Ville Husso | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | Expected goals | 6.25 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.16 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.88 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 90 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 72 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 47 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:50 | PIT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.21–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:00 of the 1st to 2:00 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 17:52 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Husso +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 25 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:40 | PIT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.27–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:40 of the 2nd to 6:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 12:50 | ANA | No shift | No shift · Vatrano, 11:09 on the bench
No shift from 2:41 to 13:50 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (9:17) before that |
| 19:54 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 3–2
With 0:06 left; ANA scored at 19:59 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 19:41 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 19:32 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.89 | 1 | 0 | 18:56 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 4 | 1 | 16:41 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 5 | 1 | 12:06 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 09:48 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 3 | 29:19 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 24:37 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 10 | 3 | 19:39 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17:19 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | 47 | 3 | 44 | .936 | 5.91 | +2.91 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 12 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 22:33 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.88 | 1 | 1 | 19:23 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 19:11 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 7 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 41 | Ville Koivunen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 13 | Kevin Hayes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 2 | Rutger McGroarty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.70 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:58 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 11:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 28:07 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.50 | 0 | 3 | 25:08 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 13:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 28 | 3 | 26 | .929 | 2.54 | -0.46 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Ville Husso G | +2.76 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | +2.91 | 62:47 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.37 | +1.45 | +0.58 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:56 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +0.30 | +0.55 | +0.17 | -0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:32 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +0.27 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 29:19 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | -0.07 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:39 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 9:48 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | — | 18:43 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 17:10 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:37 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:29 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:32 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:06 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 8:31 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | -0.90 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.96 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:41 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:37 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | -1.07 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:41 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | -1.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.27 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:19 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | -1.18 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.08 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:36 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -1.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:39 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +2.44 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:42 |
| 2 Rutger McGroarty R | +2.14 | 0.00 | +0.46 | +1.54 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 12:00 |
| 27 Ryan Graves D | +2.13 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:45 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +2.08 | 0.00 | +0.57 | +1.49 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:23 |
| 41 Ville Koivunen R | +2.07 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:46 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +1.97 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 25:08 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | +1.94 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 13:54 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +1.93 | +0.70 | +0.38 | +0.72 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:51 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.84 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:42 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 11:22 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +1.37 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 | — | 22:54 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +1.24 | +1.25 | +0.21 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 28:07 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:33 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.89 | +0.75 | +0.27 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 19:11 |
| 43 Danton Heinen L | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.66 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:58 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 13 Kevin Hayes R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.12 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 15:38 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -0.46 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.46 | 64:48 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.