| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:46 | Evander Kane (6) Brock Boeser (8), Elias Pettersson (4) · wrist xG 0.15 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:24 | Liam Ohgren (1) Linus Karlsson (6) · snap xG 0.06 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:52 | Conor Garland (7)SHEN Filip Hronek (15) · backhand xG 0.50 | 3–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VAN | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.47 | Expected goals | 2.76 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 1.30 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.51 |
| 34 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 28 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 17 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:20 | NYR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 67–33%
VAN had led since 9:02 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 19:10 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.11–0.07
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 1st; neither team scored |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:40 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Demko +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.14 xG, 14 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:57 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 2–0
With 4:03 left; VAN scored at 16:52 of the 3rd (3–0) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 19:53 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.93 | 1 | 1 | 19:14 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 18:59 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 6 | 0 | 17:07 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.35 | 2 | 1 | 14:48 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:25 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:19 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 07:15 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 24:05 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 23:27 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 22:51 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 22:28 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | 23 | 0 | 23 | 1.000 | 2.76 | +2.76 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.60 | 1 | 0 | 22:21 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 22:15 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.40 | 3 | 1 | 22:13 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 21:29 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.43 | 5 | 0 | 20:20 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 18:22 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 4 | 1 | 14:51 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:43 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 07:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 23:54 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 11:44 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 16 | 2 | 14 | .875 | 1.61 | -0.39 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Thatcher Demko G | +2.76 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.76 | 59:51 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | +1.28 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 7:15 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.61 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 19:14 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +1.18 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:05 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:48 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | +0.84 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:10 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +0.79 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 8:19 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +0.70 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:53 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:27 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:25 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:07 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 14:08 |
| 93 Marco Rossi C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:59 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:40 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:20 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 22:51 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:28 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:40 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:20 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.39 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 22:21 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:29 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.49 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 20:20 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.43 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 22:15 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:22 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.47 | -0.30 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 22:13 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:18 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:29 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:54 |
| 49 Jaroslav Chmelar R | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:01 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:28 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:44 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 8:43 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:07 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | -0.39 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.39 | 58:26 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.78 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:12 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:28 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.74 | -0.15 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 14:51 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.