hockeystats.io

Chicago BlackhawksCHI 2–3 Final Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 200 2 25
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 003 3 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:21 CHI Wyatt Kaiser (3) Dominic Toninato (1) · wrist xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
14:58 CHI Jason Dickinson (3)SH Ilya Mikheyev (4), Louis Crevier (9) · wrist xG 0.18 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
9:59 TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (6) Auston Matthews (9), William Nylander (24) · wrist xG 0.02 2–1 ▶
16:51 TOR Auston Matthews (14)PP William Nylander (25) · wrist xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
16:59 TOR Dakota Joshua (6) Troy Stecher (5), Jake McCabe (11) · wrist xG 0.15 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 41%Deserve to win59% TOR
CHITOR
1.78Expected goals2.22
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.37Expected goals, 5 on 51.58
48Shot attempts57
31Unblocked attempts42
25Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:36 CHI Deserve to win Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 61–39%
TOR had led since 9:50 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
3rd Period
16:59 TOR Deserve to win Deserve to win · TOR takes the lead, 60–40%
CHI had led since 19:36 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
18:59 CHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 3–2
With 1:01 left

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TOR shoots
Dakota Joshua: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:24) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:23) Ethan Del Mastro: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:44) Auston Matthews: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:35) William Nylander: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:47) Max Domi: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:25) Dakota Joshua: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 9:07) Oliver Moore: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:12) Nick Robertson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:50) Ilya Mikheyev: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 11:22) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 11:24) Louis Crevier: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:31) Simon Benoit: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:25) Scott Laughton: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:26) William Nylander: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:30) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:02) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:12) Troy Stecher: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:42) Nick Robertson: backhand, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:53) Ryan Greene: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:42) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:30) Nick Lardis: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:36) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:42) Oliver Moore: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:13) John Tavares: between-legs, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:37) Troy Stecher: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:07) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:15) Frank Nazar: poke, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:47) Scott Laughton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:57) Matthew Knies: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:43) Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:40) Ilya Mikheyev: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:37) Bobby McMann: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:08) John Tavares: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:12) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:44) Ilya Mikheyev: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:49) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:38) John Tavares: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:11) Matthew Knies: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:27) Frank Nazar: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:31) Scott Laughton: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:01) Colton Dach: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:08) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:09) Dakota Joshua: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:22) Bobby McMann: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:26) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:40) Dominic Toninato: tip-in, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:52) Easton Cowan: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:51) Easton Cowan: backhand, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:48) Bobby McMann: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:25) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:56) Scott Laughton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:53) Louis Crevier: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:08) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:51) William Nylander: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:57) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:42) Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:52) Ryan Greene: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:07) Ethan Del Mastro: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:11) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:35) Simon Benoit: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:52) Easton Cowan: tip-in, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:51) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:24) Matthew Knies: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:45) Troy Stecher: wrist, 115 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:54) Frank Nazar: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:36) William Nylander: tip-in, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:04) Nick Lardis: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:57) Wyatt Kaiser: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:21) Jason Dickinson: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 14:58) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: GOAL, wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:59) Auston Matthews: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:51) Dakota Joshua: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:59)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 -1 20.07 0020:38
91 Frank Nazar 000 -1 60.23 0019:32
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 -1 30.01 0018:45
95 Ilya Mikheyev 011 0 50.28 1018:07
16 Jason Dickinson 101 0 30.26 1117:41
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 -1 30.37 0416:40
20 Ryan Greene 000 0 30.11 3013:30
76 Nick Lardis 000 0 30.10 1012:32
34 Colton Dach 000 +1 20.02 2010:57
8 Ryan Donato 000 +1 20.00 1010:54
11 Oliver Moore 000 0 20.09 1110:53
Defense
44 Wyatt Kaiser 101 +1 50.14 0022:39
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 20.02 1022:17
46 Louis Crevier 011 -1 20.01 0119:51
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 00.00 0019:11
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 00.00 1417:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 27324 .889 2.22 -0.78

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Matthew Knies 000 0 80.52 4020:52
34 Auston Matthews 112 0 20.16 1020:30
88 William Nylander 022 0 60.07 0020:24
91 John Tavares 000 -1 70.23 2018:21
10 Nicolas Roy 000 +1 10.00 2115:24
74 Bobby McMann 000 +1 30.07 3014:14
81 Dakota Joshua 101 +1 40.40 6013:14
11 Max Domi 000 0 10.09 1113:00
14 Nick Robertson 000 0 30.07 0112:36
21 Scott Laughton 000 -1 40.32 3111:33
18 Steven Lorentz 000 -1 00.00 4011:06
53 Easton Cowan 000 -1 30.06 0010:58
Defense
22 Jake McCabe 011 +1 00.00 2223:18
44 Morgan Rielly 000 0 40.05 1422:19
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 101 +1 30.04 0020:28
28 Troy Stecher 011 +1 40.08 0120:17
44 Simon Benoit 000 -1 40.05 0216:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joseph Woll 25223 .920 1.78 -0.22

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +1.27 +0.75 +0.09 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 22:39
16 Jason Dickinson C +1.15 +0.75 +0.17 +0.26 0.00 -0.04 +0.01 — 17:41
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +0.97 +0.70 +0.18 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:07
25 Dominic Toninato C +0.77 +0.70 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 9:32
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.47 0.00 +0.24 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 16:40
46 Louis Crevier D +0.41 +0.55 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:51
34 Colton Dach C +0.37 0.00 +0.02 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:57
8 Ryan Donato C +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:54
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:17
20 Ryan Greene C +0.06 0.00 +0.07 -0.05 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 13:30
11 Oliver Moore C -0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:53
76 Nick Lardis L -0.15 0.00 +0.06 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:32
38 Ethan Del Mastro D -0.16 0.00 +0.04 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:07
5 Connor Murphy D -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.37 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 17:45
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L -0.50 0.00 +0.05 -0.52 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 20:38
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:45
91 Frank Nazar C -0.57 0.00 +0.15 -0.69 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 19:32
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:11
30 Spencer Knight G -0.78 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.78 58:59

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
34 Auston Matthews C +1.95 +1.45 +0.10 +0.35 0.00 +0.03 +0.02 — 20:30
28 Troy Stecher D +1.67 +0.70 +0.05 +0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:17
88 William Nylander R +1.53 +1.25 +0.04 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 20:24
22 Jake McCabe D +1.44 +0.55 0.00 +0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:18
23 Matthew Knies L +0.77 0.00 +0.34 +0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:52
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D +0.76 +0.75 +0.03 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:28
81 Dakota Joshua C +0.76 +0.75 +0.26 -0.10 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:14
24 Scott Laughton C +0.54 0.00 +0.21 +0.10 +0.15 +0.03 +0.05 — 11:33
89 Nick Robertson L +0.43 0.00 +0.04 +0.04 +0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 12:36
74 Bobby McMann C +0.30 0.00 +0.05 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:14
18 Steven Lorentz C +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:06
91 John Tavares C +0.09 0.00 +0.15 -0.07 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 18:21
55 Nicolas Roy C +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:24
44 Morgan Rielly D +0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 22:19
11 Max Domi C -0.05 0.00 +0.06 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:00
53 Easton Cowan R -0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:58
3 Henry Thrun D -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:04
60 Joseph Woll G -0.22 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.22 60:00
2 Simon Benoit D -0.38 0.00 +0.03 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.