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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 3–2 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1101 3 22
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1100 2 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:07 VGK Zach Whitecloud (1) Ivan Barbashev (14), Braeden Bowman (6) · backhand xG 0.23 1–0 ▶
16:11 PHI Trevor Zegras (11) Travis Sanheim (11), Christian Dvorak (13) · snap xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
12:53 VGK Mark Stone (5)PP Pavel Dorofeyev (8), Jack Eichel (27) · wrist xG 0.29 2–1 ▶
16:08 PHI Noah Juulsen (1) Christian Dvorak (14), Carl Grundstrom (1) · slap xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
2:47 VGK Mark Stone (6) Jack Eichel (28) · wrist xG 0.27 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 66%Deserve to win34% PHI
VGKPHI
2.96Expected goals2.10
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.98Expected goals, 5 on 51.66
48Shot attempts49
35Unblocked attempts32
22Shots on goal19

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:30) Travis Konecny: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:22) Mark Stone: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:00) Matvei Michkov: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:12) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:35) Ben Hutton: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:37) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:12) Mark Stone: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:31) Brett Howden: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:56) Nick Seeler: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:01) Trevor Zegras: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:23) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:28) Nick Seeler: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:30) Noah Hanifin: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:21) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 160 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:57) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:24) Travis Sanheim: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:48) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:27) Owen Tippett: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:29) Nick Seeler: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:41) Owen Tippett: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:47) Brett Howden: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:01) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:10) Jack Eichel: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 2:22) Jack Eichel: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:28) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 2:47) Ty Murchison: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:23) Noah Cates: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:15) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:33) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:47) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:43) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:27) Cole Reinhardt: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:52) Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:36) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:56) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:13) Ben Hutton: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:25) Travis Konecny: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:02) Shea Theodore: wrist, 160 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:49) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:50) Mark Stone: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:51) Travis Konecny: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:57) Emil Andrae: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:31) Jack Eichel: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:27) Cole Reinhardt: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:26) Mark Stone: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:23) Sean Couturier: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:10) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:29) Colton Sissons: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:10) Brayden McNabb: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:12) Noah Cates: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:03) Noah Cates: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:04) Noah Cates: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:06) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:00) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:03) Brett Howden: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:34) Ben Hutton: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:47) Noah Cates: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:27) Bobby Brink: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:50) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:13) Brett Howden: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:32) Shea Theodore: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:23) Zach Whitecloud: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 6:07) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 16:11) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 12:53) Noah Juulsen: GOAL, slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:08) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 2:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 022 +1 40.39 0019:23
61 Mark Stone 202 +1 70.80 0418:57
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 20.00 0118:37
48 Tomas Hertl 000 -1 60.47 2017:25
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 011 -1 20.07 0117:13
49 Ivan Barbashev 011 -1 20.19 1016:33
21 Brett Howden 000 0 40.30 0016:33
19 Reilly Smith 000 0 00.00 1114:14
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 20.03 4013:39
42 Braeden Bowman 011 0 10.00 0111:45
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 20.04 3011:04
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 10.02 5009:26
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 -1 40.09 0122:47
15 Noah Hanifin 000 +1 30.08 0021:42
3 Brayden McNabb 000 -2 10.01 3220:43
28 Zach Whitecloud 101 +1 10.23 1219:23
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 10.00 2317:54
17 Ben Hutton 000 0 50.25 1015:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 19217 .895 2.10 +0.10

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 101 0 30.29 0023:05
11 Travis Konecny 000 -1 30.21 0020:43
27 Noah Cates 000 0 60.41 3119:41
10 Bobby Brink 000 0 50.07 1018:02
22 Christian Dvorak 022 +1 10.07 1217:33
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 10.14 2016:10
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 20.14 0014:05
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 50.35 0013:47
91 Carl Grundstrom 011 +1 20.04 5012:41
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 +1 10.02 3012:20
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 10.00 3009:30
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.01 3109:15
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 011 +1 30.15 0126:25
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 60.04 0322:36
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 30.00 0222:26
36 Emil Andrae 000 -2 10.04 2219:29
47 Noah Juulsen 101 +1 40.13 1114:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 22319 .864 2.96 -0.04

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
61 Mark Stone R +2.37 +1.50 +0.52 +0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.18 — 18:57
9 Jack Eichel C +1.81 +1.25 +0.25 +0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 19:23
2 Zach Whitecloud D +1.54 +0.75 +0.15 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:23
17 Ben Hutton D +1.01 0.00 +0.16 +0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:03
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 17:54
93 Mitch Marner R +0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:37
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.74 +0.70 +0.12 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:33
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.42 +0.70 +0.04 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:13
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.31 0.00 +0.05 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:42
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.19 0.00 +0.31 -0.22 +0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 17:25
10 Colton Sissons C +0.16 0.00 +0.02 +0.12 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 13:39
40 Akira Schmid G +0.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.10 62:47
21 Brett Howden C +0.09 0.00 +0.20 +0.03 -0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 16:33
19 Reilly Smith R +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:14
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:26
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.06 +0.55 0.00 -0.55 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 11:45
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.12 0.00 +0.03 -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:04
3 Brayden McNabb D -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:43
27 Shea Theodore D -1.09 0.00 +0.06 -1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:47

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.25 +1.25 +0.04 -0.11 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 17:33
47 Noah Juulsen D +1.23 +0.75 +0.08 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:07
91 Carl Grundstrom R +1.07 +0.55 +0.03 +0.34 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:41
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.83 +0.70 +0.09 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:25
96 Ty Murchison D +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:41
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.60 +0.75 +0.19 -0.24 0.00 -0.03 -0.06 — 23:05
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.47 0.00 +0.23 +0.25 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:47
74 Owen Tippett R +0.28 0.00 +0.09 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:05
27 Noah Cates L +0.26 0.00 +0.27 -0.10 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 19:41
14 Sean Couturier C +0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:10
29 Nikita Grebenkin R -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:20
80 Dan Vladar G -0.04 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.04 62:44
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 9:15
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 9:30
24 Nick Seeler D -0.19 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:36
10 Bobby Brink R -0.20 0.00 +0.05 -0.20 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:02
11 Travis Konecny R -0.26 0.00 +0.14 -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 20:43
36 Emil Andrae D -0.29 0.00 +0.02 -0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 19:29
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 22:26

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.