hockeystats.io

Detroit Red WingsDET 1–4 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Thursday, December 11, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 010 1 28
Edmonton OilersEDM 121 4 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:25 EDM Zach Hyman (3)PP Connor McDavid (29), Leon Draisaitl (22) · tip-in xG 0.20 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:46 EDM Mattias Ekholm (3) Connor McDavid (30), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (17) · slap xG 0.03 0–2 ▶
5:41 DET Simon Edvinsson (4) Nate Danielson (5), Elmer Soderblom (1) · wrist xG 0.16 1–2 ▶
17:48 EDM Zach Hyman (4) Connor McDavid (31), Darnell Nurse (6) · snap xG 0.21 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
18:43 EDM Zach Hyman (5)EN Connor McDavid (32), Leon Draisaitl (23) · wrist xG 0.91 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 61%Deserve to win39% EDM
DETEDM
3.26Expected goals4.42
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.16Expected goals, 5 on 52.34
73Shot attempts52
50Unblocked attempts41
28Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:25 EDM Deserve to win Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
DET had led since 4:58 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
11:10 DET Deserve to win Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
EDM had led since 14:25 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
3rd Period
16:53 DET Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 3–1
With 3:07 left
17:01 EDM Goalie Goalie · Skinner +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 26 shots on goal
18:32 DET Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 3–1
With 1:28 left; EDM scored at 18:43 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Travis Hamonic: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:41) Patrick Kane: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:53) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:07) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:14) Moritz Seider: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:07) J.T. Compher: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:37) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:58) Connor McDavid: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:45) Elmer Soderblom: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:54) Marco Kasper: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:05) Ty Emberson: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:49) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:26) Marco Kasper: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:54) David Tomasek: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 10:43) David Tomasek: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:55) Zach Hyman: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:21) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:34) Leon Draisaitl: bat, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:49) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:14) Matt Savoie: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 13:16) Adam Henrique: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:54) Michael Rasmussen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:33) Lucas Raymond: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:17) Moritz Seider: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:31) Patrick Kane: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:39) Michael Rasmussen: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:29) Michael Rasmussen: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:30) Matt Savoie: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:16) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 0:24) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:37) Connor McDavid: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 2:04) Zach Hyman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 2:06) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:29) Nate Danielson: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:56) Emmitt Finnie: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:46) Vasily Podkolzin: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:11) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:51) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:58) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:24) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:30) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 9:52) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:03) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:29) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:43) Patrick Kane: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:10) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:07) Marco Kasper: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:41) Moritz Seider: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:53) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:40) Connor McDavid: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:05) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:33) David Tomasek: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:47) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:25) Alex DeBrincat: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:27) Moritz Seider: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:35) Connor McDavid: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:38) Zach Hyman: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:42) Evan Bouchard: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:58) Brett Kulak: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:27) Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:35) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:05) Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:18) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:24) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:37) Zach Hyman: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:09) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:30) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:27) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 5:29) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:18) Nate Danielson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:02) Dylan Larkin: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:35) Zach Hyman: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:15) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:38) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:31) Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:41) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:44) Moritz Seider: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:21) Travis Hamonic: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:08) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:33) Ben Chiarot: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:04) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:01) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:02) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:03) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:30) Zach Hyman: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 17:58) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.61 (P3 18:23) Zach Hyman: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 14:25) Mattias Ekholm: GOAL, slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:46) Simon Edvinsson: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:41) Zach Hyman: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 17:48) Zach Hyman: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.91 (P3 18:43)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Lucas Raymond 000 -1 30.21 0020:19
71 Dylan Larkin 000 -1 50.44 0119:36
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 -2 100.69 0119:15
18 Andrew Copp 000 -1 50.26 0017:50
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 0 40.31 1017:44
88 Patrick Kane 000 -1 40.20 0117:33
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 50.30 1214:55
37 J.T. Compher 000 0 10.03 0014:26
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 0 20.00 1011:10
92 Marco Kasper 000 0 40.08 0010:55
25 Elmer Soderblom 011 0 50.19 2010:07
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 000 -1 80.17 0222:49
77 Simon Edvinsson 101 -1 20.16 0121:38
8 Ben Chiarot 000 0 50.05 2120:12
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 0 50.02 0020:02
20 Albert Johansson 000 -1 10.00 1115:54
52 Travis Hamonic 000 -1 20.03 1113:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Cam Talbot 28325 .893 2.61 -0.39

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Leon Draisaitl 022 +1 70.47 0121:00
97 Connor McDavid 044 +3 70.22 0120:08
18 Zach Hyman 303 +3 102.17 0019:30
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 20.74 7118:22
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 +1 20.03 0018:18
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 20.16 0215:47
13 Mattias Janmark 000 -1 00.00 0314:47
19 Adam Henrique 000 -1 20.05 0012:03
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 +1 10.10 2210:36
20 Curtis Lazar 000 0 00.00 4009:46
10 Trent Frederic 000 -1 00.00 6109:15
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 000 +1 20.10 0124:34
25 Darnell Nurse 011 +1 70.06 1021:57
14 Mattias Ekholm 101 +1 30.05 1220:29
75 Alec Regula 000 0 10.00 2117:36
27 Brett Kulak 000 +1 20.01 0316:45
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 10.02 2216:34
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Stuart Skinner 28127 .964 3.26 +2.26

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
85 Elmer Soderblom L +1.22 +0.55 +0.13 +0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:07
77 Simon Edvinsson D +1.09 +0.75 +0.10 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:38
29 Nate Danielson C +0.77 +0.70 +0.08 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 10:41
53 Moritz Seider D +0.51 0.00 +0.11 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:49
71 Dylan Larkin C +0.35 0.00 +0.29 +0.01 0.00 -0.03 +0.09 — 19:36
58 Emmitt Finnie C +0.33 0.00 +0.20 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:44
92 Marco Kasper C +0.23 0.00 +0.05 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:55
23 Lucas Raymond L +0.20 0.00 +0.14 -0.03 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:19
88 Patrick Kane R +0.04 0.00 +0.13 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:33
18 Andrew Copp C 0.00 0.00 +0.17 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:50
93 Alex DeBrincat R -0.02 0.00 +0.45 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:15
27 Michael Rasmussen C -0.03 0.00 +0.20 -0.34 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 14:55
8 Ben Chiarot D -0.09 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:12
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D -0.12 0.00 +0.01 -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:02
37 J.T. Compher L -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.33 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 14:26
39 Cam Talbot G -0.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.39 58:17
20 Albert Johansson D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:54
48 Jonatan Berggren R -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:10
52 Travis Hamonic D -0.57 0.00 +0.02 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:36

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Zach Hyman L +4.90 +2.25 +1.41 +1.09 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:30
97 Connor McDavid C +4.06 +2.80 +0.14 +1.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 — 20:08
74 Stuart Skinner G +2.26 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.26 60:00
25 Darnell Nurse D +1.70 +0.55 +0.04 +1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:57
29 Leon Draisaitl C +1.33 +1.10 +0.31 -0.24 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:00
75 Alec Regula D +1.21 0.00 0.00 +1.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:36
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.92 +0.55 +0.02 +0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:18
88 Andrew Mangiapane L +0.92 0.00 +0.06 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:36
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.75 +0.75 +0.03 0.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 20:29
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.40 0.00 +0.48 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 18:22
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 9:46
86 David Tomasek R +0.27 0.00 +0.15 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:33
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.08 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:34
22 Matt Savoie C 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 -0.15 +0.01 +0.04 — 15:47
10 Trent Frederic C -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:15
27 Brett Kulak D -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 16:45
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.86 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 14:47
49 Ty Emberson D -0.75 0.00 +0.01 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:34
19 Adam Henrique C -0.79 0.00 +0.03 -0.80 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 12:03

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.