Seattle KrakenSEA 3–5 Final Utah MammothUTA

Friday, December 12, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	0	1	2	3	37
Utah MammothUTA	0	2	3	5	33

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:35	SEA	Mason Marchment (3) Frederick Gaudreau (3), Chandler Stephenson (11) · backhand xG 0.14	1–0 ▶
8:09	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (12) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.26	1–1 ▶
13:24	UTA	Kailer Yamamoto (4) Liam O'Brien (1), Kevin Stenlund (5) · snap xG 0.35	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
7:50	SEA	Mason Marchment (4) Ryan Lindgren (4), Brandon Montour (10) · slap xG 0.06	2–2 ▶
12:55	UTA	Dylan Guenther (14)PP Nick Schmaltz (16), Mikhail Sergachev (17) · slap xG 0.14	2–3 ▶
17:49	UTA	JJ Peterka (13)EN Kevin Stenlund (6) · backhand xG 0.62	2–4 ▶
18:58	UTA	Lawson Crouse (8)EN Nick Schmaltz (17), Kevin Stenlund (7) · snap xG 0.89	2–5 ▶
19:17	SEA	Ben Meyers (1) Tye Kartye (4), Ryan Winterton (3) · wrist xG 0.13	3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 53%Deserve to win47% UTA

SEA		UTA
3.89	Expected goals	5.98
3	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.99	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.84
68	Shot attempts	79
49	Unblocked attempts	49
37	Shots on goal	33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:42	UTA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 63–37% SEA had led since 8:42 of the 1st, by as much as 72%
2nd Period
17:00	UTA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.15–0.15 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
6:40	UTA	Goalie	Goalie · Vejmelka +2.1 goals saved 1 goal on 3.09 xG, 31 shots on goal
7:00	SEA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.54–0.30 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:30 of the 2nd to 8:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
17:30	SEA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2 With 2:30 left; UTA scored at 17:49 of the 3rd (2–4)
18:53	SEA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 4–2 With 1:07 left; UTA scored at 18:58 of the 3rd (2–5)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Chandler Stephenson	0	1	1	-2	4	0.31	0	2	22:15
10	Matty Beniers	0	0	0	-2	6	0.62	0	0	20:30
7	Jordan Eberle	0	0	0	-2	4	0.45	0	0	19:49
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	0	0	-2	9	0.64	1	3	19:36
27	Mason Marchment	2	0	2	+1	8	0.54	1	0	17:37
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	1	1	0	2	0.15	2	1	14:51
51	Shane Wright	0	0	0	+1	4	0.21	0	4	13:49
84	Kaapo Kakko	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	0	0	12:59
59	Ben Meyers	1	0	1	0	4	0.13	2	0	10:14
26	Ryan Winterton	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	09:24
24	Tye Kartye	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	1	08:59
Defense
29	Vince Dunn	0	0	0	-3	14	0.31	0	2	26:13
62	Brandon Montour	0	1	1	-1	2	0.03	3	0	21:48
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	0	2	20:35
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	5	17:49
4	Jamie Oleksiak	0	0	0	+2	3	0.11	1	3	13:58
28	Josh Mahura	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	13:47

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Philipp Grubauer	31	3	28	.903	3.66	+0.66

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	1	2	3	0	4	0.50	0	1	19:55
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	0	6	0.31	1	0	18:16
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	3	3	+1	4	0.32	0	2	16:56
10	JJ Peterka	1	0	1	+1	7	0.93	0	0	16:47
67	Lawson Crouse	1	0	1	+1	1	0.89	2	0	16:38
11	Dylan Guenther	1	0	1	0	7	0.69	1	2	15:27
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	2	1	13:25
27	Barrett Hayton	0	0	0	0	4	0.80	1	0	13:06
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	0	5	0.35	1	0	12:38
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	0	0	11:47
56	Kailer Yamamoto	1	0	1	0	2	0.35	0	0	09:11
38	Liam O'Brien	0	1	1	0	5	0.12	0	1	08:11
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	1	1	+2	5	0.13	0	1	22:08
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	1	2	21:20
6	John Marino	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	0	21:18
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	+2	5	0.05	1	2	20:41
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	-2	6	0.11	3	4	18:07
3	Olli Maatta	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	0	1	14:27

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	37	3	34	.919	3.89	+0.89

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
27 Mason Marchment L	+1.80	+1.50	+0.35	-0.06	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	17:37
10 Matty Beniers C	+0.94	0.00	+0.40	+0.34	+0.15	+0.03	+0.02	—	20:30
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	+0.85	+0.70	+0.10	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	14:51
9 Chandler Stephenson C	+0.74	+0.55	+0.20	-0.16	0.00	+0.05	+0.10	—	22:15
31 Philipp Grubauer G	+0.66	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.66	58:28
51 Shane Wright C	+0.63	0.00	+0.14	+0.35	0.00	-0.04	+0.18	—	13:49
84 Kaapo Kakko R	+0.59	0.00	+0.12	+0.32	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:59
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	+0.58	0.00	+0.41	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	19:36
24 Jamie Oleksiak D	+0.57	0.00	+0.07	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	13:58
7 Jordan Eberle R	+0.53	0.00	+0.29	+0.11	+0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	19:49
62 Brandon Montour D	+0.22	+0.55	+0.02	-0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:48
38 Jani Nyman R	+0.19	0.00	+0.07	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:58
28 Josh Mahura D	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:47
55 Ryan Lindgren D	-0.02	+0.70	+0.01	-0.81	-0.15	0.00	+0.23	—	17:49
29 Vince Dunn D	-0.08	0.00	+0.20	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	26:13
26 Ryan Winterton C	-0.30	+0.55	+0.05	-0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:24
6 Adam Larsson D	-0.41	0.00	+0.01	-0.35	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	20:35
12 Tye Kartye L	-0.50	+0.70	0.00	-1.23	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	8:59
59 Ben Meyers C	-0.50	+0.75	+0.09	-1.32	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	10:14

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+2.56	+1.80	+0.21	+0.48	0.00	-0.03	+0.10	—	16:56
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+2.28	+2.15	+0.32	-0.28	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	—	19:55
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+1.85	+0.75	+0.23	+0.72	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	9:11
38 Liam O'Brien C	+1.51	+0.70	+0.08	+0.67	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	8:11
88 Nate Schmidt D	+1.47	0.00	+0.01	+1.34	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	21:20
11 Dylan Guenther R	+1.40	+0.75	+0.45	+0.05	0.00	+0.01	+0.14	—	15:27
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+1.36	+0.55	+0.08	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	22:08
77 JJ Peterka R	+1.22	+0.75	+0.61	+0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	16:47
67 Lawson Crouse L	+0.93	+0.75	+0.58	-0.40	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:38
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+0.89	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.89	59:42
27 Barrett Hayton C	+0.65	0.00	+0.52	+0.18	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	—	13:06
19 Daniil But L	+0.54	0.00	+0.14	+0.41	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	11:47
6 John Marino D	+0.48	0.00	+0.02	+0.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:18
53 Michael Carcone L	+0.45	0.00	+0.23	+0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:38
9 Clayton Keller R	+0.25	0.00	+0.20	+0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:16
22 Jack McBain C	+0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.20	0.00	+0.01	-0.01	—	13:25
50 Sean Durzi D	+0.09	0.00	+0.07	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	18:07
28 Ian Cole D	-0.30	0.00	+0.04	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	20:41
2 Olli Maatta D	-0.58	0.00	+0.07	-0.53	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	14:27

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.