Saturday, December 13, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
MTL 21%Deserve to win 79% NYR
MTL NYR
2.85 Expected goals 4.92
4 Goals (no shootout) 5
1.74 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.39
56 Shot attempts 77
36 Unblocked attempts 54
18 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
3:17
NYR
Goalie
Goalie · Shesterkin −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.94 xG, 10 shots on goal
Shot map
MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NYR shoots
Braden Schneider: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:38)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:57)
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:58)
Oliver Kapanen: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 1:21)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:19)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:47)
Braden Schneider: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:46)
Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:13)
Carson Soucy: bat, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:03)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:17)
Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:41)
Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:00)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:59)
Zachary Bolduc: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:10)
Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:06)
Nick Suzuki: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:20)
Mike Matheson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:39)
Cole Caufield: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:41)
Zachary Bolduc: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:57)
Joseph Veleno: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:43)
Noah Dobson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:51)
Noah Laba: deflected, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:47)
Brett Berard: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:57)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:15)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:21)
Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:08)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:16)
Taylor Raddysh: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:18)
Jake Evans: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 18:28)
Noah Laba: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:47)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:05)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:03)
Nick Suzuki: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:26)
Oliver Kapanen: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 1:52)
Jake Evans: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:31)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:23)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:19)
Will Borgen: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:36)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:55)
Adam Engstrom: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:21)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:56)
Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:40)
Vincent Trocheck: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:56)
Matthew Robertson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:58)
Owen Beck: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:22)
Braden Schneider: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:35)
Cole Caufield: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:47)
Alexandre Texier: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:10)
Brendan Gallagher: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:01)
Nick Suzuki: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:59)
Sam Carrick: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 5:49)
Sam Carrick: slap, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:18)
J.T. Miller: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:43)
Vincent Trocheck: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:09)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:44)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:10)
Vladislav Gavrikov: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:17)
Alexandre Carrier: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:56)
Artemi Panarin: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:10)
Alexandre Carrier: wrist, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:14)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:21)
Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:30)
Noah Dobson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:35)
Cole Caufield: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:05)
Nick Suzuki: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:15)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:18)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:47)
Zachary Bolduc: deflected, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:48)
Cole Caufield: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:06)
Conor Sheary: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:22)
Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:39)
Nick Suzuki: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:04)
Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:51)
Vincent Trocheck: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 0:34)
Cole Caufield: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 1:07)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:19)
Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 1:26)
Alexis Lafrenière: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.33 (OT 2:17)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 2:25)
Alexis Lafrenière: bat, 13 ft, xG 0.37 (OT 2:28)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 2:41)
Zachary Bolduc: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 12:41)
Arber Xhekaj: GOAL, wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:10)
Jake Evans: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:18)
Noah Laba: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 18:49)
Artemi Panarin: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 19:08)
Josh Anderson: GOAL, slap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:17)
Will Cuylle: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:22)
J.T. Miller: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.32 (P2 7:58)
J.T. Miller: GOAL, slap, 33 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 2:56)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Montréal Canadiens
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Jacob Fowler
29 5 24
.828
4.92
-0.08
New York Rangers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Montréal Canadiens
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
14 Nick Suzuki C
+1.73
+1.25
+0.19
+0.28
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
24:33
48 Lane Hutson D
+1.42
+1.40
0.00
+0.19
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
26:58
17 Josh Anderson R
+1.27
+0.75
+0.11
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
11:49
13 Cole Caufield R
+1.24
+0.55
+0.22
+0.44
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
19:26
76 Zachary Bolduc R
+1.13
+0.75
+0.30
-0.01
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
17:14
71 Jake Evans C
+1.13
+0.75
+0.26
+0.23
-0.15
-0.02
+0.05
—
13:54
72 Arber Xhekaj D
+0.79
+0.75
+0.02
-0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
10:13
90 Joseph Veleno C
+0.52
+0.55
0.00
-0.22
0.00
-0.01
+0.20
—
15:51
85 Alexandre Texier L
+0.52
+0.55
+0.01
-0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:53
45 Alexandre Carrier D
+0.45
+0.70
+0.01
-0.32
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
22:20
11 Brendan Gallagher R
+0.44
0.00
+0.05
+0.19
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
12:01
62 Owen Beck C
+0.27
0.00
+0.03
+0.12
0.00
+0.04
+0.08
—
9:09
53 Noah Dobson D
+0.26
0.00
+0.02
+0.12
-0.15
0.00
+0.27
—
23:45
32 Jacob Fowler G
-0.08
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.08
62:56
42 Adam Engstrom D
-0.24
0.00
+0.02
-0.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:16
91 Oliver Kapanen C
-0.36
0.00
+0.53
-1.05
0.00
-0.01
+0.17
—
15:12
20 Juraj Slafkovský L
-0.51
0.00
+0.07
-0.60
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
15:43
8 Mike Matheson D
-0.64
0.00
+0.01
-0.59
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
27:23
93 Ivan Demidov R
-0.95
0.00
0.00
-0.93
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:18
New York Rangers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
29 Matthew Robertson D
+2.81
+1.40
+0.14
+1.33
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
20:32
10 Artemi Panarin L
+2.63
+0.75
+0.63
+0.90
+0.30
0.00
+0.05
—
22:22
8 J.T. Miller C
+1.81
+1.50
+0.34
-0.06
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
20:54
93 Mika Zibanejad C
+1.81
+0.70
+0.41
+0.67
0.00
-0.06
+0.08
—
19:25
42 Noah Laba C
+1.63
+1.30
+0.35
-0.09
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
—
13:36
50 Will Cuylle L
+1.53
+1.45
+0.05
-0.22
+0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
15:03
13 Alexis Lafrenière L
+1.17
0.00
+0.54
+0.66
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
19:38
17 Will Borgen D
+0.94
0.00
+0.01
+0.88
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:12
43 Conor Sheary L
+0.86
+1.10
+0.01
-0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:37
16 Vincent Trocheck C
+0.52
+0.55
+0.20
-0.24
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
22:43
39 Sam Carrick C
+0.36
0.00
+0.12
+0.08
0.00
+0.02
+0.15
—
9:02
4 Braden Schneider D
+0.27
0.00
+0.09
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:40
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R
+0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
7:43
14 Taylor Raddysh R
+0.05
0.00
+0.11
-0.06
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
8:26
65 Brett Berard L
-0.10
0.00
+0.02
-0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
11:21
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D
-0.10
0.00
+0.16
-0.14
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
27:56
24 Carson Soucy D
-0.52
0.00
+0.01
-0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
16:23
18 Urho Vaakanainen D
-0.65
0.00
0.00
-0.75
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
11:33
31 Igor Shesterkin G
-1.15
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.15
62:05
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.