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Utah MammothUTA 5–4 Final/OT Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Sunday, December 14, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 0041 5 36
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 2110 4 16

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:48 PIT Justin Brazeau (7) Ben Kindel (5), Rutger McGroarty (1) · backhand xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
15:21 PIT Bryan Rust (11) Rickard Rakell (6) · backhand xG 0.07 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
5:40 PIT Ben Kindel (8) Ryan Shea (10), Kris Letang (14) · wrist xG 0.17 0–3 ▶
3rd Period
1:07 UTA Nate Schmidt (2) Nick Schmaltz (18), JJ Peterka (12) · wrist xG 0.23 1–3 ▶
1:22 UTA Michael Carcone (5) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 2–3 ▶
5:35 UTA Sean Durzi (1) Kailer Yamamoto (5), Mikhail Sergachev (18) · wrist xG 0.32 3–3 ▶
7:06 UTA Michael Carcone (6)PP Barrett Hayton (3), Daniil But (1) · wrist xG 0.07 4–3 ▶
14:06 PIT Justin Brazeau (8) Erik Karlsson (21), Ben Kindel (6) · tip-in xG 0.10 4–4 ▶
Overtime
0:42 UTA Dylan Guenther (15) John Marino (15) · wrist xG 0.08 5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 81%Deserve to win19% PIT
UTAPIT
3.55Expected goals1.66
5Goals (no shootout)4
2.09Expected goals, 5 on 51.19
77Shot attempts30
59Unblocked attempts22
36Shots on goal16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
5:40 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka −2.5 goals saved
3 goals on 0.50 xG, 8 shots on goal
14:57 PIT Goalie Goalie · Murashov +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 15 shots on goal
3rd Period
1:30 UTA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.08–0.07
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:30 of the 2nd to 2:30 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
19:20 PIT No shift No shift · Hayes, 10:47 on the bench
No shift after 5:35 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (6:46) before that

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
JJ Peterka: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:22) Daniil But: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:30) Jack McBain: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:34) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:14) JJ Peterka: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:45) JJ Peterka: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:02) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:27) Dylan Guenther: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:13) Tommy Novak: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:59) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:16) JJ Peterka: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:27) Connor Dewar: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:59) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:34) Ian Cole: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:42) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:54) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:10) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:40) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:52) Lawson Crouse: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 15:54) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:51) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:31) Olli Maatta: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:09) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:35) Connor Clifton: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:54) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:21) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:40) Nick Schmaltz: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:02) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:57) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:45) John Marino: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:59) Michael Carcone: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:43) Michael Carcone: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:59) Clayton Keller: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:44) Dylan Guenther: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:12) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:30) JJ Peterka: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:31) Nick Schmaltz: bat, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:32) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:40) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 14:53) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:57) Sean Durzi: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:07) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:01) JJ Peterka: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:35) Noel Acciari: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:08) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:21) JJ Peterka: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:57) Michael Carcone: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:18) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:27) Tommy Novak: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:01) Kris Letang: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:05) Ben Kindel: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:11) Jack McBain: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:24) Michael Carcone: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:33) Nick Schmaltz: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:56) Clayton Keller: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:23) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:21) Clayton Keller: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:53) Rickard Rakell: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:09) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:36) Ville Koivunen: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:01) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:42) Noel Acciari: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:51) Connor Dewar: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 11:54) JJ Peterka: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:30) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:59) Erik Karlsson: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:36) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:30) Ben Kindel: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:12) JJ Peterka: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:45) Clayton Keller: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:04) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:16) John Marino: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:19) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:48) Bryan Rust: GOAL, backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:21) Ben Kindel: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 5:40) Nate Schmidt: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 1:07) Michael Carcone: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:22) Sean Durzi: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 5:35) Michael Carcone: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:06) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:06) Dylan Guenther: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:42)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 000 +1 40.17 0023:03
8 Nick Schmaltz 011 0 130.86 0122:51
10 JJ Peterka 011 0 100.40 0021:55
11 Dylan Guenther 101 0 130.57 0020:16
67 Lawson Crouse 000 -1 60.42 4118:24
27 Barrett Hayton 011 -1 00.00 1014:51
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 0 30.02 0013:32
53 Michael Carcone 202 -1 70.29 0012:20
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 30.09 2011:48
50 Daniil But 011 0 10.07 0010:45
56 Kailer Yamamoto 011 +1 10.00 1009:18
38 Liam O'Brien 000 +1 10.00 0007:26
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 011 -1 30.03 0023:29
6 John Marino 011 +1 20.01 0022:57
88 Nate Schmidt 101 0 10.23 0219:44
5 Sean Durzi 101 -1 50.36 0217:59
28 Ian Cole 000 0 20.02 1017:24
3 Olli Maatta 000 0 20.02 0110:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 16412 .750 1.66 -2.34

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Rickard Rakell 011 +2 10.15 3320:45
17 Bryan Rust 101 +1 20.11 0120:08
87 Sidney Crosby 000 0 20.00 1118:58
81 Ben Kindel 123 +2 40.35 0016:23
52 Noel Acciari 000 -2 40.08 0014:35
19 Connor Dewar 000 -2 20.33 1014:31
16 Justin Brazeau 202 +1 20.16 1014:12
2 Rutger McGroarty 011 +1 00.00 2014:11
39 Anthony Mantha 000 0 10.07 0113:11
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 20.12 1012:13
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 10.16 0010:31
13 Kevin Hayes 000 -2 10.00 0106:46
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 011 +1 20.08 0328:27
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 +2 10.00 2124:27
6 Ryan Shea 011 +1 00.00 1019:01
58 Kris Letang 011 +1 20.01 2118:02
75 Connor Clifton 000 -2 20.03 4213:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Murashov 36531 .861 3.55 -1.45

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Nick Schmaltz C +2.21 +0.70 +0.56 +0.62 +0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 22:51
88 Nate Schmidt D +1.70 +0.75 +0.15 +0.87 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 19:44
53 Michael Carcone L +1.51 +1.50 +0.19 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 12:20
6 John Marino D +1.46 +0.70 +0.01 +0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:57
77 JJ Peterka R +1.42 +0.55 +0.26 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:55
50 Sean Durzi D +1.41 +0.75 +0.23 +0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:59
11 Dylan Guenther R +1.30 +0.75 +0.37 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 20:16
27 Barrett Hayton C +0.94 +0.70 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:51
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +0.90 +0.70 0.00 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:18
9 Clayton Keller R +0.61 0.00 +0.11 +0.51 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 23:03
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +0.58 +0.55 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 23:29
19 Daniil But L +0.57 +0.55 +0.04 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:45
67 Lawson Crouse L +0.56 0.00 +0.27 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:24
38 Liam O'Brien C +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:26
82 Kevin Stenlund C +0.22 0.00 +0.01 +0.18 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 13:32
2 Olli Maatta D +0.12 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:30
22 Jack McBain C -0.31 0.00 +0.06 -0.47 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 11:48
28 Ian Cole D -0.32 0.00 +0.01 -0.14 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:24
70 Karel Vejmelka G -2.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.34 60:16

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
81 Ben Kindel C +2.02 +2.00 +0.23 -0.02 -0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:23
65 Erik Karlsson D +1.23 +0.70 +0.05 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 28:27
67 Rickard Rakell R +1.23 +0.70 +0.10 +0.29 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 20:45
16 Justin Brazeau R +1.21 +1.50 +0.11 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:12
17 Bryan Rust R +1.07 +0.75 +0.07 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:08
18 Tommy Novak C +0.35 0.00 +0.07 +0.11 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 12:13
5 Ryan Shea D +0.31 +0.70 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:01
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:27
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:58
58 Kris Letang D +0.16 +0.55 +0.01 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:02
2 Rutger McGroarty R +0.16 +0.55 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:11
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.07 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 13:11
41 Ville Koivunen R +0.06 0.00 +0.10 +0.11 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:31
27 Ryan Graves D -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 13:43
19 Connor Dewar C -0.66 0.00 +0.22 -0.89 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:31
13 Kevin Hayes R -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.83 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 6:46
75 Connor Clifton D -0.81 0.00 +0.02 -0.78 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 13:07
55 Noel Acciari C -0.86 0.00 +0.06 -0.94 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 14:35
1 Sergei Murashov G -1.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.45 60:06

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.