hockeystats.io

Florida PanthersFLA 4–0 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Saturday, December 13, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Florida PanthersFLA 031 4 23
Dallas StarsDAL 000 0 15

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
0:19 FLA Anton Lundell (9) Eetu Luostarinen (10), Sam Reinhart (14) · snap xG 0.10 1–0 ▶
5:45 FLA Sam Bennett (10) Carter Verhaeghe (15), Brad Marchand (16) · deflected xG 0.19 2–0 ▶
19:45 FLA Brad Marchand (17)PP Sam Reinhart (15), Seth Jones (13) · snap xG 0.22 3–0 ▶
3rd Period
17:12 FLA Brad Marchand (18)EN Anton Lundell (16) · snap xG 0.49 4–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 65%Deserve to win35% DAL
FLADAL
2.80Expected goals1.55
4Goals (no shootout)0
1.60Expected goals, 5 on 51.13
53Shot attempts43
35Unblocked attempts27
23Shots on goal15

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
14:11 DAL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 3–0
With 5:49 left; FLA scored at 17:12 of the 3rd (4–0)

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots
Radek Faksa: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:08) Radek Faksa: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:32) Seth Jones: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:25) Matt Duchene: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:08) Anton Lundell: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:19) Gustav Forsling: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:38) Jason Robertson: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:23) Thomas Harley: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:34) Gustav Forsling: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:16) Esa Lindell: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:00) Brad Marchand: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:52) Carter Verhaeghe: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:53) Sam Bennett: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:54) Matt Duchene: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 15:55) Sam Reinhart: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:23) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 0:34) Radek Faksa: poke, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:38) Oskar Bäck: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:43) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:56) Sam Steel: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:57) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:55) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:12) A.J. Greer: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:13) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:16) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:43) Niko Mikkola: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:33) Colin Blackwell: backhand, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:38) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 153 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:07) Aaron Ekblad: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:07) Sam Bennett: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:18) Evan Rodrigues: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:07) Seth Jones: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:56) Sam Reinhart: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:10) Matt Duchene: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:42) Eetu Luostarinen: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:08) Sam Reinhart: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:19) Alexander Petrovic: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:25) Jamie Benn: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:01) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:17) A.J. Greer: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:20) Alexander Petrovic: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:03) Anton Lundell: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:35) Matt Duchene: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 4:24) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:55) Noah Gregor: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:49) Gustav Forsling: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:35) Anton Lundell: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 6:58) Jason Robertson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:07) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:14) Justin Hryckowian: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:58) Kyle Capobianco: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:08) Kyle Capobianco: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:12) Mavrik Bourque: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:45) Thomas Harley: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:50) Jason Robertson: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:39) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 14:41) Thomas Harley: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:57) Jack Studnicka: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:20) Anton Lundell: GOAL, snap, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:19) Sam Bennett: GOAL, deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:45) Brad Marchand: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 19:45) Brad Marchand: GOAL, snap, 91 ft, xG 0.49 (P3 17:12)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
15 Anton Lundell 112 +2 40.53 2019:22
13 Sam Reinhart 022 +1 70.19 2018:56
9 Sam Bennett 101 +1 40.31 2017:51
17 Evan Rodrigues 000 +1 50.22 1017:41
63 Brad Marchand 213 +2 50.80 0016:44
18 A.J. Greer 000 0 20.03 2015:44
27 Eetu Luostarinen 011 +1 10.05 1115:26
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 0 50.07 3014:33
23 Carter Verhaeghe 011 +1 30.28 1014:10
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 10.00 1108:24
23 Jack Studnicka 000 0 20.10 1108:05
73 Noah Gregor 000 0 10.03 0107:33
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 000 +2 30.11 1023:16
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 +2 20.03 2423:13
77 Niko Mikkola 000 +1 20.06 2422:43
3 Seth Jones 011 +1 60.01 0022:15
2 Jeff Petry 000 0 00.00 1113:45
26 Uvis Balinskis 000 0 00.00 0012:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 15015 1.000 1.55 +1.55

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
96 Mikko Rantanen 000 -2 20.22 0122:12
21 Jason Robertson 000 -1 60.08 0021:55
53 Wyatt Johnston 000 -1 30.01 0021:49
95 Matt Duchene 000 -2 40.53 0017:37
24 Roope Hintz 000 0 00.00 3016:21
18 Sam Steel 000 -2 10.05 1015:02
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 -1 10.05 1013:38
49 Justin Hryckowian 000 -1 20.04 1012:09
14 Jamie Benn 000 0 10.04 1012:05
12 Radek Faksa 000 0 50.24 1011:48
15 Colin Blackwell 000 -1 10.01 3010:32
10 Oskar Bäck 000 0 10.06 0009:50
Defense
4 Miro Heiskanen 000 0 50.00 0424:20
55 Thomas Harley 000 -2 50.13 0322:07
23 Esa Lindell 000 0 10.01 0622:00
46 Ilya Lyubushkin 000 0 00.00 0015:26
36 Alexander Petrovic 000 -2 30.04 2314:47
20 Kyle Capobianco 000 -1 20.04 0112:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Oettinger 22319 .864 2.31 -0.69

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
63 Brad Marchand L +3.29 +2.05 +0.52 +0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:44
15 Anton Lundell C +2.62 +1.45 +0.34 +0.78 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 19:22
13 Sam Reinhart C +1.95 +1.25 +0.12 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:56
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +1.74 +0.70 +0.04 +0.78 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 15:26
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +1.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.55 60:00
9 Sam Bennett C +1.36 +0.75 +0.20 +0.44 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:51
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +1.32 +0.70 +0.18 +0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:10
3 Seth Jones D +1.17 +0.55 +0.01 +0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 22:15
77 Niko Mikkola D +0.74 0.00 +0.04 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:43
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.60 0.00 +0.07 +0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:16
5 Aaron Ekblad D +0.31 0.00 +0.02 +0.28 -0.15 0.00 +0.16 — 23:13
10 A.J. Greer L +0.08 0.00 +0.02 -0.07 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:44
17 Evan Rodrigues C -0.02 0.00 +0.15 -0.11 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 17:41
70 Jesper Boqvist C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.34 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 8:24
11 Mackie Samoskevich R -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.05 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:33
53 Jack Studnicka C -0.19 0.00 +0.07 -0.29 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 8:05
2 Jeff Petry D -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.13 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:45
18 Noah Gregor L -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 7:33
26 Uvis Balinskis D -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:19

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
95 Matt Duchene C +0.41 0.00 +0.35 -0.06 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:37
12 Radek Faksa C +0.34 0.00 +0.16 +0.25 -0.15 +0.06 +0.02 — 11:48
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:26
53 Wyatt Johnston C +0.23 0.00 +0.01 +0.24 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 21:49
10 Oskar Bäck C +0.19 0.00 +0.04 +0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:50
4 Miro Heiskanen D +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.24 — 24:20
23 Esa Lindell D +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.26 — 22:00
20 Kyle Capobianco D +0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 12:54
15 Colin Blackwell C -0.07 0.00 +0.01 -0.11 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 10:32
22 Mavrik Bourque C -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 13:38
96 Mikko Rantanen R -0.16 0.00 +0.14 -0.46 +0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 22:12
18 Sam Steel C -0.17 0.00 +0.03 -0.17 0.00 -0.05 +0.02 — 15:02
14 Jamie Benn L -0.17 0.00 +0.03 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:05
55 Thomas Harley D -0.35 0.00 +0.08 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:07
49 Justin Hryckowian C -0.48 0.00 +0.02 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:09
21 Jason Robertson L -0.69 0.00 +0.05 -0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:55
29 Jake Oettinger G -0.69 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.69 56:59
24 Roope Hintz C -0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.81 0.00 -0.07 -0.02 — 16:21
28 Alexander Petrovic D -1.03 0.00 +0.02 -1.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 14:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.