Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2–3 Final Minnesota WildMIN

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	1	1	2	36
Minnesota WildMIN	0	2	1	3	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:54	MIN	Tyler Pitlick (1) Jared Spurgeon (6), Nico Sturm (3) · tip-in xG 0.06	0–1 ▶
16:02	MIN	Ryan Hartman (5)PP Marcus Johansson (13), Danila Yurov (5) · snap xG 0.21	0–2 ▶
19:37	OTT	Tim Stützle (15)PP Dylan Cozens (14), Drake Batherson (17) · poke xG 0.18	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
5:45	OTT	Dylan Cozens (10)PP Brady Tkachuk (9), Tim Stützle (15) · wrist xG 0.07	2–2 ▶
19:36	MIN	Joel Eriksson Ek (7) Marcus Johansson (14) · snap xG 0.01	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 76%Deserve to win24% MIN

OTT		MIN
4.02	Expected goals	2.78
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.28	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.96
76	Shot attempts	42
55	Unblocked attempts	34
36	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
16:38	MIN	Goalie	Goalie · Wallstedt +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.04 xG, 17 shots on goal
19:40	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 2.04–0.50 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–1
3rd Period
2:00	OTT	No shift	No shift · MacDermid, 21:41 on the bench No shift after 7:55 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (2:50) before that
10:10	OTT	No shift	No shift · Cousins, 16:34 on the bench No shift after 13:02 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (5:20) before that
19:36	OTT	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Meriläinen, down 3–2 With 0:24 left; MIN scored at 19:36 of the 3rd (2–3)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	1	1	2	0	6	0.33	4	0	23:15
19	Drake Batherson	0	1	1	0	7	0.34	2	0	19:58
8	Brady Tkachuk	0	1	1	0	10	0.64	4	0	19:51
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-2	3	0.31	0	0	19:09
24	Dylan Cozens	1	1	2	0	7	0.69	0	0	18:49
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	0	5	0.16	2	1	17:02
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	1	15:53
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	-1	7	0.75	4	0	15:28
16	David Perron	0	0	0	-1	6	0.34	1	0	14:28
34	Stephen Halliday	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	0	05:59
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	05:20
23	Kurtis MacDermid	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	02:50
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	0	0	0	-1	8	0.17	1	2	27:46
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	-2	3	0.07	3	0	24:54
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	-1	4	0.06	1	0	17:20
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	16:54
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	1	14:19
33	Nikolas Matinpalo	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	13:48

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	25	3	22	.880	2.38	-0.62

Minnesota Wild

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Kirill Kaprizov	0	0	0	0	3	0.51	0	0	23:17
12	Matt Boldy	0	0	0	+1	4	0.09	0	2	22:36
14	Joel Eriksson Ek	1	0	1	+1	3	0.02	2	1	20:10
90	Marcus Johansson	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	1	0	17:44
91	Vladimir Tarasenko	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	1	16:59
22	Danila Yurov	0	1	1	0	5	0.57	0	0	14:53
38	Ryan Hartman	1	0	1	0	4	0.31	1	3	13:53
13	Yakov Trenin	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	6	1	11:57
78	Nico Sturm	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	10:38
19	Tyler Pitlick	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	2	0	06:40
Defense
7	Brock Faber	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	2	28:01
46	Jared Spurgeon	0	1	1	+2	3	0.05	0	4	22:17
48	Daemon Hunt	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	20:46
24	Zach Bogosian	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	0	1	19:02
5	David Jiricek	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	14:35
26	Matt Kiersted	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	12:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt	36	2	34	.944	4.02	+2.02

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.69	+1.30	+0.21	+1.21	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	23:15
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+1.93	+0.70	+0.42	+0.66	+0.15	+0.04	-0.04	—	19:51
24 Dylan Cozens C	+1.56	+1.45	+0.45	-0.51	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	18:49
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+1.17	0.00	+0.49	+0.71	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:28
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.74	+0.55	+0.22	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:58
10 Jordan Spence D	+0.66	0.00	+0.04	+0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	16:54
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.43	0.00	+0.04	+0.60	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	17:20
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.36	0.00	+0.11	0.00	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	27:46
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.06	0.00	+0.11	-0.12	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	17:02
2 Artem Zub D	+0.03	0.00	+0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	24:54
23 Kurtis MacDermid L	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	2:50
57 David Perron L	-0.14	0.00	+0.22	-0.19	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:28
21 Nick Cousins C	-0.21	0.00	+0.04	-0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:20
22 Michael Amadio R	-0.31	0.00	+0.20	-0.64	+0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	19:09
71 Ridly Greig C	-0.34	0.00	+0.01	-0.26	-0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	15:53
83 Stephen Halliday C	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	-0.40	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	5:59
3 Nick Jensen D	-0.45	0.00	+0.01	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:19
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D	-0.48	0.00	0.00	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:48
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	-0.62	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.62	58:59

Minnesota Wild

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
30 Jesper Wallstedt G	+2.02	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.02	60:00
19 Tyler Pitlick C	+1.23	+0.75	+0.14	+0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	6:40
46 Jared Spurgeon D	+1.23	+0.70	+0.03	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	22:17
78 Nico Sturm C	+1.21	+0.55	+0.03	+0.62	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:38
24 Zach Bogosian D	+1.03	0.00	+0.06	+0.93	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:02
90 Marcus Johansson L	+0.79	+1.40	+0.02	-0.77	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	17:44
16 Nicolas Aube-Kubel R	+0.76	0.00	+0.30	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	9:56
97 Kirill Kaprizov L	+0.76	0.00	+0.33	+0.60	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	23:17
38 Ryan Hartman R	+0.75	+0.75	+0.20	-0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	13:53
22 Danila Yurov R	+0.69	+0.55	+0.37	-0.21	0.00	-0.04	+0.02	—	14:53
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C	+0.32	+0.75	+0.01	-0.41	0.00	-0.04	+0.01	—	20:10
39 Ben Jones C	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	5:57
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R	+0.18	0.00	+0.10	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:59
13 Yakov Trenin C	+0.07	0.00	+0.09	-0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:57
26 Matt Kiersted D	+0.04	0.00	+0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:24
55 David Jiricek D	-0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	14:35
48 Daemon Hunt D	-0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.32	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	20:46
12 Matt Boldy L	-0.51	0.00	+0.06	-0.69	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	22:36
7 Brock Faber D	-0.70	0.00	+0.02	-0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	28:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.