hockeystats.io

Buffalo SabresBUF 3–1 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Sunday, December 14, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Buffalo SabresBUF 111 3 23
Seattle KrakenSEA 010 1 24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:09 BUF Noah Ostlund (4) Josh Norris (6), Alex Tuch (16) · wrist xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
10:08 BUF Tage Thompson (16) Peyton Krebs (9), Alex Tuch (17) · wrist xG 0.22 2–0 ▶
12:24 SEA Chandler Stephenson (6)PP Vince Dunn (13), Jordan Eberle (10) · wrist xG 0.04 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
19:14 BUF Zach Benson (2)EN Jack Quinn (11), Ryan McLeod (12) · wrist xG 0.75 3–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BUF 52%Deserve to win48% SEA
BUFSEA
3.51Expected goals2.64
3Goals (no shootout)1
2.18Expected goals, 5 on 52.10
54Shot attempts62
40Unblocked attempts47
23Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
12:10 SEA No shift No shift · Nyman, 17:06 on the bench
No shift after 2:09 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (10:46) before that
18:46 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 2–1
With 1:14 left; BUF scored at 19:14 of the 3rd (3–1)

Shot map

BUF shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:02) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:21) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:31) Jack Quinn: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:38) Eeli Tolvanen: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:23) Josh Norris: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:31) Alex Tuch: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:44) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:14) Jani Nyman: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:52) Jani Nyman: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:09) Shane Wright: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 7:11) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:20) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:25) Mattias Samuelsson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:30) Frederick Gaudreau: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:55) Owen Power: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:00) Jack Quinn: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:37) Alex Tuch: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:44) Alex Tuch: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:13) Peyton Krebs: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:30) Rasmus Dahlin: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:37) Josh Doan: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 0:39) Matty Beniers: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:26) Jacob Bryson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:17) Tye Kartye: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:26) Tage Thompson: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:56) Adam Larsson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:10) Peyton Krebs: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:16) Owen Power: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:25) Shane Wright: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:44) Ryker Evans: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:30) Ryker Evans: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:31) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:36) Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 8:13) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:14) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:10) Brandon Montour: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:27) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:18) Jack Quinn: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:14) Ben Meyers: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:26) Ben Meyers: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:27) Jordan Greenway: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:57) Tage Thompson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:00) Zach Benson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:23) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 163 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:26) Josh Norris: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:04) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:30) Josh Doan: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:45) Zach Benson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:47) Shane Wright: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:59) Ben Meyers: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:08) Vince Dunn: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:11) Josh Doan: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 0:29) Josh Doan: bat, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:30) Josh Doan: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:46) Tage Thompson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:05) Noah Ostlund: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:45) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:24) Ben Meyers: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:48) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:50) Ben Meyers: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 5:01) Ryker Evans: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:11) Ben Meyers: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:16) Matty Beniers: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:27) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:36) Rasmus Dahlin: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:07) Tye Kartye: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:21) Alex Tuch: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:09) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 9:03) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:39) Peyton Krebs: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:04) Jordan Eberle: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:12) Brandon Montour: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:35) Brandon Montour: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:14) Matty Beniers: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:39) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:45) Ryan Lindgren: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:21) Brandon Montour: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:57) Jack Quinn: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:46) Peyton Krebs: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:45) Owen Power: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:19) Ryan Winterton: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:29) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:43) Noah Ostlund: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:09) Tage Thompson: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 10:08) Chandler Stephenson: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:24) Zach Benson: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.75 (P3 19:14)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Buffalo Sabres

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
72 Tage Thompson 101 +1 60.42 1120:35
91 Josh Doan 000 0 70.57 0019:04
6 Zach Benson 101 +1 30.88 2018:03
89 Alex Tuch 022 +2 50.33 3017:07
71 Ryan McLeod 011 +1 10.00 0016:00
19 Peyton Krebs 011 +1 50.33 0015:48
9 Josh Norris 011 +1 40.20 0115:46
22 Jack Quinn 011 +1 50.22 0014:31
86 Noah Ostlund 101 +1 20.17 0012:04
48 Tyson Kozak 000 0 00.00 1010:23
12 Jordan Greenway 000 0 10.03 2109:47
29 Beck Malenstyn 000 0 00.00 2009:34
Defense
23 Mattias Samuelsson 000 +2 10.00 0526:30
26 Rasmus Dahlin 000 +1 80.13 1223:32
24 Bowen Byram 000 +2 00.00 4020:33
25 Owen Power 000 +1 40.22 1119:19
21 Conor Timmins 000 0 10.00 0217:10
78 Jacob Bryson 000 0 10.01 0010:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Lyon 24123 .958 2.64 +1.64

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 0 50.19 0120:39
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 -1 40.09 3119:30
9 Chandler Stephenson 101 -1 40.04 2019:26
7 Jordan Eberle 011 -1 30.42 0018:49
10 Matty Beniers 000 -1 30.15 0118:18
84 Kaapo Kakko 000 0 30.03 1017:19
51 Shane Wright 000 0 30.27 0015:15
26 Ryan Winterton 000 -1 30.32 1013:01
59 Ben Meyers 000 -2 60.48 1011:03
24 Tye Kartye 000 -2 20.19 0008:13
63 Jacob Melanson 000 -1 00.00 6007:47
Defense
62 Brandon Montour 000 -1 50.15 1123:32
29 Vince Dunn 011 -2 10.00 0221:15
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 -1 40.05 1318:53
6 Adam Larsson 000 -1 40.01 2017:52
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 50.07 1117:38
41 Ryker Evans 000 -1 40.08 2117:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 22220 .909 2.76 +0.76

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Buffalo Sabres

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 Tage Thompson C +2.41 +0.75 +0.27 +1.38 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:35
19 Peyton Krebs C +2.20 +0.70 +0.21 +1.18 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 15:48
34 Alex Lyon G +1.64 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.64 60:00
89 Alex Tuch R +1.52 +1.10 +0.21 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:07
91 Josh Doan R +1.33 0.00 +0.37 +1.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 19:04
9 Josh Norris C +1.20 +0.70 +0.13 +0.27 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 15:46
86 Noah Ostlund C +1.04 +0.75 +0.11 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:04
23 Mattias Samuelsson D +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.53 +0.15 0.00 +0.23 — 26:30
6 Zach Benson L +0.82 +0.75 +0.57 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:03
25 Owen Power D +0.68 0.00 +0.14 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:19
22 Jack Quinn R +0.43 +0.70 +0.14 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:31
26 Rasmus Dahlin D +0.26 0.00 +0.09 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 23:32
4 Bowen Byram D +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:33
78 Jacob Bryson D -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:08
71 Ryan McLeod C -0.14 +0.55 0.00 -0.65 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:00
12 Jordan Greenway L -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 9:47
29 Beck Malenstyn L -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:34
48 Tyson Kozak C -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 10:23
21 Conor Timmins D -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.80 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 17:10

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +1.17 0.00 +0.04 +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:53
51 Shane Wright C +0.98 0.00 +0.17 +0.81 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:15
35 Joey Daccord G +0.76 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.76 59:32
7 Jordan Eberle R +0.75 +0.55 +0.27 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:49
41 Ryker Evans D +0.72 0.00 +0.05 +0.77 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:12
62 Brandon Montour D +0.66 0.00 +0.10 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 23:32
26 Ryan Winterton C +0.66 0.00 +0.21 +0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:01
59 Ben Meyers C +0.34 0.00 +0.31 +0.01 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 11:03
38 Jani Nyman R +0.32 0.00 +0.06 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:46
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.30 0.00 +0.05 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:38
10 Matty Beniers C +0.29 0.00 +0.10 -0.05 +0.15 +0.02 +0.07 — 18:18
63 Jacob Melanson R +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:47
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.15 +0.75 +0.03 -0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 19:26
20 Eeli Tolvanen R -0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:30
12 Tye Kartye L -0.05 0.00 +0.12 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:13
84 Kaapo Kakko R -0.54 0.00 +0.02 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:19
29 Vince Dunn D -0.87 +0.70 0.00 -1.65 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:15
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -1.07 0.00 +0.12 -1.23 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:39
6 Adam Larsson D -1.81 0.00 +0.01 -1.64 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:52

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.