| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | |
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:08 | Louis Crevier (3)SH Matt Grzelcyk (5), Jason Dickinson (3) · backhand xG 0.10 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 14:27 | Connor Bedard (19) Andre Burakovsky (12) · snap xG 0.21 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:52 | Tyler Bertuzzi (16) Ryan Greene (6), Connor Bedard (23) · wrist xG 0.52 | 0–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | Expected goals | 3.11 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.80 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:00 | CHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.38–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:00 of the 2nd to 4:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 12:58 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.12 xG, 21 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.27 | 6 | 2 | 21:50 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 1 | 18:30 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.62 | 1 | 1 | 16:51 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 12:29 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 10:02 |
| 37 | Brett Berard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 09:44 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 24:27 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 23:28 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 19:23 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 18:12 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 13:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 3.11 | +0.11 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.74 | 1 | 2 | 18:00 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 16:10 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 14:48 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 09:57 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 09:48 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 4 | 21:02 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.34 | 1 | 2 | 20:22 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 19:45 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 17:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 21 | 0 | 21 | 1.000 | 2.17 | +2.17 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.74 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:30 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 19:20 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:10 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +0.11 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.11 | 60:00 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:38 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:28 |
| 65 Brett Berard L | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:44 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 12:29 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:02 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:12 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:02 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:41 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.91 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:51 |
| 49 Jaroslav Chmelar R | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:55 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 24:27 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.29 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.08 | — | 21:50 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.04 | — | 20:11 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -1.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:23 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +2.91 | +1.30 | +0.46 | +1.24 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.04 | — | 17:34 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +2.44 | +0.75 | +0.48 | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:00 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +2.17 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.17 | 59:58 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +2.10 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +1.17 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.07 | — | 16:51 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.88 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:18 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +1.24 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:48 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:45 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.50 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:57 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:01 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:22 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.07 | +0.45 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:10 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 21:02 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:19 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:48 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +0.15 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.24 | -0.15 | -0.06 | +0.05 | — | 15:27 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:27 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:25 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:26 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:22 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.