Tuesday, December 16, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
UTA 40%Deserve to win 60% BOS
UTA BOS
2.11 Expected goals 2.61
1 Goals (no shootout) 4
1.43 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.85
59 Shot attempts 48
35 Unblocked attempts 35
21 Shots on goal 23
Shot map
UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → BOS shoots
Sean Durzi: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:27)
Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:40)
Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:33)
Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:36)
Nick Schmaltz: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:42)
Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:15)
Dylan Guenther: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:22)
Lawson Crouse: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:10)
Michael Carcone: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:21)
Morgan Geekie: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:14)
David Pastrnak: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:17)
Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:27)
Alex Steeves: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:34)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 11:04)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:09)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:09)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:39)
Liam O'Brien: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:14)
Kevin Stenlund: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:16)
Fraser Minten: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:46)
Morgan Geekie: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:55)
Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:18)
Daniil But: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:32)
Daniil But: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:54)
Daniil But: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:55)
Jack McBain: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:56)
Jack McBain: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:57)
David Pastrnak: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:31)
Elias Lindholm: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:09)
David Pastrnak: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:20)
Andrew Peeke: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:41)
Michael Eyssimont: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 2:46)
Jack McBain: between-legs, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:33)
Clayton Keller: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:14)
Barrett Hayton: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:28)
Alex Steeves: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:55)
Victor Soderstrom: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:21)
David Pastrnak: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:26)
David Pastrnak: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:05)
Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:24)
Pavel Zacha: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:02)
Elias Lindholm: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:13)
Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:18)
Michael Carcone: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:37)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:31)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:52)
Fraser Minten: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:10)
Tanner Jeannot: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:33)
David Pastrnak: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:07)
Andrew Peeke: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:11)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:06)
Marat Khusnutdinov: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:41)
Pavel Zacha: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:13)
Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:48)
Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:56)
Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:25)
Jack McBain: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:33)
Morgan Geekie: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:45)
JJ Peterka: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:33)
Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:42)
Kevin Stenlund: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:23)
Andrew Peeke: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:54)
Morgan Geekie: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 15:14)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:19)
Mason Lohrei: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:58)
Barrett Hayton: GOAL, tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:34)
Morgan Geekie: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:01)
Morgan Geekie: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.38 (P2 0:23)
Casey Mittelstadt: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 10:16)
Michael Eyssimont: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 16:02)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Utah Mammoth
Boston Bruins
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Utah Mammoth
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
82 Kevin Stenlund C
+0.66
0.00
+0.19
+0.37
0.00
+0.07
+0.03
—
14:26
9 Clayton Keller R
+0.56
0.00
+0.21
+0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
18:39
19 Daniil But L
+0.54
+0.55
+0.08
-0.30
+0.15
-0.01
+0.07
—
13:10
77 JJ Peterka R
+0.53
0.00
+0.23
+0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:42
38 Liam O'Brien C
+0.46
0.00
+0.09
+0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:52
56 Kailer Yamamoto R
+0.37
0.00
0.00
+0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:30
6 John Marino D
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.32
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:55
88 Nate Schmidt D
+0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
17:19
50 Sean Durzi D
+0.25
+0.70
0.00
-0.37
0.00
0.00
-0.08
—
23:02
8 Nick Schmaltz C
+0.23
0.00
+0.04
+0.30
-0.15
+0.04
0.00
—
21:11
22 Jack McBain C
-0.18
0.00
+0.15
-0.33
0.00
-0.05
+0.05
—
13:52
53 Michael Carcone L
-0.19
0.00
+0.13
-0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:14
98 Mikhail Sergachev D
-0.29
0.00
+0.01
-0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
25:28
27 Barrett Hayton C
-0.63
+0.75
+0.10
-1.28
-0.15
-0.06
0.00
—
13:42
2 Olli Maatta D
-0.71
0.00
0.00
-0.81
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
12:30
28 Ian Cole D
-0.85
0.00
0.00
-0.90
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:20
67 Lawson Crouse L
-1.20
0.00
+0.08
-1.28
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
15:04
11 Dylan Guenther R
-1.24
0.00
+0.05
-1.27
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:26
41 Vitek Vanecek G
-1.39
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.39
60:00
Boston Bruins
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.