| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
 |
0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:28 | |
Ivan Demidov (7)PP Juraj Slafkovský (10), Lane Hutson (22) · snap xG 0.10 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 11:58 | |
Joseph Veleno (2) Unassisted · snap xG 0.05 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:38 | |
Nick Suzuki (9)PP Juraj Slafkovský (11), Lane Hutson (23) · deflected xG 0.29 | 0–3 ▶ |
| 12:29 | |
Zach Hyman (7)PP Evan Bouchard (25), Connor McDavid (34) · snap xG 0.56 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 13:52 | |
Alexandre Texier (2) Jayden Struble (5) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.96 | Expected goals | 3.56 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.67 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.64 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 49 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 27 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:22 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Dobes +2.3 goals saved
0 goals on 2.33 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:17 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 4–1
With 4:43 left |
| 16:50 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.12–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:50 to 16:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–1 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 25:55 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 | 25:52 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 1.14 | 2 | 1 | 24:52 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 23:27 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 16:43 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 12:37 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 09:35 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 07:46 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.37 | 1 | 3 | 29:49 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 24:26 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 75 | Alec Regula | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 11:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 3.04 | -0.96 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:49 |
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.60 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.49 | 1 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.14 | 3 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 14:17 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 5 | 1 | 13:58 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 13:33 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.46 | 2 | 1 | 12:43 |
| 62 | Owen Beck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 08:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 26:05 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 22:40 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.53 | 0 | 2 | 19:16 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:24 |
| 42 | Adam Engstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 28 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 3.96 | +2.96 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.74 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:52 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +1.03 | +0.70 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 29:49 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +0.89 | +0.55 | +0.43 | -0.26 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.01 | — | 25:52 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:37 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:41 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 25:55 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:27 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:36 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 13:11 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:43 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:51 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:35 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:26 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.48 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:09 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 7:46 |
| 46 Max Jones L | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:39 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:02 |
| 75 Alec Regula D | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.72 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:10 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | -0.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.96 | 55:37 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | +2.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.96 | 59:33 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.68 | +1.40 | +0.32 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:28 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +1.41 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:24 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.39 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.13 | — | 19:41 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:58 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:16 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.07 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:17 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:43 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.57 | +1.10 | +0.02 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:17 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:40 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.34 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:16 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 26:05 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:38 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:33 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:49 |
| 42 Adam Engstrom D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:36 |
| 62 Owen Beck C | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 8:19 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.03 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 15:28 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 14:33 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.