| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 31 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:27 | Robert Thomas (5)PP Pavel Buchnevich (10), Justin Faulk (9) · slap xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:48 | Fraser Minten (5) Marat Khusnutdinov (4), David Pastrnak (19) · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 14:34 | Mark Kastelic (5) Sean Kuraly (5), Victor Soderstrom (1) · deflected xG 0.14 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:51 | Robert Thomas (6) Pavel Buchnevich (11) · snap xG 0.38 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 8:01 | Mark Kastelic (6) Sean Kuraly (6), Nikita Zadorov (9) · wrist xG 0.38 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 11:33 | Fraser Minten (6) David Pastrnak (20), Andrew Peeke (5) · slap xG 0.13 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 18:19 | Pavel Zacha (8)EN Elias Lindholm (14), David Pastrnak (21) · wrist xG 0.87 | 5–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.94 | Expected goals | 2.49 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.82 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.01 |
| 73 | Shot attempts | 57 |
| 53 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:48 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 62–38%
STL had led since 3:49 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
| 15:30 | STL | No shift | No shift · Bjugstad, 32:25 on the bench
No shift after 5:24 of the 2nd; 11 shifts (7:31) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:19 | STL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Hofer, down 4–2
With 3:41 left; BOS scored at 18:19 of the 3rd (5–2) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.59 | 1 | 1 | 15:51 |
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 0.96 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.00 | 9 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.73 | 3 | 3 | 14:54 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 14:29 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:24 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | 7 | 1 | 13:13 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.26 | 3 | 4 | 24:08 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 22:16 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 18:31 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 17:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 26 | 2 | 24 | .923 | 2.49 | +0.49 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.06 | 6 | 2 | 19:58 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 19:55 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.25 | 4 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 17:29 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:24 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 2 | 07:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.20 | 0 | 3 | 24:17 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.12 | 2 | 4 | 23:05 |
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 09:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 3.30 | -0.70 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +2.98 | +1.80 | +0.62 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:36 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +2.88 | +1.50 | +0.48 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | — | 14:54 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +2.34 | +1.50 | +0.38 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.07 | — | 15:51 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +2.14 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +0.69 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:00 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +1.77 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 24:08 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.43 | +0.75 | +0.81 | +0.03 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:55 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +1.30 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:06 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +1.16 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 14:31 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:29 |
| 29 Victor Soderstrom D | +1.04 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:44 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 15:00 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.63 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:16 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +0.49 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.49 | 60:00 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 15:54 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 18:31 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:03 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:13 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:52 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:24 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +2.06 | +1.50 | +0.31 | +0.09 | +0.15 | +0.09 | -0.08 | — | 20:56 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +1.91 | +1.40 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:55 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:07 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:50 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.24 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:17 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 7:31 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:29 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 23:05 |
| 39 Matt Luff R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 7:44 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:55 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.33 | -0.71 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 17:29 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:13 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:32 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:24 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:49 |
| 30 Joel Hofer G | -0.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.70 | 58:00 |
| 65 Aleksanteri Kaskimaki C | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.88 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:35 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | -0.90 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:58 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:11 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.