| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 26 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:18 | Jackson LaCombe (5)SH Ryan Poehling (7), Jacob Trouba (10) · wrist xG 0.38 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 16:18 | Matthew Robertson (2) Artemi Panarin (23), Alexis Lafrenière (11) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:51 | Cutter Gauthier (17)PP Beckett Sennecke (17), Olen Zellweger (9) · snap xG 0.07 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 19:38 | Cutter Gauthier (18)EN Leo Carlsson (24), Alex Killorn (8) · wrist xG 0.92 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 19:57 | Pavel Mintyukov (3) Ryan Poehling (8), Ross Johnston (6) · snap xG 0.17 | 4–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.26 | Expected goals | 2.75 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 0.96 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.82 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:27 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Dostal +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:51 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 2–1
With 1:09 left; ANA scored at 19:38 of the 3rd (3–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 19:49 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 1.17 | 2 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:56 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 14:44 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 14:23 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 13:21 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 11:37 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:16 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 2 | 08:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.59 | 1 | 0 | 28:23 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 23:22 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 20:49 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 4 | 20:05 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 11:27 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 10:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 27 | 1 | 26 | .963 | 2.75 | +1.75 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.37 | 2 | 0 | 22:48 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 22:02 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.47 | 1 | 1 | 21:46 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.37 | 4 | 1 | 17:49 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 |
| 37 | Brett Berard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 10:24 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 5 | 0 | 09:01 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 25:12 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 4 | 22:10 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 17:27 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:55 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.35 | -0.65 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +2.06 | +1.50 | +0.76 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:34 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | +1.75 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.75 | 59:48 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +1.31 | +1.40 | +0.12 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.09 | -0.02 | — | 11:37 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 20:05 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.85 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.11 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:49 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +0.79 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:44 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.53 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 14:56 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.43 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 8:40 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +0.41 | +0.75 | +0.38 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 28:23 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.37 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:27 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 10:59 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | -0.03 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:22 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:24 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 13:21 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:55 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:16 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:49 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:23 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.43 | -0.15 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 16:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.34 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:02 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.16 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.37 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:08 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 22:10 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.03 | — | 21:46 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:12 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:27 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:49 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.04 | — | 22:48 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 14:13 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:01 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:55 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:29 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 10:12 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:12 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.15 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:27 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:43 |
| 65 Brett Berard L | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:24 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:49 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | -0.65 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.65 | 59:13 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.