Florida PanthersFLA 4–3 Final Utah MammothUTA

Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Florida PanthersFLA	1	2	1	4	36
Utah MammothUTA	1	2	0	3	30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:23	UTA	Dylan Guenther (12) John Marino (13) · snap xG 0.19	0–1 ▶
19:17	FLA	Carter Verhaeghe (9) Aaron Ekblad (7), Sam Bennett (11) · snap xG 0.26	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:40	FLA	Sam Bennett (8) Evan Rodrigues (7), Niko Mikkola (5) · snap xG 0.09	2–1 ▶
3:24	FLA	Sam Bennett (9) Carter Verhaeghe (14) · wrist xG 0.17	3–1 ▶
3:37	UTA	Dylan Guenther (13) Lawson Crouse (6), John Marino (14) · backhand xG 0.14	3–2 ▶
14:37	UTA	Jack McBain (3) Sean Durzi (3), Ian Cole (10) · backhand xG 0.21	3–3 ▶
3rd Period
19:08	FLA	Anton Lundell (8) Eetu Luostarinen (9), Sam Reinhart (13) · wrist xG 0.19	4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 68%Deserve to win32% UTA

FLA		UTA
4.40	Expected goals	2.82
4	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.57	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.29
81	Shot attempts	60
65	Unblocked attempts	43
36	Shots on goal	30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
4:40	FLA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.59–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 2nd to 8:50 of the 3rd; neither team scored
7:31	FLA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · FLA takes the lead, 61–39% UTA had led since 6:45 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
19:24	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 4–3 With 0:36 left

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Sam Reinhart	0	1	1	+1	5	0.16	1	0	20:59
15	Anton Lundell	1	0	1	+1	6	0.71	1	3	19:58
27	Eetu Luostarinen	0	1	1	+1	10	0.83	1	0	19:13
9	Sam Bennett	2	1	3	+1	8	0.36	3	0	17:52
63	Brad Marchand	0	0	0	0	5	0.41	0	1	16:55
23	Carter Verhaeghe	1	1	2	0	7	0.52	2	0	16:21
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	1	1	0	4	0.23	0	0	16:19
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	0	0	-1	10	0.63	2	0	15:26
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	13:12
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	08:03
73	Noah Gregor	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	06:44
23	Jack Studnicka	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	06:44
Defense
3	Seth Jones	0	0	0	+1	7	0.19	0	0	24:29
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	0	2	24:15
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	1	1	0	5	0.02	0	4	22:12
77	Niko Mikkola	0	1	1	+1	3	0.03	3	1	19:31
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	13:20
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	0	2	12:27

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky	30	3	27	.900	2.82	-0.18

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	0	0	-2	4	0.17	1	2	21:20
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	-2	4	0.13	0	0	20:58
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	0	1	20:37
67	Lawson Crouse	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	1	0	18:09
11	Dylan Guenther	2	0	2	+2	7	0.47	1	0	16:32
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	15:33
27	Barrett Hayton	0	0	0	0	9	0.37	0	0	14:59
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	5	1	13:01
22	Jack McBain	1	0	1	0	6	0.69	3	0	12:39
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	+1	4	0.05	0	0	10:41
38	Liam O'Brien	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	08:22
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	2	08:11
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	-1	5	0.02	1	0	25:58
6	John Marino	0	2	2	+1	3	0.04	0	1	22:02
5	Sean Durzi	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	0	2	20:15
28	Ian Cole	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	18:09
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	2	16:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	36	4	32	.889	3.99	-0.01

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
15 Anton Lundell C	+2.14	+0.75	+0.46	+0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	19:58
9 Sam Bennett C	+2.02	+2.05	+0.24	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:52
27 Eetu Luostarinen C	+2.01	+0.70	+0.54	+0.76	0.00	-0.03	+0.04	—	19:13
17 Evan Rodrigues C	+1.53	+0.70	+0.15	+0.64	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	16:19
13 Sam Reinhart C	+1.43	+0.55	+0.11	+0.77	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:59
77 Niko Mikkola D	+1.43	+0.55	+0.02	+0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:31
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	+1.32	+1.45	+0.34	-0.48	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	16:21
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	+0.90	0.00	+0.41	+0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:26
5 Aaron Ekblad D	+0.77	+0.70	+0.02	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.16	—	22:12
3 Seth Jones D	+0.52	0.00	+0.13	+0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	24:29
10 A.J. Greer L	+0.42	0.00	+0.05	+0.54	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	13:12
2 Jeff Petry D	+0.30	0.00	+0.03	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	12:27
63 Brad Marchand L	+0.01	0.00	+0.27	-0.46	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:55
26 Uvis Balinskis D	-0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:20
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G	-0.18	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.18	60:00
42 Gustav Forsling D	-0.30	0.00	+0.10	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	24:15
18 Noah Gregor L	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	6:44
53 Jack Studnicka C	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	-0.46	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	6:44
70 Jesper Boqvist C	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:03

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Dylan Guenther R	+2.75	+1.50	+0.30	+0.94	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:32
6 John Marino D	+1.66	+1.25	+0.02	+0.37	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:02
22 Jack McBain C	+1.50	+0.75	+0.45	+0.33	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	12:39
53 Michael Carcone L	+1.19	0.00	+0.23	+0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:01
19 Daniil But L	+1.05	0.00	+0.03	+0.88	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	10:41
50 Sean Durzi D	+0.93	+0.70	+0.08	+0.24	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	20:15
28 Ian Cole D	+0.80	+0.55	+0.02	+0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:09
67 Lawson Crouse L	+0.64	+0.70	+0.15	-0.22	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	18:09
27 Barrett Hayton C	+0.48	0.00	+0.24	+0.20	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	14:59
70 Karel Vejmelka G	-0.01	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.01	59:24
13 Brandon Tanev L	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	8:11
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	-0.13	0.00	+0.01	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	25:58
82 Kevin Stenlund C	-0.16	0.00	+0.01	-0.40	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	15:33
38 Liam O'Brien C	-0.26	0.00	+0.01	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:22
88 Nate Schmidt D	-0.70	0.00	0.00	-0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:24
10 Maveric Lamoureux D	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.89	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:46
8 Nick Schmaltz C	-0.98	0.00	+0.11	-1.15	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	21:20
9 Clayton Keller R	-1.01	0.00	+0.08	-1.10	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	20:58
77 JJ Peterka R	-1.16	0.00	+0.08	-1.27	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	20:37

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.